01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Sion to win50%
- Over 1.5 goals84%
Swiss Super LeagueStade de Tourbillon, Sion26°16 km/h
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Sion3–0
LuzernThe model's lean: 1 · Sion (50%)
Sion vs Luzern · Swiss Super League
1 · Sion 50%X 25%25% Luzern · 2
50%
25%
25%
Final score
3 – 0
The model called the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Sion 50% · Draw 25% · Luzern 25%
Match prediction: Sion – Luzern
Predicted score matrix
Luzern →
Sion →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–04.0%
0–15.2%
0–24.1%
0–32.0%
0–4+1.0%
1
1–06.5%
1–110.3%
1–27.4%
1–33.6%
1–4+1.9%
2
2–06.1%
2–19.0%
2–26.7%
2–33.3%
2–4+1.7%
3
3–03.7%
3–15.5%
3–24.0%
3–32.0%
3–4+1.0%
4+
4+–02.5%
4+–13.7%
4+–22.8%
4+–31.4%
4+–4+0.7%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-110%
- 2.2-19%
- 3.1-27%
- 4.2-27%
- 5.1-06%
Expected goals
1,81–1,48
Both teams to score
65%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,30
112%
220%
322%
418%
5+24%
Under 2,536%
–
Over 2,564%
–
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 2 legs
Balanced
- Sion to win50%
- Over 2.5 goals64%
03 · 2 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score65%
- Over 2.5 goals64%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 1 · Sion50% probability@2.03PinnacleEV+2%reference odds
- X · Draw25% probability@4.09PinnacleEV+1%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Sion | X | 2 · Luzern |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | EV+ 2% 2.03 | EV+ 1% 4.09 | 3.30 |
Odds updated 2 Aug, 10:09
Odds movement
Market signal
The market has moved clearly towards an Luzern win since 27 July — the odds have shortened from 4.07 to 3.30 (−19%).
1+12 %
54 %44 %
1.81 → 2.03
X+4 %
29 %19 %
3.94 → 4.09
2-19 %
32 %22 %
4.07 → 3.30
Pinnacle · 13 recorded price levels · 27/07/2026 → 02/08/2026 · fixed scale 10 percentage points
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Sion vs Luzern according to our model?
The model gives Sion a 50% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Sion 50%, draw 25%, Luzern 25%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 10% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 64% and under at 36%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 65% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
More matches in the league
Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.