01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Peterborough United to win48%
- Over 1.5 goals78%
EFL League OneHayes Lane, Bromley8°17 km/h
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BromleyLow block & directvs
Peterborough UnitedPossession controlThe model's lean: 2 · Peterborough United (48%)Best value by the model: Under 2,5 @ 2.38 (+9 %)
Bromley vs Peterborough United · EFL League One
1 · Bromley 28%X 25%48% Peterborough United · 2
28%
25%
48%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Bromley vs Peterborough United (EFL League One, Saturday, 24 October 2026): Bromley win 28%, draw 25%, Peterborough United win 48%. Expected goals (xG): Bromley 1.15, Peterborough United 1.70. Most likely score: 1-1 (12%). Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 56%. Double chance: Bromley or draw 52%, Peterborough United or draw 72%. Prediction updated Friday, 16 October 2026.
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Analysis: Bromley – Peterborough United
Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work
TEXT:
The numbers tell a pressing story: Peterborough United have an evident edge over Bromley, reflected in both expected goals and points. With Peterborough's model probability at 48%, they are clear favorites, while Bromley sits at just 28%. Although Bromley's direct and low-defence approach contrasts sharply with Peterborough's possession-oriented style, the visitors are likely to dictate the pace and control the game.
Expected goals present a clear narrative, too. Peterborough's 1.70 xG suggests a potent attack that should trouble Bromley's vulnerable defense, which concedes an alarming 2.2 xGA per match. In contrast, Bromley’s 0.85 xG per match speaks to their struggling offensive capabilities against a defense that is marginally more solid with 1.8 xGA per match. These figures hint at a game where Bromley might find it challenging to break through while being susceptible at the back.
The head-to-head data is limited, but broader form trends underscore Peterborough's superiority. The visitors' xG within 8 seconds of regaining possession is 0.21, compared to Bromley’s 0.14, indicating a sharper, more efficient transition play. With the most likely scoreline models pointing to a 1-1 or 1-2 outcome, Peterborough’s capacity to capitalize on Bromley's defensive frailties could be decisive.
Betting assessments align with these insights. The combination of Bromley’s defensive issues and Peterborough’s scoring potential suggests value in backing the over 2.5 goals market, which is priced at 54%. For those seeking an edge, backing Peterborough to win reflects a calculated risk based on form and statistical edge rather than mere speculation.
BromleyForm LLDWL
League ranking xG #22xGA #24xT #21xP/match #24Points #21
Key players
- Mitchell Bernard PinnockFxG 0.05 · xT 0.18
- Ayomide Victor AdeboyejoLWxG 0.43 · xT -0.07
- Michael CheekFxG 0.12 · xT -0.02
Peterborough UnitedForm LDLLW
League ranking xG #15xGA #22xT #4xP/match #20Points #20
Key players
- Owura Nsiah EdwardsLWxG 0.11 · xT 0.21
- David Chukwudubem OkagbueCBxG 0.12 · xT 0.07
- Harley MillsLBxG 0.02 · xT 0.18
Match prediction: Bromley – Peterborough United
Predicted score matrix
Peterborough United →
Bromley →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–06.1%
0–19.5%
0–28.3%
0–34.7%
0–4+2.9%
1
1–06.3%
1–111.7%
1–29.6%
1–35.4%
1–4+3.4%
2
2–03.9%
2–16.5%
2–25.5%
2–33.1%
2–4+1.9%
3
3–01.5%
3–12.5%
3–22.1%
3–31.2%
3–4+0.7%
4+
4+–00.5%
4+–10.9%
4+–20.8%
4+–30.4%
4+–4+0.3%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-112%
- 2.1-210%
- 3.0-19%
- 4.0-28%
- 5.2-17%
Expected goals
1,15–1,70
Both teams to score
56%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,90
116%
224%
322%
416%
5+16%
Under 2,546%
@2.38EV+9%
Over 2,554%
@1.52
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Peterborough United to win48%
- Over 2.5 goals54%
- Harry Paul Leonard to score25%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score56%
- Over 2.5 goals54%
- Harry Paul Leonard to score25%
- Ethan Williams to be booked21%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- Under 2.546% probability@2.38LeoVegasEV+9%reference odds
- 2 · Peterborough United48% probability@2.25LeoVegasEV+7%reference odds
- Under 3.568% probability@1.57LeoVegasEV+7%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Bromley | X | 2 · Peterborough United |
|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 2.70 | 3.70 | EV+ 7% 2.25 |
Odds updated 17 Oct, 20:37
Odds movement
10 %
37 %32 %
2.70 → 2.70
X+9 %
28 %23 %
3.40 → 3.70
2-4 %
43 %38 %
2.35 → 2.25
LeoVegas · 3 recorded price levels · 17/10/2026 → 17/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Bromley
Peterborough United
Bromley (9–20)
Peterborough United (7–14)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Bromley
Peterborough United
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Bromley
Peterborough United
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Bromley | Peterborough United |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 8 | 8 |
| xPoints | 7.8 | 9.8 |
| xG per match | 0.85 | 1.3 |
| xGA per match | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.14 | 0.21 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.54 | 0.36 |
| Playing style | Bromley | Peterborough United |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| Field tilt | 0.38 | 0.53 |
| xT per match | 0.69 | 1.2 |
| xTA per match | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 26 | 25 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.3 | 0.32 |
| Entries into the box per match | 9 | 13 |
| Entries into the box against | 16 | 14 |
| Pass completion % | 0.53 | 0.74 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.54 | 0.7 |
| Passes per match | 149 | 387 |
| Passes against per match | 339 | 314 |
| Switches of play per match | 12.3 | 17.4 |
| Long balls per match | 29 | 29 |
| Set pieces | Bromley | Peterborough United |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| Corners per match | 3 | 5.7 |
| Corners against per match | 7.2 | 5.4 |
| xG per corner | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.29 | 0.57 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.48 | 0.52 |
| Other | Bromley | Peterborough United |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.73 | 0.73 |
| The goalkeepers | Shamal Tyrell George (Bromley) | Alexander Michael Bass (Peterborough United) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 27 | 29 |
| Save % | 66% | 69% |
| xG prevented | 47% | 33% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
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- Doncaster Rovers – Sheffield Wednesday24 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Burton Albion – Leyton Orient24 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Oxford United – Bradford City24 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Wimbledon – Wycombe Wanderers24 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Cambridge United – Plymouth Argyle24 October 2026 16:00 CEST
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Bromley vs Peterborough United according to our model?
The model gives Peterborough United a 48% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Bromley 28%, draw 25%, Peterborough United 48%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and under at 46%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 56% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Bromley vs Peterborough United?
The model expects 1.15 goals (xG) for Bromley and 1.70 for Peterborough United, 2.85 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Bromley or draw (1X) 52%, Peterborough United or draw (X2) 72% and no draw (12) 75%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.