Basel vs Lausanne Sport: Prediction & Odds (1 Aug 2026)

Swiss Super League1 August 2026St. Jakob-Park, Basel25°2,2 mm15 km/h

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Basel

0–1

Lausanne Sport

The model's lean: 1 · Basel (52%)

1 · Basel 52%X 24%24% Lausanne Sport · 2

52%

24%

Final score

0 – 1

The model missed the outcome

Predicted probabilities: Basel 52% · Draw 24% · Lausanne Sport 24%

Match prediction: Basel – Lausanne Sport

Predicted score matrix

Lausanne Sport →

Basel →

0–05.0%

0–15.5%

0–23.6%

0–31.5%

0–4+0.6%

1–08.3%

1–110.9%

1–26.5%

1–32.7%

1–4+1.1%

2–07.8%

2–19.6%

2–25.9%

2–32.4%

2–4+1.0%

3–04.7%

3–15.9%

3–23.6%

3–31.5%

3–4+0.6%

4+–03.3%

4+–14.0%

4+–22.5%

4+–31.0%

4+–4+0.4%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-111%
2.2-110%
3.1-08%
4.2-08%
5.1-27%

Expected goals

1,82–1,23

Both teams to score

60%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,1

114%

222%

322%

417%

5+19%

Under 2,541%

–

Over 2,559%

–

Ready-made bet suggestions

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01 · 2 legs

Safe

Basel to win52%
Over 1.5 goals81%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

Basel to win52%
Over 2.5 goals59%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score60%
Over 2.5 goals59%

Odds & value

Bookmaker	1 · Basel	X	2 · Lausanne Sport
Pinnacle	1.91	4.00	3.75

Odds updated 1 Aug, 10:08

Odds movement

1-1 %

52 %47 %

1.93 → 1.91

X-3 %

26 %21 %

4.11 → 4.00

2+8 %

29 %24 %

3.46 → 3.75

Pinnacle · 11 recorded price levels · 27/07/2026 → 01/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Teams & more matches this round

Basel

Fixtures, form & tips

Lausanne Sport

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Basel vs Lausanne Sport according to our model?

The model gives Basel a 52% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Basel 52%, draw 24%, Lausanne Sport 24%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 59% and under at 41%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 60% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.