01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Wycombe Wanderers or draw (X2)67%
- Under 3.5 goals74%
EFL League OnePlough Lane, London8°18 km/h
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WimbledonLow block & directvs
Wycombe WanderersPossession controlThe model's lean: 2 · Wycombe Wanderers (39%)Best value by the model: X · Draw @ 3.50 (+4 %)
Wimbledon vs Wycombe Wanderers · EFL League One
1 · Wimbledon 32%X 30%39% Wycombe Wanderers · 2
32%
30%
39%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Wimbledon vs Wycombe Wanderers (EFL League One, Saturday, 24 October 2026): Wimbledon win 32%, draw 30%, Wycombe Wanderers win 39%. Expected goals (xG): Wimbledon 1.22, Wycombe Wanderers 1.38. Most likely score: 1-1 (13%). Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 53%. Double chance: Wimbledon or draw 61%, Wycombe Wanderers or draw 68%. Prediction updated Friday, 16 October 2026.
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Analysis: Wimbledon – Wycombe Wanderers
Oscar Nilsson · · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work
Wycombe Wanderers' ability to score in 11 straight league matches presents a compelling case for backing the visitors, especially given their 39% win probability. Despite Wimbledon having a slight edge in points, the xPoints lean towards Wycombe, suggesting their underlying performances have been stronger. This clash of styles—Wimbledon's direct approach versus Wycombe's possession focus—adds an intriguing tactical layer, but the numbers suggest the visitors might just have the upper hand.
In terms of expected goals, Wimbledon sits at 1.22 compared to Wycombe's 1.38, indicating a slight attacking advantage for the away team. The most likely scoreline, a 1-1 draw at 13%, reflects the market's expectation of a closely contested match. However, the model also sees a 10% chance of a 0-1 Wycombe win, which aligns with their recent scoring consistency and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.
Despite Wimbledon winning one of the two recent head-to-head encounters, the sample is too small to heavily influence predictions. Wycombe's scoring streak and their control-based style could cause issues for Wimbledon, though on xGA per match, Wimbledon actually holds the edge (1.5 vs Wycombe's 1.7), suggesting their defense has been comparatively more solid. This may offset some of Wycombe's attacking threat, despite Wimbledon's home advantage.
With an over 2.5 goals probability at 48% and both teams to score at 53%, the market leans slightly towards a tight scoring game, but not decisively. The tension here revolves around whether Wycombe can convert their possession into goals against a side that prefers to keep things tight and direct.
In terms of betting value, Wycombe Wanderers are worth a look given their slight edge across several predictive metrics. As always, this is an assessment, not a guarantee.
WimbledonForm WWDDL
League ranking xG #18xGA #16xT #15xP/match #18Points #12
Key players
- Steven Jeffrey SeddonLWxG 0.08 · xT 0.14
- Jayden Connor StockleyFxG 0.32 · xT 0.02
- Andrew Kyere YiadomRBxG 0.03 · xT 0.08
Wycombe WanderersForm DWWDL
League ranking xG #11xGA #19xT #8xP/match #17Points #15
Key players
- Ewan HendersonCMxG 0.08 · xT 0.21
- Jayden WarehamFxG 0.50 · xT 0.00
- Daniel HarvieLBxG 0.17 · xT 0.19
Match prediction: Wimbledon – Wycombe Wanderers
Predicted score matrix
Wycombe Wanderers →
Wimbledon →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–07.8%
0–19.9%
0–27.0%
0–33.2%
0–4+1.5%
1
1–08.7%
1–112.9%
1–28.6%
1–33.9%
1–4+1.8%
2
2–05.6%
2–17.7%
2–25.3%
2–32.4%
2–4+1.1%
3
3–02.3%
3–13.1%
3–22.1%
3–31.0%
3–4+0.5%
4+
4+–00.9%
4+–11.2%
4+–20.9%
4+–30.4%
4+–4+0.2%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-113%
- 2.0-110%
- 3.1-09%
- 4.1-29%
- 5.0-08%
Expected goals
1,22–1,38
Both teams to score
53%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,608%
119%
225%
322%
414%
5+12%
Under 2,552%
@1.91
Over 2,548%
@1.80
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Wycombe Wanderers or draw (X2)67%
- Under 2.5 goals52%
- Luke Leahy to score26%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score53%
- Over 2.5 goals48%
- Luke Leahy to score26%
- Alistair Oluwashaun Smith to be booked22%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- X · Draw30% probability@3.50LeoVegasEV+4%reference odds
- Under 3.574% probability@1.36LeoVegasEV+0%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Wimbledon | X | 2 · Wycombe Wanderers |
|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 3.05 | EV+ 4% 3.50 | 2.10 |
Odds updated 17 Oct, 20:37
Odds movement
1+11 %
36 %26 %
2.75 → 3.05
X+9 %
32 %22 %
3.20 → 3.50
2-12 %
46 %36 %
2.40 → 2.10
LeoVegas · 3 recorded price levels · 17/10/2026 → 17/10/2026 · fixed scale 10 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
2 matchesWimbledon 1Draw 0Wycombe Wanderers 1
Goals: 2–3 (⌀ 2,5)
Head-to-head based on League One data since 2023.
Key facts
- Wycombe Wanderers have scored in 11 consecutive league matches.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Wimbledon
Wycombe Wanderers
Wimbledon (7–10)
Wycombe Wanderers (14–20)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Wimbledon
Wycombe Wanderers
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Wimbledon
Wycombe Wanderers
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Wimbledon | Wycombe Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 12 | 10 |
| xPoints | 10.6 | 11.1 |
| xG per match | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| xGA per match | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.2 | 0.18 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.2 | 0.27 |
| Playing style | Wimbledon | Wycombe Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| Field tilt | 0.48 | 0.48 |
| xT per match | 0.94 | 1.1 |
| xTA per match | 1.1 | 0.96 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 29 | 23 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| Entries into the box per match | 12 | 14 |
| Entries into the box against | 13 | 12 |
| Pass completion % | 0.64 | 0.71 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.62 | 0.65 |
| Passes per match | 241 | 312 |
| Passes against per match | 308 | 320 |
| Switches of play per match | 12.5 | 22.7 |
| Long balls per match | 26 | 34 |
| Set pieces | Wimbledon | Wycombe Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.05 | 0.19 |
| Corners per match | 5.5 | 5.3 |
| Corners against per match | 5.8 | 5.5 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.07 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.41 | 0.4 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.62 | 0.62 |
| Other | Wimbledon | Wycombe Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.73 | 0.71 |
| The goalkeepers | Josef John Bursik (Wimbledon) | Conor William Hazard (Wycombe Wanderers) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 23 | 25 |
| Save % | 89% | 60% |
| xG prevented | 87% | 32% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
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Frequently asked questions
Who wins Wimbledon vs Wycombe Wanderers according to our model?
The model gives Wycombe Wanderers a 39% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Wimbledon 32%, draw 30%, Wycombe Wanderers 39%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 48% and under at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 53% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Wimbledon vs Wycombe Wanderers?
The model expects 1.22 goals (xG) for Wimbledon and 1.38 for Wycombe Wanderers, 2.60 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Wimbledon or draw (1X) 61%, Wycombe Wanderers or draw (X2) 68% and no draw (12) 70%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.