01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Rheindorf Altach or draw (1X)69%
- Under 3.5 goals73%
Austrian Bundesliga13°7,2 mm3 km/h
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Rheindorf AltachCounter-attacks & crossesvs
WolfsbergLow block & directThe model's lean: 1 · Rheindorf Altach (44%)Best value by the model: Under 1,5 @ 4.45 (+15 %)
Rheindorf Altach vs Wolfsberg · Austrian Bundesliga
1 · Rheindorf Altach 44%X 30%26% Wolfsberg · 2
44%
30%
26%
Bet on this match
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Analysis: Rheindorf Altach – Wolfsberg
Oscar Nilsson · · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work
TEXT: Rheindorf Altach's sharp decline, with five consecutive losses, contrasts starkly with their favorable model probabilities of 44% to win against Wolfsberg. Despite both teams' recent struggles, Altach's edge in expected points (8.4 to Wolfsberg's 7.3) and a stronger xG suggests more promise than the surface numbers show. However, the 1-1 scoreline remains the most probable conclusion, indicating a tight contest.
The head-to-head record since 2022 between these sides is narrow, with Altach slightly ahead in a small sample of six games. This historical edge should be considered with caution, given the current form dip. Still, Altach's attacking approach and counter-attacking style might exploit Wolfsberg's vulnerabilities, particularly their higher xGA of 2.1 per match.
With expected goals of 1.43 for Altach and 1.20 for Wolfsberg, the under 2.5 goals probability at 51% points to a low-scoring affair, especially given the rain forecast. Altach are the model's slight favorites, but this clash is more about finding value than expecting fireworks.
Rheindorf AltachForm LLLLL
League ranking xG #7xGA #5xT #5xP/match #8Points #12
Key players
- Patrick GreilFxG 0.39 · xT 0.11
- Srđan HrstićFxG 0.39 · xT -0.01
- Mike Steven BahreCMxG 0.02 · xT 0.08
WolfsbergForm LDLLL
League ranking xG #9xGA #12xT #10xP/match #10Points #11
Key players
- Giacomo VrioniFxG 0.49 · xT 0.04
- Nicolas WimmerCBxG 0.01 · xT 0.07
- Simon PiesingerFxG 0.07 · xT 0.10
Match prediction: Rheindorf Altach – Wolfsberg
Predicted score matrix
Wolfsberg →
Rheindorf Altach →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–07.6%
0–18.3%
0–25.2%
0–32.1%
0–4+0.8%
1
1–010.0%
1–112.7%
1–27.4%
1–33.0%
1–4+1.1%
2
2–07.4%
2–18.8%
2–25.3%
2–32.1%
2–4+0.8%
3
3–03.5%
3–14.2%
3–22.5%
3–31.0%
3–4+0.4%
4+
4+–01.7%
4+–12.1%
4+–21.2%
4+–30.5%
4+–4+0.2%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-113%
- 2.1-010%
- 3.2-19%
- 4.0-18%
- 5.0-08%
Expected goals
1,43–1,20
Both teams to score
53%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,608%
118%
225%
322%
414%
5+13%
Under 2,551%
@2.22EV+14%
Over 2,549%
@1.60
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Rheindorf Altach or draw (1X)69%
- Under 2.5 goals51%
- Ousmane Diawara to score28%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score53%
- Over 2.5 goals49%
- Ousmane Diawara to score28%
- Vesel Demaku to be booked20%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- Under 1.526% probability@4.45BetsafeEV+15%reference odds
- Under 1.526% probability@4.45NordicbetEV+15%reference odds
- X · Draw30% probability@3.80PinnacleEV+14%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Rheindorf Altach | X | 2 · Wolfsberg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 1.92 | EV+ 8% 3.60 | 3.55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.92 | EV+ 8% 3.60 | 3.35 |
| Nordicbet | 1.92 | EV+ 8% 3.60 | 3.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.98 | EV+ 14% 3.80 | 3.47 |
Odds updated 2 Oct, 14:36
Statistics
Head-to-head
6 matchesRheindorf Altach 3Draw 1Wolfsberg 2
Goals: 9–8 (⌀ 2,8)
Head-to-head based on Austrian Bundesliga data since 2022.
Key facts
- SCR Altach have lost 5 in a row.
- Wolfsberger AC have lost 3 in a row.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Rheindorf Altach
Wolfsberg
Rheindorf Altach (5–12)
Wolfsberg (7–13)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Rheindorf Altach
Wolfsberg
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Rheindorf Altach
Wolfsberg
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Rheindorf Altach | Wolfsberg |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 3 | 5 |
| xPoints | 8.4 | 7.3 |
| xG per match | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| xGA per match | 1.4 | 2.1 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.14 | 0.24 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| Playing style | Rheindorf Altach | Wolfsberg |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| Field tilt | 0.46 | 0.32 |
| xT per match | 1.3 | 0.79 |
| xTA per match | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 25 | 26 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.3 | 0.28 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.27 | 0.2 |
| Entries into the box per match | 14 | 9 |
| Entries into the box against | 14 | 16 |
| Pass completion % | 0.74 | 0.7 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.67 | 0.66 |
| Passes per match | 349 | 265 |
| Passes against per match | 330 | 407 |
| Switches of play per match | 25.2 | 21.4 |
| Long balls per match | 38 | 30 |
| Set pieces | Rheindorf Altach | Wolfsberg |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| Corners per match | 5.6 | 4 |
| Corners against per match | 4.9 | 6.8 |
| xG per corner | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.47 | 0.44 |
| Other | Rheindorf Altach | Wolfsberg |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.72 | 0.66 |
| The goalkeepers | Dejan Stojanovic (Rheindorf Altach) | Lukas Gütlbauer (Wolfsberg) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 20 | 21 |
| Save % | 63% | 64% |
| xG prevented | 48% | 36% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Rheindorf Altach vs Wolfsberg according to our model?
The model gives Rheindorf Altach a 44% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Rheindorf Altach 44%, draw 30%, Wolfsberg 26%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 49% and under at 51%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 53% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.