01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Zulte Waregem or draw (X2)71%
- Under 3.5 goals74%
Belgian Pro LeagueStade du Tivoli, La Louvière8°18,0 mm40 km/h
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La LouvièreLow block & directvs
Zulte WaregemLow block & directThe model's lean: 2 · Zulte Waregem (44%)
La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League
1 · La Louvière 26%X 30%44% Zulte Waregem · 2
26%
30%
44%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem (Belgian Pro League, Saturday, 24 October 2026): La Louvière win 26%, draw 30%, Zulte Waregem win 44%. Expected goals (xG): La Louvière 1.12, Zulte Waregem 1.45. Most likely score: 1-1 (13%). Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 52%. Double chance: La Louvière or draw 56%, Zulte Waregem or draw 74%. Prediction updated Friday, 16 October 2026.
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Analysis: La Louvière – Zulte Waregem
Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work
TEXT: At the heart of this clash is the tension between La Louvière's shaky defense and Zulte Waregem's recent slump. Despite the visitors' three-game losing streak, they still hold a model-backed edge with a 44% likelihood of victory. This is not just about points; the expected goals support Waregem's advantage, showing a lean towards them even in an off-form spell.
Both sides favor a low defense and direct playstyle, but La Louvière’s defense has been particularly vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.1 goals per game. In contrast, Waregem’s defense has been marginally sturdier, allowing 1.4 goals per match. The head-to-head record since 2023 is limited to four encounters, which slightly favors Waregem with two wins and two draws. While this small sample size is less crucial than current form, it hints at a psychological edge.
With expected goals at 1.12 for La Louvière and 1.45 for Waregem, the data predicts a tight game. The likelihood of both teams scoring is marginally above half at 52%, and the chances of surpassing 2.5 goals sit just below the halfway mark at 47%. Wet conditions, with 18.0 mm of rain, could further stifle scoring opportunities, already factored into the model’s calculations.
The sharpest angle here rests on value betting. Zulte Waregem’s odds at 2.3 with LeoVegas represent a 2% edge according to the model's 44% win probability. Similar value is found with Betsafe and Nordicbet at odds of 2.28. Despite recent form, the numbers lean towards an away victory, potentially by a narrow margin of 0-1 or 1-2, and the under 2.5 goals market is worth considering in such weather.
La LouvièreForm DLWLL
League ranking xG #13xGA #16xT #17xP/match #11Points #16
Key players
- Mustapha Isah UbandomaFxG 0.43 · xT 0.03
- Mame Ndiaga WadeCAMxG 0.08 · xT 0.05
- Wagane FayeCBxG 0.06 · xT 0.03
Zulte WaregemForm DWLLL
League ranking xG #15xGA #7xT #15xP/match #10Points #10
Key players
- Laurent LemoineCBxG 0.06 · xT 0.07
- Anosike EmentaFxG 0.12 · xT 0.13
- Jakob KiilerichCBxG 0.05 · xT 0.15
Match prediction: La Louvière – Zulte Waregem
Predicted score matrix
Zulte Waregem →
La Louvière →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–08.1%
0–110.8%
0–28.0%
0–33.9%
0–4+1.9%
1
1–08.2%
1–112.8%
1–29.0%
1–34.3%
1–4+2.2%
2
2–04.8%
2–17.0%
2–25.0%
2–32.4%
2–4+1.2%
3
3–01.8%
3–12.6%
3–21.9%
3–30.9%
3–4+0.5%
4+
4+–00.6%
4+–10.9%
4+–20.7%
4+–30.3%
4+–4+0.2%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-113%
- 2.0-111%
- 3.1-29%
- 4.1-08%
- 5.0-08%
Expected goals
1,12–1,45
Both teams to score
52%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,608%
119%
226%
322%
414%
5+12%
Under 2,553%
@1.85
Over 2,547%
@1.94
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Zulte Waregem or draw (X2)71%
- Under 2.5 goals53%
- Anosike Victor Ementa to score24%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score52%
- Over 2.5 goals47%
- Anosike Victor Ementa to score24%
- Ismaila Cheick Coulibaly to be booked22%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 2 · Zulte Waregem44% probability@2.45PinnacleEV+9%reference odds
- 2 · Zulte Waregem44% probability@2.35BetsafeEV+4%reference odds
- 2 · Zulte Waregem44% probability@2.35LeoVegasEV+4%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · La Louvière | X | 2 · Zulte Waregem |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 2.95 | 3.30 | EV+ 4% 2.35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.88 | 3.30 | EV+ 4% 2.35 |
| Nordicbet | 2.95 | 3.30 | EV+ 4% 2.35 |
| Pinnacle | 3.07 | 3.31 | EV+ 9% 2.45 |
Odds updated 24 Oct, 10:36
Odds movement
1+1 %
33 %28 %
3.05 → 3.07
X-2 %
31 %26 %
3.38 → 3.31
2+6 %
43 %38 %
2.32 → 2.45
Pinnacle · 7 recorded price levels · 22/10/2026 → 24/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
4 matchesLa Louvière 0Draw 2Zulte Waregem 2
Goals: 2–8 (⌀ 2,5)
Head-to-head based on Belgian Pro League data since 2023.
Key facts
- Zulte Waregem have lost 3 in a row.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
La Louvière
Zulte Waregem
La Louvière (8–18)
Zulte Waregem (10–9)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
La Louvière
Zulte Waregem
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
La Louvière
Zulte Waregem
The teams in numbers
| Performance | La Louvière | Zulte Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 4 | 11 |
| xPoints | 10.1 | 10.6 |
| xG per match | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| xGA per match | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.61 | 0.24 |
| Playing style | La Louvière | Zulte Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| Field tilt | 0.29 | 0.41 |
| xT per match | 0.68 | 0.9 |
| xTA per match | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 26 | 29 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.21 | 0.15 |
| Entries into the box per match | 9 | 12 |
| Entries into the box against | 19 | 11 |
| Pass completion % | 0.7 | 0.74 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.63 | 0.66 |
| Passes per match | 265 | 312 |
| Passes against per match | 507 | 460 |
| Switches of play per match | 18.7 | 23.8 |
| Long balls per match | 27 | 30 |
| Set pieces | La Louvière | Zulte Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Corners per match | 3.2 | 4.6 |
| Corners against per match | 5.6 | 5.2 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.01 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.51 | 0.57 |
| Other | La Louvière | Zulte Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.7 | 0.68 |
| The goalkeepers | Marcos Peano (La Louvière) | Louis Bostyn (Zulte Waregem) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 24 | 21 |
| Save % | 59% | 81% |
| xG prevented | 29% | 60% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
- Kortrijk – Mechelen23 October 2026
- OH Leuven – Lommel24 October 2026
- Westerlo – Beveren24 October 2026
- Royal Antwerp – Royal Charleroi24 October 2026
- Genk – Standard Liège25 October 2026
- Club Brugge – Sint-Truiden25 October 2026
- Gent – Anderlecht25 October 2026
- Union Saint-Gilloise – Cercle Brugge25 October 2026
Frequently asked questions
Who wins La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem according to our model?
The model gives Zulte Waregem a 44% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: La Louvière 26%, draw 30%, Zulte Waregem 44%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 47% and under at 53%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 52% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem?
The model expects 1.12 goals (xG) for La Louvière and 1.45 for Zulte Waregem, 2.57 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
La Louvière or draw (1X) 56%, Zulte Waregem or draw (X2) 74% and no draw (12) 70%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.