Czech First League7°0,6 mm12 km/h

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    Baník OstravaBaník OstravaPossession control
    vs
    Viktoria PlzeňViktoria PlzeňPossession & high press
    The model's lean: 2 · Viktoria Plzeň (46%)

    Baník Ostrava vs Viktoria Plzeň · Czech First League

    1 · Baník Ostrava 25%X 29%46% Viktoria Plzeň · 2

    Prediction summary

    BetBuilders AI model prediction for Baník Ostrava vs Viktoria Plzeň (Czech First League, Sunday, 1 November 2026): Baník Ostrava win 25%, draw 29%, Viktoria Plzeň win 46%. Expected goals (xG): Baník Ostrava 1.31, Viktoria Plzeň 1.74. Most likely score: 1-1 (11%). Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 61%. Double chance: Baník Ostrava or draw 54%, Viktoria Plzeň or draw 75%. Prediction updated Friday, 23 October 2026.

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    Analysis: Baník Ostrava – Viktoria Plzeň

    Erik Lindberg · · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work

    1.9 versus 1.3 is the defensive gap, and it points toward Viktoria Plzeň. Baník Ostrava have possession control, but the visitors combine possession with a high press and hold every meaningful season edge: 16 points to 11, 18.1 xPoints to 12.2, 1.6 xG per match to 1.2, and that tighter xGA figure.

    The model makes Plzeň a 46% shot, ahead of the draw at 29% and Baník at 25%. Its 1.31–1.74 expected-goals split supports the visitors, even if 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline at 11%; 1-2 follows at 9%, then 0-1 at 8%. The clean read is Plzeň leaning away, with 1-1 the likeliest exact result.

    Baník’s 2W 0D 3L head-to-head record since 2023 is a small five-match sample and weighs less than current form and expected goals. Over 2.5 goals has a 59% model lean, while both teams scoring sits at 61%. Still, Plzeň’s defensive control is the sturdier angle: dull, well-supported positions pay the bills.

    Baník OstravaBaník Ostrava
    Form LLDLD
    League ranking xG #12xGA #16xT #12xP/match #13Points #13
    Key players
    • Michal FrydrychCBxG 0.23 · xT 0.20
    • Jiri BoulaCMxG 0.09 · xT 0.08
    • Vít ŠkrkoňFxG 0.42 · xT 0.08
    Viktoria PlzeňViktoria Plzeň
    Form LLWWL
    League ranking xG #4xGA #6xT #8xP/match #5Points #9
    Key players
    • Prince Kwabena AduFxG 0.67 · xT 0.07
    • Amar MemicRWxG 0.18 · xT 0.16
    • Sampson Kargeoh Dweh Jr.CBxG 0.11 · xT 0.11

    Match prediction: Baník Ostrava – Viktoria Plzeň

    Predicted score matrix

    Viktoria Plzeň →
    Baník Ostrava →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–05.1%
    0–17.9%
    0–27.2%
    0–34.1%
    0–4+2.7%
    1
    1–05.9%
    1–111.1%
    1–29.4%
    1–35.4%
    1–4+3.5%
    2
    2–04.1%
    2–17.1%
    2–26.2%
    2–33.6%
    2–4+2.3%
    3
    3–01.8%
    3–13.1%
    3–22.7%
    3–31.6%
    3–4+1.0%
    4+
    4+–00.8%
    4+–11.4%
    4+–21.2%
    4+–30.7%
    4+–4+0.4%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-111%
    2. 2.1-29%
    3. 3.0-18%
    4. 4.0-27%
    5. 5.2-17%
    Expected goals
    1,31–1,74
    Both teams to score
    61%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,0
    Under 2,541%
    @2.18
    Over 2,559%
    @1.62

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    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Viktoria Plzeň to win46%
    • Over 1.5 goals81%

    Combined probability

    39%

    Fair odds

    2.56

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 3 legs

    Balanced

    • Viktoria Plzeň to win46%
    • Over 2.5 goals59%
    • Patrik Hrošovský to score25%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The whole slip is priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches — the scorer interacts with result and total goals, never naive multiplication.

    03 · 4 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score61%
    • Over 2.5 goals59%
    • Patrik Hrošovský to score25%
    • Karel Spáčil to be booked19%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals, plus the match's most likely scorer and card candidate — all priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches.

    Odds & value

    Bookmaker1 · Baník OstravaX2 · Viktoria Plzeň
    Betsafe3.353.451.98
    Nordicbet3.353.451.98

    Odds updated 25 Oct, 21:36

    Odds movement

    1+3 %
    30 %25 %

    3.25 → 3.35

    X0 %
    29 %24 %

    3.45 → 3.45

    2-2 %
    48 %43 %

    2.02 → 1.98

    Over 2,5-2 %
    59 %54 %

    1.65 → 1.62

    Nordicbet · 3 recorded price levels · 25/10/2026 → 25/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Statistics

    Head-to-head

    5 matches
    Baník Ostrava 2Draw 0Viktoria Plzeň 3
    Goals: 4–7 (⌀ 2,2)

    Head-to-head based on Czech First League data since 2023.

    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    Baník Ostrava
    Viktoria Plzeň
    When goals are scored and conceded — 2026
    Baník Ostrava (7–18)
    Viktoria Plzeň (24–21)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    Baník Ostrava
    Jiri Boula: 167 passningar, xT 0.39BoulaRaymond Roan Nogha Nogha: 161 passningar, xT 0.09NoghaMartin Jedlicka: 153 passningar, xT 0.16JedlickaYevhenii Skyba: 127 passningar, xT 0.28SkybaAboubacar Traoré: 126 passningar, xT 0.66TraoréJiří Míček: 117 passningar, xT 0.2MíčekMichal Frydrych: 116 passningar, xT 0.71FrydrychAbdullahi Ibrahim Bewene: 112 passningar, xT 0.49BeweneDantaye Gilbert: 72 passningar, xT 0.32GilbertArtúr Musák: 66 passningar, xT 0.05MusákDaniel Holzer: 50 passningar, xT 0.41Holzer
    Viktoria Plzeň
    Sampson Kargeoh Dweh Jr.: 226 passningar, xT 0.47Jr.Filip Prebsl: 174 passningar, xT 0.15PrebslPatrik Hrošovský: 141 passningar, xT 0.28HrošovskýAdam Gabriel: 141 passningar, xT 0.53GabrielMerchas Doski: 126 passningar, xT 0.27DoskiTobiáš Pališčák: 113 passningar, xT 0.12PališčákFlorian Wiegele: 110 passningar, xT 0.16WiegeleAlexandr Sojka: 102 passningar, xT 0.35SojkaLukas Cerv: 89 passningar, xT 0.27CervStefan Pirgić: 66 passningar, xT 0.14PirgićTomas Ladra: 63 passningar, xT 0.8Ladra
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    Baník Ostrava
    Jiri Boula: 167 passningar, xT 0.39BoulaRaymond Roan Nogha Nogha: 161 passningar, xT 0.09NoghaMartin Jedlicka: 153 passningar, xT 0.16JedlickaYevhenii Skyba: 127 passningar, xT 0.28SkybaAboubacar Traoré: 126 passningar, xT 0.66TraoréJiří Míček: 117 passningar, xT 0.2MíčekMichal Frydrych: 116 passningar, xT 0.71FrydrychAbdullahi Ibrahim Bewene: 112 passningar, xT 0.49BeweneDantaye Gilbert: 72 passningar, xT 0.32GilbertArtúr Musák: 66 passningar, xT 0.05MusákDaniel Holzer: 50 passningar, xT 0.41Holzer
    Viktoria Plzeň
    Sampson Kargeoh Dweh Jr.: 226 passningar, xT 0.47Jr.Filip Prebsl: 174 passningar, xT 0.15PrebslPatrik Hrošovský: 141 passningar, xT 0.28HrošovskýAdam Gabriel: 141 passningar, xT 0.53GabrielMerchas Doski: 126 passningar, xT 0.27DoskiTobiáš Pališčák: 113 passningar, xT 0.12PališčákFlorian Wiegele: 110 passningar, xT 0.16WiegeleAlexandr Sojka: 102 passningar, xT 0.35SojkaLukas Cerv: 89 passningar, xT 0.27CervStefan Pirgić: 66 passningar, xT 0.14PirgićTomas Ladra: 63 passningar, xT 0.8Ladra

    The teams in numbers

    PerformanceBaník OstravaViktoria Plzeň
    Points1116
    xPoints12.218.1
    xG per match1.21.6
    xGA per match1.91.3
    xG within 8s of winning the ball0.290.25
    xGA within 8s of losing the ball0.30.26
    Playing styleBaník OstravaViktoria Plzeň
    Build-up efficiency0.330.33
    Field tilt0.520.47
    xT per match0.951.1
    xTA per match1.50.89
    Won balls, offensive half2124
    Pressing intensity0.240.23
    Pressing efficiency0.280.28
    Pressing efficiency, offensive half0.220.23
    Entries into the box per match1013
    Entries into the box against1413
    Pass completion %0.730.77
    Pass completion % under pressure0.70.73
    Passes per match285359
    Passes against per match315342
    Switches of play per match18.125.5
    Long balls per match2532
    Set piecesBaník OstravaViktoria Plzeň
    xG from free kicks0.040.15
    Corners per match4.94.8
    Corners against per match4.35.9
    xG per corner0.030.03
    xGA per corner against0.050.03
    First touch, offensive corners %0.510.47
    First touch, defensive corners %0.560.46
    OtherBaník OstravaViktoria Plzeň
    Throw-in control0.730.74
    The goalkeepersMartin Jedlicka (Baník Ostrava)Florian Wiegele (Viktoria Plzeň)
    Saves3036
    Save %63%67%
    xG prevented39%46%
    Claims0 (0%)0 (0%)

    Teams & more matches this round

    Baník Ostrava
    Fixtures, form & tips
    Viktoria Plzeň
    Fixtures, form & tips

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Baník Ostrava vs Viktoria Plzeň according to our model?

    The model gives Viktoria Plzeň a 46% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Baník Ostrava 25%, draw 29%, Viktoria Plzeň 46%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 59% and under at 41%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 61% according to the model.

    How many goals are expected in Baník Ostrava vs Viktoria Plzeň?

    The model expects 1.31 goals (xG) for Baník Ostrava and 1.74 for Viktoria Plzeň, 3.05 in total.

    What does the model say about double chance?

    Baník Ostrava or draw (1X) 54%, Viktoria Plzeň or draw (X2) 75% and no draw (12) 71%.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.