01 · 2 legs
Safe
- West Ham United to win62%
- Over 1.5 goals81%
EFL ChampionshipLondon Stadium, London13°0,2 mm16 km/h
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West Ham UnitedBalanced & physicalvs
Queens Park RangersPossession & high pressThe model's lean: 1 · West Ham United (62%)
West Ham United vs Queens Park Rangers · EFL Championship
1 · West Ham United 62%X 22%16% Queens Park Rangers · 2
62%
22%
16%
Bet on this match
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Analysis: West Ham United – Queens Park Rangers
Marcus Johansson · · Analysis from the match model · How the predictions work
With West Ham United set to face Queens Park Rangers, the clash of styles is as intriguing as the numbers behind them. West Ham, boasting a balanced and physical approach, has been the more consistent side, going unbeaten in their last six league encounters. They're up against QPR's high-pressing, possession-focused strategy, which has shown flashes of promise but lacks the same level of consistency.
The Hammers have been potent in front of goal, scoring in eight consecutive league matches and generating an impressive xG of 2.2 per match. This offensive prowess is likely to pose significant problems for a QPR side whose xGA is slightly better at 1.2, but may struggle to contain West Ham's attacking threat. The expected goals clearly lean towards the hosts, with West Ham anticipated to rack up around 1.95, compared to the visitors' 1.08.
While QPR’s possession game could disrupt West Ham's rhythm, the visitors' relatively low probability of winning (16%) suggests their chances of pulling off an upset are slim. The tactical nuance here lies in West Ham's ability to convert their physical edge into goals, especially given that the most likely scorelines include a West Ham victory by either 2-1 or 2-0. The model odds give them a strong 62% chance of taking all three points, reinforcing the expectation of a home win.
For bettors, the over 2.5 goals market looks enticing, with a 58% probability pointing to a match with multiple goals. Both teams are expected to find the back of the net (57% probability), yet the edge tilts firmly towards West Ham. Given these insights, Bet365 offers value with West Ham to win and both teams to score at attractive odds.
West Ham UnitedForm WWWWD
League ranking xG #1xGA #11xT #6xP/match #6Points #3
Key players
- Joel PiroeFxG 0.56 · xT 0.02
- Jarrod BowenRWxG 0.54 · xT 0.31
- Valentín CastellanosFxG 0.28 · xT 0.02
Queens Park RangersForm WLDDD
League ranking xG #8xGA #2xT #3xP/match #7Points #7
Key players
- Alfie LloydFxG 0.40 · xT -0.01
- Ilias ChairLWxG 0.54 · xT 0.34
- Rumarn Kameron-Scott BurrellFxG 0.31 · xT 0.03
Match prediction: West Ham United – Queens Park Rangers
Predicted score matrix
Queens Park Rangers →
West Ham United →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–05.1%
0–14.9%
0–22.8%
0–31.0%
0–4+0.3%
1
1–09.1%
1–110.5%
1–25.5%
1–32.0%
1–4+0.7%
2
2–09.2%
2–19.9%
2–25.3%
2–31.9%
2–4+0.7%
3
3–06.0%
3–16.5%
3–23.5%
3–31.2%
3–4+0.4%
4+
4+–04.6%
4+–14.9%
4+–22.7%
4+–31.0%
4+–4+0.3%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-110%
- 2.2-110%
- 3.2-09%
- 4.1-09%
- 5.3-16%
Expected goals
1,95–1,08
Both teams to score
57%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,00
114%
222%
322%
417%
5+19%
Under 2,542%
@2.35
Over 2,558%
@1.52
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- West Ham United to win62%
- Over 2.5 goals58%
- Jarrod Bowen to score40%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score57%
- Over 2.5 goals58%
- Jarrod Bowen to score40%
- Glen Adjei Kamara to be booked22%
Odds & value
| Bookmaker | 1 · West Ham United | X | 2 · Queens Park Rangers |
|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 1.52 | 4.33 | 5.20 |
Odds updated 2 Oct, 07:04
Statistics
Key facts
- West Ham United are unbeaten in their last 6 league matches.
- West Ham United have scored in 8 consecutive league matches.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
West Ham United
Queens Park Rangers
West Ham United (22–11)
Queens Park Rangers (10–7)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
West Ham United
Queens Park Rangers
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
West Ham United
Queens Park Rangers
The teams in numbers
| Performance | West Ham United | Queens Park Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 15 | 13 |
| xPoints | 12.8 | 12.6 |
| xG per match | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| xGA per match | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| Playing style | West Ham United | Queens Park Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.27 | 0.3 |
| Field tilt | 0.61 | 0.55 |
| xT per match | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| xTA per match | 0.78 | 1 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 22 | 21 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| Entries into the box per match | 15 | 16 |
| Entries into the box against | 11 | 12 |
| Pass completion % | 0.81 | 0.79 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.77 | 0.74 |
| Passes per match | 432 | 387 |
| Passes against per match | 306 | 386 |
| Switches of play per match | 33 | 28.9 |
| Long balls per match | 32 | 33 |
| Set pieces | West Ham United | Queens Park Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.19 | 0.05 |
| Corners per match | 6.7 | 6.7 |
| Corners against per match | 4.8 | 3.9 |
| xG per corner | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.4 | 0.43 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| Other | West Ham United | Queens Park Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.7 | 0.73 |
| The goalkeepers | Mads Hermansen (West Ham United) | Pierce Joseph Charles (Queens Park Rangers) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 20 | 19 |
| Save % | 71% | 73% |
| xG prevented | 39% | 63% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
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Frequently asked questions
Who wins West Ham United vs Queens Park Rangers according to our model?
The model gives West Ham United a 62% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: West Ham United 62%, draw 22%, Queens Park Rangers 16%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 10% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 58% and under at 42%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 57% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.