01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Slavia Praha to win48%
- Over 1.5 goals77%
Czech First League5°14 km/h
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JablonecPossession controlvs
Slavia PrahaPossession & high pressThe model's lean: 2 · Slavia Praha (48%)Best value by the model: X · Draw @ 3.70 (+2 %)
Jablonec vs Slavia Praha · Czech First League
1 · Jablonec 24%X 27%48% Slavia Praha · 2
24%
27%
48%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Jablonec vs Slavia Praha (Czech First League, Saturday, 31 October 2026): Jablonec win 24%, draw 27%, Slavia Praha win 48%. Expected goals (xG): Jablonec 1.17, Slavia Praha 1.59. Most likely score: 1-1 (12%). Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 55%. Double chance: Jablonec or draw 52%, Slavia Praha or draw 76%. Prediction updated Friday, 23 October 2026.
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Analysis: Jablonec – Slavia Praha
Erik Lindberg · · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work
FAKTA show two separate head-to-head stats that the text conflates: the overall "4 wins to 1 in 6 meetings" is the general historical record, while the "since 2023" record is specifically 6 matches with Jablonec 1W 1D 4L (i.e., a draw is involved, not a clean 4-1 split). Here is the corrected text:
48% for Slavia Praha is the desk’s direction, even if Jablonec make this awkward through possession control. The visitors bring 28 points to 20, 22.7 xPoints to 17.7, and a 2.3–1.6 xG edge. Their 0.88 xGA also beats the hosts’ 1.1. Slavia are unbeaten in their last 13 league matches. That is the steadier side of the ticket.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 0-1 at 10% and 1-2 at 9%. The analysis still points toward the visitors having more control, but the draw has real weight at 27%. Over 2.5 goals gets only a narrow 52% lean, despite both teams scoring at 55%; it is an over lean, not a chase.
Slavia dominate the overall head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 across 6 meetings, with 4.3 goals per meeting. Since 2023 specifically, the six meetings break down as Jablonec 1W 1D 4L. That history supports their edge, but season form and expected goals matter more than old scorelines. The sharp angle is the assessed EV+ draw: 3.7 with Betsafe or Nordicbet, rated at 27% by the model for a 2% edge.
JablonecForm LDWLW
League ranking xG #3xGA #4xT #3xP/match #7Points #6
Key players
- Nemanja TekijaskiCBxG 0.08 · xT 0.07
- Martin CedidlaRBxG 0.15 · xT 0.17
- Jan SuchanRWxG 0.24 · xT 0.11
Slavia PrahaForm WWWDD
League ranking xG #1xGA #1xT #1xP/match #1Points #1
Key players
- David ZimaCBxG 0.08 · xT 0.05
- Tomas ChoryFxG 0.73 · xT 0.06
- Tomas HolesCBxG 0.07 · xT 0.24
Match prediction: Jablonec – Slavia Praha
Predicted score matrix
Slavia Praha →
Jablonec →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–06.7%
0–19.7%
0–28.0%
0–34.2%
0–4+2.4%
1
1–07.1%
1–112.1%
1–29.4%
1–35.0%
1–4+2.8%
2
2–04.3%
2–16.9%
2–25.5%
2–32.9%
2–4+1.6%
3
3–01.7%
3–12.7%
3–22.1%
3–31.1%
3–4+0.6%
4+
4+–00.6%
4+–11.0%
4+–20.8%
4+–30.4%
4+–4+0.2%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-112%
- 2.0-110%
- 3.1-29%
- 4.0-28%
- 5.1-07%
Expected goals
1,17–1,59
Both teams to score
55%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,80
117%
224%
322%
415%
5+15%
Under 2,548%
@2.00
Over 2,552%
@1.72
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Slavia Praha to win48%
- Over 2.5 goals52%
- Danijel Sturm to score21%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score55%
- Over 2.5 goals52%
- Danijel Sturm to score21%
- Richard Sedláček to be booked21%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- X · Draw27% probability@3.70BetsafeEV+2%reference odds
- X · Draw27% probability@3.70NordicbetEV+2%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Jablonec | X | 2 · Slavia Praha |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 4.00 | EV+ 2% 3.70 | 1.72 |
| Nordicbet | 4.00 | EV+ 2% 3.70 | 1.72 |
Odds updated 26 Oct, 14:36
Odds movement
1-2 %
26 %21 %
4.10 → 4.00
X0 %
28 %23 %
3.70 → 3.70
20 %
54 %49 %
1.72 → 1.72
Over 2,50 %
56 %51 %
1.72 → 1.72
Nordicbet · 6 recorded price levels · 24/10/2026 → 26/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
6 matchesJablonec 1Draw 1Slavia Praha 4
Goals: 9–17 (⌀ 4,3)
Head-to-head based on Czech First League data since 2023.
Key facts
- SK Slavia Prague dominate this fixture historically: 4 wins to 1 in 6 meetings.
- A high-scoring fixture: 4.3 goals per meeting on average.
- SK Slavia Prague are unbeaten in their last 13 league matches.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Jablonec
Slavia Praha
Jablonec (16–13)
Slavia Praha (27–7)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Jablonec
Slavia Praha
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Jablonec
Slavia Praha
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Jablonec | Slavia Praha |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 20 | 28 |
| xPoints | 17.7 | 22.7 |
| xG per match | 1.6 | 2.3 |
| xGA per match | 1.1 | 0.88 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.37 | 0.47 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| Playing style | Jablonec | Slavia Praha |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| Field tilt | 0.52 | 0.67 |
| xT per match | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| xTA per match | 1.1 | 0.73 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 22 | 30 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| Entries into the box per match | 14 | 20 |
| Entries into the box against | 12 | 8 |
| Pass completion % | 0.78 | 0.74 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.72 | 0.71 |
| Passes per match | 388 | 344 |
| Passes against per match | 302 | 232 |
| Switches of play per match | 36 | 32.5 |
| Long balls per match | 36 | 41 |
| Set pieces | Jablonec | Slavia Praha |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| Corners per match | 5.8 | 6.5 |
| Corners against per match | 4 | 3.9 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.05 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.53 | 0.43 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.71 | 0.55 |
| Other | Jablonec | Slavia Praha |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.77 | 0.72 |
| The goalkeepers | Klemen Mihelak (Jablonec) | Jakub Markovič (Slavia Praha) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 15 | 19 |
| Save % | 75% | 76% |
| xG prevented | 50% | 48% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Jablonec vs Slavia Praha according to our model?
The model gives Slavia Praha a 48% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Jablonec 24%, draw 27%, Slavia Praha 48%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 52% and under at 48%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 55% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Jablonec vs Slavia Praha?
The model expects 1.17 goals (xG) for Jablonec and 1.59 for Slavia Praha, 2.76 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Jablonec or draw (1X) 52%, Slavia Praha or draw (X2) 76% and no draw (12) 73%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.