01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Slavia Praha to win72%
- Over 1.5 goals80%
Czech First League10°0,1 mm22 km/h
Läs på svenska
ZlínLow block & directvs
Slavia PrahaPossession & high pressThe model's lean: 2 · Slavia Praha (72%)Best value by the model: X · Draw @ 5.55 (+0 %)
Zlín vs Slavia Praha · Czech First League
1 · Zlín 10%X 18%72% Slavia Praha · 2
18%
72%
Bet on this match
NordicbetVälkommen in i matchen! Skapa ett konto, gör en insättning och hämta ett gratisspel värt 100 kr plus 50 freespins på Pirots 4.Claim the bonus at Nordicbet
BetsafeHämta ett 100 kr gratisspel + 50 freespins på Pirots 4 när du gör din första insättning hos Betsafe!Claim the bonus at Betsafe
18+ · Gamble responsibly · stodlinjen.se · Affiliate links
Analysis: Zlín – Slavia Praha
Oscar Nilsson · · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work
A glaring mismatch in form and firepower is evident as the league leaders, Slavia Praha, visit a struggling Zlín side. The visitors boast a 72% likelihood of victory, with their consistent scoring record over 16 consecutive matches further underlining their dominance. The hosts, meanwhile, have managed a mere single point this season. The model leans heavily towards a 0-2 away victory, supported by expected goals figures of 0.83 for Zlín and 2.14 for Slavia.
With Slavia touting a high-pressing possession style, they are well-equipped to exploit Zlín's frail defense, which concedes 1.6 expected goals per match. The head-to-head record is limited to two matches since 2023, with the visitors unbeaten in these encounters. However, this smaller sample should not distract from the clear discrepancy in current form and quality between the sides.
The over 2.5 goals market is priced at 57%, pointing to an inclination towards a higher scoring game. Yet, the most compelling value emerges in backing Slavia Praha to win to nil at odds of 2.00 with Fortuna. Given the visitors' defensive strength and Zlín's struggle to find the net, this wager presents a sharp angle for those looking to capitalize on the evening's action.
ZlínForm LLLLD
League ranking xG #16xGA #12xT #16xP/match #14Points #16
Key players
- Daniel ŠmigaFxG 0.23 · xT 0.13
- Marian PisojaRWxG 0.03 · xT 0.03
- Naphthalene Frank AppiahRWxG 0.09 · xT 0.19
Slavia PrahaForm DWWWW
League ranking xG #1xGA #2xT #3xP/match #1Points #1
Key players
- Tomas ChoryFxG 0.95 · xT -0.03
- Mojmir ChytilFxG 0.73 · xT 0.07
- Lukas ProvodFxG 0.19 · xT 0.32
Match prediction: Zlín – Slavia Praha
Predicted score matrix
Slavia Praha →
Zlín →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–05.4%
0–110.7%
0–211.8%
0–38.4%
0–4+7.4%
1
1–04.0%
1–19.4%
1–29.7%
1–37.0%
1–4+6.1%
2
2–01.8%
2–13.8%
2–24.0%
2–32.9%
2–4+2.5%
3
3–00.5%
3–11.0%
3–21.1%
3–30.8%
3–4+0.7%
4+
4+–00.1%
4+–10.3%
4+–20.3%
4+–30.2%
4+–4+0.2%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.0-212%
- 2.0-111%
- 3.1-210%
- 4.1-19%
- 5.0-38%
Expected goals
0,83–2,14
Both teams to score
50%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,00
115%
223%
322%
417%
5+18%
Under 2,543%
@2.32
Over 2,557%
@1.55
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Slavia Praha to win72%
- Over 2.5 goals57%
- Mojmír Chytil to score29%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score50%
- Over 2.5 goals57%
- Mojmír Chytil to score29%
- Stanislav Petruța to be booked21%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- X · Draw18% probability@5.55BetsafeEV+0%reference odds
- X · Draw18% probability@5.55NordicbetEV+0%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Zlín | X | 2 · Slavia Praha |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 9.50 | EV+ 0% 5.55 | 1.24 |
| Nordicbet | 9.50 | EV+ 0% 5.55 | 1.24 |
Odds updated 3 Oct, 06:36
Odds movement
10 %
12 %7 %
9.50 → 9.50
X0 %
19 %14 %
5.55 → 5.55
20 %
76 %71 %
1.24 → 1.24
Over 2,50 %
62 %57 %
1.55 → 1.55
Nordicbet · 2 recorded price levels · 02/10/2026 → 03/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
2 matchesZlín 0Draw 1Slavia Praha 1
Goals: 1–3 (⌀ 2)
Head-to-head based on Czech First League data since 2023.
Key facts
- SK Slavia Prague come into this round on 4 straight wins.
- SK Slavia Prague have scored in 16 consecutive league matches.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Zlín
Slavia Praha
Zlín (8–19)
Slavia Praha (25–6)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Zlín
Slavia Praha
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Zlín
Slavia Praha
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Zlín | Slavia Praha |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 1 | 23 |
| xPoints | 9.6 | 16.9 |
| xG per match | 0.86 | 2.3 |
| xGA per match | 1.6 | 0.96 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.17 | 0.52 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| Playing style | Zlín | Slavia Praha |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| Field tilt | 0.31 | 0.62 |
| xT per match | 0.65 | 1.2 |
| xTA per match | 1.1 | 0.81 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 24 | 28 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| Entries into the box per match | 8 | 17 |
| Entries into the box against | 15 | 9 |
| Pass completion % | 0.66 | 0.72 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| Passes per match | 220 | 308 |
| Passes against per match | 372 | 238 |
| Switches of play per match | 23.6 | 28.8 |
| Long balls per match | 32 | 39 |
| Set pieces | Zlín | Slavia Praha |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.04 | 0.01 |
| Corners per match | 4.8 | 5.7 |
| Corners against per match | 5.6 | 4.3 |
| xG per corner | 0.02 | 0.04 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.3 | 0.33 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.55 | 0.59 |
| Other | Zlín | Slavia Praha |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.68 | 0.72 |
| The goalkeepers | Stanislav Dostal (Zlín) | Jakub Markovič (Slavia Praha) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 25 | 17 |
| Save % | 60% | 74% |
| xG prevented | 32% | 46% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Zlín vs Slavia Praha according to our model?
The model gives Slavia Praha a 72% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Zlín 10%, draw 18%, Slavia Praha 72%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 0-2 at 12% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 57% and under at 43%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 50% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
More matches in the league
100 % upp till 600 kr på sport vid första insättningen
Min. insättning 100 kr. Omsättning 6× inom 60 dagar, odds från 1,80
Hämta bonus
Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos ComeOn — se aktuella villkor på ComeOns sida.
Se ComeOns villkor
Hämta bonus
Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos Hajper — se aktuella villkor på Hajpers sida.
Se Hajpers villkor
Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.