01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Lugano to win55%
- Over 1.5 goals79%
Swiss Super LeagueLetzigrund, Zürich25°9 km/h
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Grasshopper1–4
LuganoThe model's lean: 2 · Lugano (55%)
Grasshopper vs Lugano · Swiss Super League
1 · Grasshopper 22%X 24%55% Lugano · 2
22%
24%
55%
Final score
1 – 4
The model called the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Grasshopper 22% · Draw 24% · Lugano 55%
Match prediction: Grasshopper – Lugano
Predicted score matrix
Lugano →
Grasshopper →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–05.9%
0–19.7%
0–29.0%
0–35.4%
0–4+3.7%
1
1–05.7%
1–111.2%
1–29.8%
1–35.9%
1–4+4.0%
2
2–03.3%
2–15.9%
2–25.3%
2–33.2%
2–4+2.2%
3
3–01.2%
3–12.1%
3–21.9%
3–31.2%
3–4+0.8%
4+
4+–00.4%
4+–10.7%
4+–20.7%
4+–30.4%
4+–4+0.3%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-111%
- 2.1-210%
- 3.0-110%
- 4.0-29%
- 5.2-16%
Expected goals
1,09–1,80
Both teams to score
56%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,90
115%
224%
322%
416%
5+17%
Under 2,545%
@2.19
Over 2,555%
@1.72
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 2 legs
Balanced
- Lugano to win55%
- Over 2.5 goals55%
03 · 2 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score56%
- Over 2.5 goals55%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 2 · Lugano55% probability@1.91PinnacleEV+4%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Grasshopper | X | 2 · Lugano |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.86 | 3.88 | EV+ 4% 1.91 |
Odds updated 2 Aug, 10:09
Odds movement
1+2 %
28 %23 %
3.78 → 3.86
X+4 %
28 %23 %
3.73 → 3.88
2-1 %
51 %46 %
1.93 → 1.91
Over 2,50 %
58 %53 %
1.72 → 1.72
Pinnacle · 11 recorded price levels · 27/07/2026 → 02/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Grasshopper vs Lugano according to our model?
The model gives Lugano a 55% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Grasshopper 22%, draw 24%, Lugano 55%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 55% and under at 45%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 56% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
More matches in the league
Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.