Mjällby vs Inter Club Escaldes: Prediction & Odds (15 Oct 2026)

Conference League15 October 2026

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Mjällby

2–0

Inter Club Escaldes

The model's lean: 2 · Inter Club Escaldes (51%)

1 · Mjällby 29%X 21%51% Inter Club Escaldes · 2

29%

21%

51%

Prediction summary

Final score 2–0. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for Mjällby vs Inter Club Escaldes (Conference League, Thursday, 15 October 2026): Mjällby win 29%, draw 21%, Inter Club Escaldes win 51%. Expected goals (xG): Mjällby 1.29, Inter Club Escaldes 1.51. Most likely score: 1-1 (12%). Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 57%. Double chance: Mjällby or draw 49%, Inter Club Escaldes or draw 71%. Prediction updated Wednesday, 7 October 2026.

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Analysis: Mjällby – Inter Club Escaldes

Sofia Andersson · 13 October 2026 · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work

The model numbers paint an intriguing picture for this Conference League clash between Mjällby and Inter Club d'Escaldes. Despite playing away, the Andorran side emerges as the stronger contender with a 51% probability of victory, surpassing the home side's 29%. This sets the stage for what might appear to be an unexpected dynamic on the pitch.

Inter Club d'Escaldes have shown a knack for edging out opponents, with their expected goals tally sitting at 1.51 compared to Mjällby’s 1.29. Such figures suggest a tight affair, possibly with the visitors capitalizing on their slightly superior attacking edge. The most likely scorelines — 1-1 and 1-2 — underscore a scenario where both teams are anticipated to find the net. With both teams scoring at a 57% probability and over 2.5 goals at 53%, goals are expected, but not in abundance.

While the historical head-to-head sample between these teams is thin, the model's probabilities support an Escaldes edge. The betting model favors their triumph, and this is where the value lies. A striking 392% edge is identified with Betsafe and Nordicbet at odds of 9.7 for an away win, as well as a 306% edge with LeoVegas at odds of 8.0. These odds suggest a market underestimation of the visitors’ chances, highlighting a potential windfall for those confident in Escaldes’ form.

In essence, while the numbers suggest a close match, Inter Club d'Escaldes are positioned to exploit any lapses from Mjällby. Betting on Escaldes at the offered odds provides a compelling opportunity given their perceived strength by the model, making this a sharp angle to consider.

Mjällby

Inter Club Escaldes

Form WDWL

Final score

2 – 0

The model missed the outcome

Predicted probabilities: Mjällby 29% · Draw 21% · Inter Club Escaldes 51%

How the bookmaker bet builders went

The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.

Matchresultat - Inter Club d EscaldesBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5

odds 39,52fair 8,39+371 %

Miss

Matchresultat - Mjällby AIFBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5

odds 4,32fair 11,37-62 %

Miss

Match prediction: Mjällby – Inter Club Escaldes

Predicted score matrix

Inter Club Escaldes →

Mjällby →

0–06.4%

0–18.8%

0–26.9%

0–33.5%

0–4+1.8%

1–07.5%

1–112.2%

1–28.9%

1–34.5%

1–4+2.4%

2–05.1%

2–17.7%

2–25.8%

2–32.9%

2–4+1.5%

3–02.2%

3–13.3%

3–22.5%

3–31.2%

3–4+0.7%

4+–00.9%

4+–11.4%

4+–21.1%

4+–30.5%

4+–4+0.3%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-112%
2.1-29%
3.0-19%
4.2-18%
5.1-08%

Expected goals

1,29–1,51

Both teams to score

57%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,8

116%

224%

322%

416%

5+15%

Under 2,547%

@2.28EV+4%

Over 2,553%

@1.64

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Inter Club Escaldes to win51%
Over 1.5 goals77%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Inter Club Escaldes to win51%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Sascha Fernando Lahrach Andreu to score30%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score57%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Sascha Fernando Lahrach Andreu to score30%
Senga Nicolás Kata Martínez to be booked24%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

2 · Inter Club Escaldes51% probability@9.30BetsafeEV+371%reference odds
2 · Inter Club Escaldes51% probability@9.30NordicbetEV+371%reference odds
2 · Inter Club Escaldes51% probability@9.01PinnacleEV+357%reference odds

Bookmaker	1 · Mjällby	X	2 · Inter Club Escaldes
Betsafe	1.28	EV+ 8% 5.25	EV+ 371% 9.30
LeoVegas	1.31	EV+ 8% 5.25	EV+ 306% 8.00
Nordicbet	1.28	EV+ 8% 5.25	EV+ 371% 9.30
Pinnacle	1.34	EV+ 8% 5.25	EV+ 357% 9.01

Odds updated 15 Oct, 13:36

Odds movement

1+2 %

74 %69 %

1.32 → 1.34

X+2 %

21 %16 %

5.13 → 5.25

2+2 %

13 %8 %

8.83 → 9.01

Over 2,50 %

60 %55 %

1.64 → 1.64

Pinnacle · 7 recorded price levels · 13/10/2026 → 15/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Statistics

When goals are scored and conceded — 2023

Inter Club Escaldes (6–9)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Inter Club Escaldes

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Inter Club Escaldes

The goalkeepers	Mjällby	Adriá Muñoz (Inter Club Escaldes)
Saves	–	13
Save %	–	59%
xG prevented	–	27%
Claims	–	0 (0%)

Teams & more matches this round

Mjällby

Fixtures, form & tips

Inter Club Escaldes

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Mjällby vs Inter Club Escaldes according to our model?

The model gives Inter Club Escaldes a 51% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Mjällby 29%, draw 21%, Inter Club Escaldes 51%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 53% and under at 47%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 57% according to the model.

How many goals are expected in Mjällby vs Inter Club Escaldes?

The model expects 1.29 goals (xG) for Mjällby and 1.51 for Inter Club Escaldes, 2.80 in total.

What does the model say about double chance?

Mjällby or draw (1X) 49%, Inter Club Escaldes or draw (X2) 71% and no draw (12) 79%.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.