01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Brann to win75%
- Over 1.5 goals83%
Conference League12°72,3 mm38 km/h
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BrannBalanced & physical2–1
Lincoln Red ImpsThe model's lean: 1 · Brann (75%)Best value by the model: 2 · Lincoln Red Imps @ 18.00 (+91 %)
Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps · Conference League
1 · Brann 75%X 14%11% Lincoln Red Imps · 2
75%
14%
Prediction summary
Final score 2–1. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps (Conference League, Thursday, 15 October 2026): Brann win 75%, draw 14%, Lincoln Red Imps win 11%. Expected goals (xG): Brann 2.40, Lincoln Red Imps 0.82. Most likely score: 2-0 (12%). Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 51%. Double chance: Brann or draw 89%, Lincoln Red Imps or draw 25%. Prediction updated Wednesday, 7 October 2026.
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Analysis: Brann – Lincoln Red Imps
Anna Karlsson · · A data-driven preview · How the predictions work
TEXT: Brann are entering their clash with Lincoln Red Imps as heavy favorites, boasting a commanding 75% chance of victory according to the model. The potential for a commanding performance is underlined by their expected goals tally of 2.40 compared to the visitors' 0.82. With most likely scorelines being 2-0 and 2-1, a win for the hosts seems the natural outcome, despite the dampening effect of 64.9 mm of rain predicted to suppress high scoring.
The statistical lean towards over 2.5 goals at 62% suggests a relatively open game, though the weather’s impact might keep things tighter. Both teams to score sits at a coin-flip 51%, hinting at moments of vulnerability for the home side but ultimately pointing more towards defensive sturdiness on their part. The expected goals and model probabilities paint a clearer picture of the contest.
For those with an eye on value, Lincoln Red Imps at odds 16.0 with Betsafe and Nordicbet present a striking 69% edge, a rare opportunity in such lop-sided matchups. Although the most likely outcome remains Brann's victory, the potential return on a long-shot bet is substantial.
BrannForm DWD
League ranking xG #44xGA #46xT #46xP/match #51Points #34
Key players
- Fredrik Pallesen KnudsenCBxG 0.09 · xT 0.06
- Joachim SoltvedtLWBxG 0.22 · xT 0.40
- Denzel De RoeveRBxG 0.10 · xT 0.33
- Numbers from Eliteserien 2026
Lincoln Red ImpsForm WDLWL
Key players
- Antonio Garcia MonteroRWxG 0.09 · xT 0.04
- Armando Sosa PeñaCDMxG 0.07 · xT 0.09
- Andre Tjay De BarrCAMxG 0.02 · xT 0.15
Final score
2 – 1
The model called the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Brann 75% · Draw 14% · Lincoln Red Imps 11%
How the bookmaker bet builders went
The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.
Matchresultat - Lincoln FCBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 66,82fair 38,70+73 %
MissMatchresultat - BrannBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 3,35fair 4,38-24 %
MissMatch prediction: Brann – Lincoln Red Imps
Predicted score matrix
Lincoln Red Imps →
Brann →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–04.2%
0–13.0%
0–21.3%
0–30.4%
0–4+0.1%
1
1–09.4%
1–18.1%
1–23.2%
1–30.9%
1–4+0.2%
2
2–011.5%
2–19.4%
2–23.8%
2–31.0%
2–4+0.3%
3
3–09.3%
3–17.6%
3–23.1%
3–30.8%
3–4+0.2%
4+
4+–09.8%
4+–18.0%
4+–23.3%
4+–30.9%
4+–4+0.2%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.2-012%
- 2.2-19%
- 3.1-09%
- 4.3-09%
- 5.1-18%
Expected goals
2,40–0,82
Both teams to score
51%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,20
112%
221%
322%
418%
5+22%
Under 2,538%
@3.05EV+15%
Over 2,562%
@1.35
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Brann to win75%
- Over 2.5 goals62%
- Noah Emmanuel Jean Holm to score37%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score51%
- Over 2.5 goals62%
- Noah Emmanuel Jean Holm to score37%
- Graeme Lee Torrilla to be booked22%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 2 · Lincoln Red Imps11% probability@18.00BetsafeEV+91%reference odds
- 2 · Lincoln Red Imps11% probability@18.00NordicbetEV+91%reference odds
- 2 · Lincoln Red Imps11% probability@17.70PinnacleEV+87%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Brann | X | 2 · Lincoln Red Imps |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 1.11 | EV+ 14% 8.00 | EV+ 91% 18.00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.14 | EV+ 7% 7.50 | EV+ 59% 15.00 |
| Nordicbet | 1.11 | EV+ 14% 8.00 | EV+ 91% 18.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.14 | EV+ 24% 8.68 | EV+ 87% 17.70 |
Odds updated 15 Oct, 13:36
Odds movement
1-1 %
85 %80 %
1.15 → 1.14
X+12 %
14 %9 %
7.73 → 8.68
2+25 %
9 %4 %
14.14 → 17.70
Pinnacle · 12 recorded price levels · 13/10/2026 → 15/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Lincoln Red Imps
Brann (1–1)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Brann
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Brann
| The goalkeepers | Mathias Dyngeland (Brann) | Lincoln Red Imps |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 6 | – |
| Save % | 86% | – |
| xG prevented | 84% | – |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | – |
Teams & more matches this round
- KuPS – Trabzonspor15 October 2026
- Riga FC – Kairat Almaty15 October 2026
- FC København – Braga15 October 2026
- Hearts – Nordsjælland15 October 2026
- Twente – Thun15 October 2026
- Lugano – Red Star Belgrade15 October 2026
- Atalanta – Pafos15 October 2026
- Hajduk Split – Ajax15 October 2026
- Universitatea Craiova – Getafe15 October 2026
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps according to our model?
The model gives Brann a 75% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Brann 75%, draw 14%, Lincoln Red Imps 11%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 2-0 at 12% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 62% and under at 38%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 51% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps?
The model expects 2.40 goals (xG) for Brann and 0.82 for Lincoln Red Imps, 3.22 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Brann or draw (1X) 89%, Lincoln Red Imps or draw (X2) 25% and no draw (12) 86%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.