Vaduz vs St. Gallen: Prediction & Odds (2 Aug 2026)

Swiss Super League2 August 2026Rheinpark Stadion, Vaduz23°0,1 mm11 km/h

Läs på svenska

Vaduz

2–3

St. Gallen

The model's lean: 2 · St. Gallen (40%)Best value by the model: 1 · Vaduz @ 3.38 (+17 %)

1 · Vaduz 35%X 26%40% St. Gallen · 2

35%

26%

40%

Final score

2 – 3

The model called the outcome

Predicted probabilities: Vaduz 35% · Draw 26% · St. Gallen 40%

Match prediction: Vaduz – St. Gallen

Predicted score matrix

St. Gallen →

Vaduz →

0–04.7%

0–17.1%

0–26.2%

0–33.5%

0–4+2.1%

1–06.1%

1–111.0%

1–29.0%

1–35.0%

1–4+3.1%

2–04.6%

2–17.7%

2–26.5%

2–33.6%

2–4+2.2%

3–02.2%

3–13.7%

3–23.1%

3–31.7%

3–4+1.1%

4+–01.1%

4+–11.8%

4+–21.5%

4+–30.9%

4+–4+0.5%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-111%
2.1-29%
3.2-18%
4.0-17%
5.2-26%

Expected goals

1,44–1,68

Both teams to score

62%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,1

113%

222%

322%

417%

5+21%

Under 2,540%

–

Over 2,560%

–

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Double chance St. Gallen or draw (X2)67%
Over 1.5 goals82%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

Double chance St. Gallen or draw (X2)67%
Over 2.5 goals60%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score62%
Over 2.5 goals60%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

1 · Vaduz35% probability@3.38PinnacleEV+17%reference odds
Under 3.562% probability@1.69PinnacleEV+5%reference odds
X · Draw26% probability@4.03PinnacleEV+3%reference odds

Bookmaker	1 · Vaduz	X	2 · St. Gallen
Pinnacle	EV+ 17% 3.38	EV+ 3% 4.03	2.02

Odds updated 2 Aug, 10:09

Odds movement

Market signal

The market has moved clearly towards an St. Gallen win since 27 July — the odds have shortened from 2.15 to 2.02 (−6%).

1+11 %

32 %27 %

3.04 → 3.38

X+4 %

26 %21 %

3.89 → 4.03

2-6 %

49 %44 %

2.15 → 2.02

Pinnacle · 10 recorded price levels · 27/07/2026 → 02/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Teams & more matches this round

Vaduz

Fixtures, form & tips

St. Gallen

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Vaduz vs St. Gallen according to our model?

The model gives St. Gallen a 40% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Vaduz 35%, draw 26%, St. Gallen 40%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 60% and under at 40%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 62% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.