FC Zürich vs Servette: Prediction & Odds (1 Aug 2026)

Swiss Super League1 August 2026Letzigrund, Zürich24°16,9 mm12 km/h

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FC Zürich

2–1

Servette

The model's lean: 2 · Servette (52%)

1 · FC Zürich 25%X 23%52% Servette · 2

25%

23%

52%

Final score

2 – 1

The model missed the outcome

Predicted probabilities: FC Zürich 25% · Draw 23% · Servette 52%

Match prediction: FC Zürich – Servette

Predicted score matrix

Servette →

FC Zürich →

0–04.7%

0–17.9%

0–27.6%

0–34.8%

0–4+3.4%

1–05.3%

1–110.6%

1–29.6%

1–36.0%

1–4+4.3%

2–03.5%

2–16.5%

2–26.1%

2–33.8%

2–4+2.7%

3–01.5%

3–12.7%

3–22.5%

3–31.6%

3–4+1.1%

4+–00.6%

4+–11.1%

4+–21.1%

4+–30.7%

4+–4+0.5%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-111%
2.1-210%
3.0-18%
4.0-28%
5.2-17%

Expected goals

1,26–1,87

Both teams to score

61%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,1

113%

222%

322%

417%

5+21%

Under 2,540%

@2.30

Over 2,560%

@1.67EV+1%

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Servette to win52%
Over 1.5 goals82%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

Servette to win52%
Over 2.5 goals60%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score61%
Over 2.5 goals60%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

2 · Servette52% probability@2.04PinnacleEV+6%reference odds
Over 2.560% probability@1.67PinnacleEV+1%reference odds

Bookmaker	1 · FC Zürich	X	2 · Servette
Pinnacle	3.43	3.96	EV+ 6% 2.04

Odds updated 1 Aug, 10:08

Odds movement

1-6 %

30 %25 %

3.64 → 3.43

X-4 %

26 %21 %

4.11 → 3.96

2+9 %

52 %47 %

1.87 → 2.04

Pinnacle · 11 recorded price levels · 27/07/2026 → 01/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Teams & more matches this round

FC Zürich

Fixtures, form & tips

Servette

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins FC Zürich vs Servette according to our model?

The model gives Servette a 52% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: FC Zürich 25%, draw 23%, Servette 52%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 60% and under at 40%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 61% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.