01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Umeå FC or draw (1X)74%
- Over 1.5 goals83%
Swedish Ettan4°14 km/h
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Umeå FCPossession controlvs
SollentunaPossession controlThe model's lean: 1 · Umeå FC (41%)
Umeå FC vs Sollentuna · Swedish Ettan
1 · Umeå FC 41%X 27%32% Sollentuna · 2
41%
27%
32%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Umeå FC vs Sollentuna (Swedish Ettan, Sunday, 1 November 2026): Umeå FC win 41%, draw 27%, Sollentuna win 32%. Expected goals (xG): Umeå FC 1.86, Sollentuna 1.29. Most likely score: 1-1 (11%). Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 62%. Double chance: Umeå FC or draw 68%, Sollentuna or draw 59%. Prediction updated Saturday, 24 October 2026.
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Analysis: Umeå FC – Sollentuna
Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work
The model gives Umeå a 41% chance of victory, and Bet365 odds are not provided in the data — the sentence citing "2.50 odds" is unsupported and should be removed.
Corrected TEXT:
Umeå FC's recent surge with three consecutive victories sets the tone for this clash against Sollentuna. The numbers lean in favor of the hosts, who are not only in better form but also hold a slim edge in expected points and goals. Despite the small head-to-head sample of five matches since 2023, the record is evenly split, which suggests the current form and statistical edge of Umeå should weigh more heavily in this encounter.
The model gives Umeå a 41% chance of victory, reflecting their superior xG of 1.6 per match compared to Sollentuna's 1.1. This is further evidenced by Umeå FC's expected goals for this match at 1.86, overshadowing Sollentuna's 1.29. A most likely scoreline of 1-1 (11%) indicates a closely fought game, yet the 2-1 (10%) and 1-0 (8%) projections hint at Umeå's potential to edge out a win.
Both sides favor a possession-based style, suggesting a contested midfield battle. Nevertheless, Umeå's ability to convert possession into goals more effectively could be the deciding factor. The high-scoring average of 4.4 goals per meeting might tempt some to lean towards over 2.5 goals at 61%, yet the slight Umeå edge could prove pivotal in a match where the margin may be slender.
Points and xPoints further tilt the scales toward the home side, with Umeå holding a ten-point lead in the standings. Such numerical dominance, coupled with momentum, supports the model's lean.
In sum, expect Umeå to capitalize on their form and edge out a narrow victory, likely around 2-1, as they continue their winning run.
Umeå FCForm WLWWW
League ranking xG #6xGA #23xT #26xP/match #9Points #15
Key players
- Rasmus AnderssonCBxG 0.10 · xT 0.09
- Stefan LindmarkCMxG 0.06 · xT 0.30
- Fredrick Udoh GodwinCDMxG 0.05 · xT 0.04
SollentunaForm DLLWD
League ranking xG #28xGA #12xT #25xP/match #23Points #26
Key players
- Oskar KäckRBxG 0.14 · xT 0.11
- Jonathan ZebergaCMxG 0.05 · xT 0.11
- Ludvig EnnartCDMxG 0.03 · xT 0.28
Match prediction: Umeå FC – Sollentuna
Predicted score matrix
Sollentuna →
Umeå FC →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–04.6%
0–15.2%
0–23.6%
0–31.5%
0–4+0.7%
1
1–07.6%
1–110.6%
1–26.6%
1–32.9%
1–4+1.2%
2
2–07.4%
2–19.6%
2–26.2%
2–32.7%
2–4+1.1%
3
3–04.6%
3–15.9%
3–23.8%
3–31.7%
3–4+0.7%
4+
4+–03.3%
4+–14.2%
4+–22.7%
4+–31.2%
4+–4+0.5%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-111%
- 2.2-110%
- 3.1-08%
- 4.2-07%
- 5.1-27%
Expected goals
1,86–1,29
Both teams to score
62%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,20
113%
222%
322%
418%
5+21%
Under 2,539%
–
Over 2,561%
–
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Umeå FC or draw (1X)74%
- Over 2.5 goals61%
- Steve Zishim Bawa to score26%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score62%
- Over 2.5 goals61%
- Filip Rosenquist to score29%
- Fredrick Udoh Godwin to be booked21%
Odds & value
No odds available yet.
Statistics
Head-to-head
5 matchesUmeå FC 2Draw 1Sollentuna 2
Goals: 11–11 (⌀ 4,4)
Head-to-head based on Ettan data since 2023.
Key facts
- A high-scoring fixture: 4.4 goals per meeting on average.
- Umeå FC come into this round on 3 straight wins.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Umeå FC
Sollentuna
Umeå FC (39–43)
Sollentuna (28–37)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Umeå FC
Sollentuna
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Umeå FC
Sollentuna
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Umeå FC | Sollentuna |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 38 | 28 |
| xPoints | 40.2 | 34.2 |
| xG per match | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| xGA per match | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| Playing style | Umeå FC | Sollentuna |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| Field tilt | 0.4 | 0.48 |
| xT per match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| xTA per match | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 27 | 27 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.45 | 0.48 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| Entries into the box per match | 13 | 11 |
| Entries into the box against | 16 | 12 |
| Pass completion % | 0.77 | 0.82 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.71 | 0.77 |
| Passes per match | 311 | 381 |
| Passes against per match | 364 | 400 |
| Switches of play per match | 17.2 | 13 |
| Long balls per match | 31 | 33 |
| Set pieces | Umeå FC | Sollentuna |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| Corners per match | 5.6 | 4.3 |
| Corners against per match | 5.7 | 4.9 |
| xG per corner | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.26 | 0.46 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.5 | 0.62 |
| Other | Umeå FC | Sollentuna |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.56 | 0.59 |
| The goalkeepers | Pontus Eriksson (Umeå FC) | Oscar Franck (Sollentuna) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 67 | 58 |
| Save % | 69% | 73% |
| xG prevented | 48% | 50% |
| Claims | 81 (93%) | 89 (93%) |
Teams & more matches this round
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- Ängelholm – Tvååker31 October 2026 13:00 CET
- Kristianstad FC – Eskilsminne31 October 2026 13:00 CET
- Arlanda – AFC Eskilstuna31 October 2026 16:00 CET
- Lunds BK – Jönköpings Södra31 October 2026 16:00 CET
- Skövde AIK – Rosengård31 October 2026 16:00 CET
- Karlberg – Assyriska FF1 November 2026 13:00 CET
- Trelleborgs FF – Laholm1 November 2026 13:00 CET
- Piteå – IFK Stocksund1 November 2026 15:00 CET
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Umeå FC vs Sollentuna according to our model?
The model gives Umeå FC a 41% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Umeå FC 41%, draw 27%, Sollentuna 32%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 61% and under at 39%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 62% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Umeå FC vs Sollentuna?
The model expects 1.86 goals (xG) for Umeå FC and 1.29 for Sollentuna, 3.15 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Umeå FC or draw (1X) 68%, Sollentuna or draw (X2) 59% and no draw (12) 73%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.