01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Slovan Liberec to win63%
- Over 1.5 goals78%
Czech First League8°8,1 mm16 km/h
Läs på svenska
Slovan LiberecPossession controlvs
SlováckoPossession & high pressThe model's lean: 1 · Slovan Liberec (63%)
Slovan Liberec vs Slovácko · Czech First League
1 · Slovan Liberec 63%X 23%14% Slovácko · 2
63%
23%
14%
Bet on this match
NordicbetVälkommen in i matchen! Skapa ett konto, gör en insättning och hämta ett gratisspel värt 100 kr plus 50 freespins på Pirots 4.Claim the bonus at Nordicbet
BetsafeHämta ett 100 kr gratisspel + 50 freespins på Pirots 4 när du gör din första insättning hos Betsafe!Claim the bonus at Betsafe
18+ · Gamble responsibly · stodlinjen.se · Affiliate links
Analysis: Slovan Liberec – Slovácko
Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work
TEXT: Slovan Liberec's recent form offers a compelling narrative. Unbeaten in seven league matches, they have built a fortress in their possession-oriented play. This control not only stymies opponents but also sets up consistent scoring opportunities. Their expected goals tally of 1.97 for the upcoming match underscores a clear attacking edge over Slovácko, a side struggling to find its footing with an xG of just 0.86.
The historical head-to-head paints a stark picture: four meetings since 2023, all ending in victories for Liberec. This small sample doesn't dominate the analysis, but it aligns with the current trajectory. Slovácko's high press has proved ineffective against Liberec's composure, allowing the hosts to exploit openings with clinical precision.
The expected weather conditions—rain and cooler temperatures—might dampen the goal count, but this factor is already priced into the model's numbers. Even with rain in play, the likelihood of over 2.5 goals sits at 54%, suggesting a moderate tilt towards a match with multiple goals. The expected goals model also leans towards a solid defensive showing from the hosts, who concede less than their counterparts.
Value hunters might note that the model gives Liberec a 63% win probability, reflecting their robust recent form and Slovácko's lackluster points tally of just 4.
Ultimately, the analysis points to a likely 2-0 scoreline in favor of Liberec, reflecting their superior xG performance and defensive solidity. With both teams having a 50% chance to score and the over 2.5 goals probability at 54%, the data leans slightly towards a higher-scoring affair. Keep an eye on the odds; should they drift towards the hosts, the value proposition becomes even more attractive.
Slovan LiberecForm WWWWD
League ranking xG #3xGA #5xT #11xP/match #2Points #2
Key players
- Lukas MasekFxG 0.41 · xT -0.03
- Patrik DulayRWxG 0.30 · xT 0.10
- Vasil KušejCAMxG 0.11 · xT 0.13
SlováckoForm LDDLD
League ranking xG #14xGA #13xT #13xP/match #15Points #15
Key players
- Michal TravnikCAMxG 0.08 · xT 0.19
- Gigli NdefeRWxG 0.29 · xT 0.12
- Marek HavlikRWxG 0.05 · xT 0.14
Match prediction: Slovan Liberec – Slovácko
Predicted score matrix
Slovácko →
Slovan Liberec →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–06.2%
0–14.8%
0–22.2%
0–30.6%
0–4+0.2%
1
1–011.3%
1–110.3%
1–24.3%
1–31.2%
1–4+0.3%
2
2–011.4%
2–19.8%
2–24.2%
2–31.2%
2–4+0.3%
3
3–07.5%
3–16.5%
3–22.8%
3–30.8%
3–4+0.2%
4+
4+–05.8%
4+–15.0%
4+–22.2%
4+–30.6%
4+–4+0.2%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.2-011%
- 2.1-011%
- 3.1-110%
- 4.2-110%
- 5.3-08%
Expected goals
1,97–0,86
Both teams to score
50%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,80
116%
224%
322%
416%
5+16%
Under 2,546%
@1.90
Over 2,554%
@1.80
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Slovan Liberec to win63%
- Over 2.5 goals54%
- Vojtěch Stránský to score28%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score50%
- Over 2.5 goals54%
- Vojtěch Stránský to score28%
- Gibril Sosseh to be booked22%
Odds & value
| Bookmaker | 1 · Slovan Liberec | X | 2 · Slovácko |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 1.44 | 4.25 | 6.20 |
| Nordicbet | 1.44 | 4.25 | 6.20 |
Odds updated 2 Oct, 08:36
Odds movement
1+1 %
66 %61 %
1.43 → 1.44
X+2 %
24 %19 %
4.15 → 4.25
2-3 %
17 %12 %
6.40 → 6.20
Over 2,50 %
54 %49 %
1.80 → 1.80
Nordicbet · 2 recorded price levels · 02/10/2026 → 02/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
4 matchesSlovan Liberec 4Draw 0Slovácko 0
Goals: 13–1 (⌀ 3,5)
Head-to-head based on Czech First League data since 2023.
Key facts
- FC Slovan Liberec are unbeaten in their last 7 league matches.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Slovan Liberec
Slovácko
Slovan Liberec (13–4)
Slovácko (7–16)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Slovan Liberec
Slovácko
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Slovan Liberec
Slovácko
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Slovan Liberec | Slovácko |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 20 | 4 |
| xPoints | 15.6 | 9.3 |
| xG per match | 1.6 | 0.95 |
| xGA per match | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.31 | 0.13 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.18 | 0.43 |
| Playing style | Slovan Liberec | Slovácko |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| Field tilt | 0.49 | 0.49 |
| xT per match | 0.96 | 0.95 |
| xTA per match | 0.99 | 1.1 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 27 | 24 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| Entries into the box per match | 17 | 10 |
| Entries into the box against | 10 | 11 |
| Pass completion % | 0.68 | 0.78 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.65 | 0.72 |
| Passes per match | 255 | 342 |
| Passes against per match | 334 | 352 |
| Switches of play per match | 21.3 | 18.3 |
| Long balls per match | 32 | 27 |
| Set pieces | Slovan Liberec | Slovácko |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| Corners per match | 5.6 | 3.8 |
| Corners against per match | 3.9 | 4.2 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.01 |
| xGA per corner against | 0 | 0.04 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.58 | 0.44 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.64 | 0.45 |
| Other | Slovan Liberec | Slovácko |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.7 | 0.66 |
| The goalkeepers | Tomas Koubek (Slovan Liberec) | Milan Heca (Slovácko) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 23 | 19 |
| Save % | 85% | 70% |
| xG prevented | 66% | 52% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Slovan Liberec vs Slovácko according to our model?
The model gives Slovan Liberec a 63% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Slovan Liberec 63%, draw 23%, Slovácko 14%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 2-0 at 11% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and under at 46%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 50% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
More matches in the league
100 % upp till 600 kr på sport vid första insättningen
Min. insättning 100 kr. Omsättning 6× inom 60 dagar, odds från 1,80
Hämta bonus
Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos ComeOn — se aktuella villkor på ComeOns sida.
Se ComeOns villkor
Hämta bonus
Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos Hajper — se aktuella villkor på Hajpers sida.
Se Hajpers villkor
Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.