01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Sigma Olomouc or draw (1X)71%
- Over 1.5 goals76%
Czech First League6°3,3 mm13 km/h
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Sigma OlomoucCounter-attacks & crossesvs
Zbrojovka BrnoPossession controlThe model's lean: 1 · Sigma Olomouc (40%)Best value by the model: 2 · Zbrojovka Brno @ 3.80 (+20 %)
Sigma Olomouc vs Zbrojovka Brno · Czech First League
1 · Sigma Olomouc 40%X 29%31% Zbrojovka Brno · 2
40%
29%
31%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Sigma Olomouc vs Zbrojovka Brno (Czech First League, Saturday, 31 October 2026): Sigma Olomouc win 40%, draw 29%, Zbrojovka Brno win 31%. Expected goals (xG): Sigma Olomouc 1.56, Zbrojovka Brno 1.20. Most likely score: 1-1 (12%). Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 56%. Double chance: Sigma Olomouc or draw 69%, Zbrojovka Brno or draw 60%. Prediction updated Friday, 23 October 2026.
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Analysis: Sigma Olomouc – Zbrojovka Brno
Anna Karlsson · · A data-driven preview · How the predictions work
The central question is whether Sigma Olomouc can turn their counter-attacks and crosses into the decisive moments before Zbrojovka Brno’s possession game settles the rhythm. The hosts hold a 40% win probability against 31% for the visitors, with the draw at 29%, so the match-winner lean is plainly towards Olomouc. Yet this is not a clear home-control spot. Brno’s patient approach has the numbers behind it.
The visitors have earned 19.1 xPoints to Olomouc’s 14.1, despite trailing 21 points to 20 in the actual table. They also lead on xG per match, 1.4 to 1.1, and xGA per match, 1.3 to 1.4. That points to a Brno side producing the more sustainable underlying football, while the hosts have been more efficient in turning their matches into points. This is the tension: Olomouc have the marginal model edge, but Brno have the stronger process.
Expected goals of 1.56 for the hosts and 1.20 for the visitors make 1-1 the most likely scoreline at 12%, ahead of 1-0 at 10% and 2-1 at 9%. Rain of 3.3 mm at 6.4°C should make clean attacking sequences harder and usually suppresses goals, and that effect is already baked into the model’s numbers. Still, both teams to score rates at 56%, while over 2.5 goals sits at 52%. The over is only a slight lean, not a forceful one.
My score call is 1-1, with Sigma holding the narrowest of match-result edges but Brno carrying enough control and chance quality to resist defeat. The sharper betting assessment is away at 3.8 with Betsafe or Nordicbet: the model gives Zbrojovka a 31% chance, a 20% edge at those odds.
Sigma OlomoucForm WLDWD
League ranking xG #13xGA #9xT #15xP/match #12Points #4
Key players
- Péter BaráthCDMxG 0.21 · xT 0.04
- Abdoulaye SyllaCBxG 0.02 · xT 0.15
- Dominik JanosekCMxG 0.09 · xT 0.11
Zbrojovka BrnoForm WLLWD
League ranking xG #8xGA #8xT #7xP/match #4Points #7
Key players
- Amadou DanteLWBxG 0.03 · xT 0.16
- Jaromír ZmrhalLWBxG 0.02 · xT 0.21
- Kauan Carneiro da SilvaCBxG 0.06 · xT 0.09
Match prediction: Sigma Olomouc – Zbrojovka Brno
Predicted score matrix
Zbrojovka Brno →
Sigma Olomouc →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–06.7%
0–17.3%
0–24.6%
0–31.8%
0–4+0.7%
1
1–09.5%
1–112.2%
1–27.1%
1–32.9%
1–4+1.1%
2
2–07.7%
2–19.2%
2–25.5%
2–32.2%
2–4+0.9%
3
3–04.0%
3–14.8%
3–22.9%
3–31.1%
3–4+0.4%
4+
4+–02.2%
4+–12.6%
4+–21.6%
4+–30.6%
4+–4+0.2%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-112%
- 2.1-010%
- 3.2-19%
- 4.2-08%
- 5.0-17%
Expected goals
1,56–1,20
Both teams to score
56%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,80
117%
224%
322%
415%
5+15%
Under 2,548%
@1.98
Over 2,552%
@1.72
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Sigma Olomouc or draw (1X)71%
- Over 2.5 goals52%
- Václav Sejk to score28%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score56%
- Over 2.5 goals52%
- Václav Sejk to score28%
- Jakub Janetzký to be booked24%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 2 · Zbrojovka Brno31% probability@3.80BetsafeEV+20%reference odds
- 2 · Zbrojovka Brno31% probability@3.80NordicbetEV+20%reference odds
- X · Draw29% probability@3.50BetsafeEV+1%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Sigma Olomouc | X | 2 · Zbrojovka Brno |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 1.82 | EV+ 1% 3.50 | EV+ 20% 3.80 |
| Nordicbet | 1.82 | EV+ 1% 3.50 | EV+ 20% 3.80 |
Odds updated 24 Oct, 23:36
Odds movement
1-2 %
52 %47 %
1.85 → 1.82
X0 %
29 %24 %
3.50 → 3.50
2+3 %
27 %22 %
3.70 → 3.80
Over 2,50 %
56 %51 %
1.72 → 1.72
Nordicbet · 2 recorded price levels · 24/10/2026 → 24/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Sigma Olomouc
Zbrojovka Brno
Sigma Olomouc (19–15)
Zbrojovka Brno (16–16)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Sigma Olomouc
Zbrojovka Brno
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Sigma Olomouc
Zbrojovka Brno
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Sigma Olomouc | Zbrojovka Brno |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 21 | 20 |
| xPoints | 14.1 | 19.1 |
| xG per match | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| xGA per match | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.2 | 0.27 |
| Playing style | Sigma Olomouc | Zbrojovka Brno |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| Field tilt | 0.47 | 0.44 |
| xT per match | 0.87 | 1.1 |
| xTA per match | 1.1 | 1 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 19 | 24 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.3 | 0.29 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| Entries into the box per match | 9 | 11 |
| Entries into the box against | 11 | 12 |
| Pass completion % | 0.79 | 0.71 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.76 | 0.64 |
| Passes per match | 396 | 280 |
| Passes against per match | 310 | 377 |
| Switches of play per match | 24.7 | 21.2 |
| Long balls per match | 34 | 31 |
| Set pieces | Sigma Olomouc | Zbrojovka Brno |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| Corners per match | 4.2 | 4.3 |
| Corners against per match | 5.9 | 5.3 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.58 | 0.41 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.65 | 0.59 |
| Other | Sigma Olomouc | Zbrojovka Brno |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.73 | 0.7 |
| The goalkeepers | Jan Koutny (Sigma Olomouc) | Adam Hrdina (Zbrojovka Brno) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 40 | 37 |
| Save % | 76% | 73% |
| xG prevented | 64% | 42% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Sigma Olomouc vs Zbrojovka Brno according to our model?
The model gives Sigma Olomouc a 40% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Sigma Olomouc 40%, draw 29%, Zbrojovka Brno 31%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 52% and under at 48%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 56% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Sigma Olomouc vs Zbrojovka Brno?
The model expects 1.56 goals (xG) for Sigma Olomouc and 1.20 for Zbrojovka Brno, 2.76 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Sigma Olomouc or draw (1X) 69%, Zbrojovka Brno or draw (X2) 60% and no draw (12) 71%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.