01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Grimsby Town or draw (1X)66%
- Over 1.5 goals79%
EFL League TwoBlundell Park, Cleethorpes10°9 km/h
Läs på svenska
Grimsby TownPossession controlvs
York CityPossession controlThe model's lean: 1 · Grimsby Town (40%)
Grimsby Town vs York City · EFL League Two
1 · Grimsby Town 40%X 27%33% York City · 2
40%
27%
33%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Grimsby Town vs York City (EFL League Two, Saturday, 31 October 2026): Grimsby Town win 40%, draw 27%, York City win 33%. Expected goals (xG): Grimsby Town 1.50, York City 1.38. Most likely score: 1-1 (12%). Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 58%. Double chance: Grimsby Town or draw 67%, York City or draw 60%. Prediction updated Friday, 23 October 2026.
Bet on this match
NordicbetVälkommen in i matchen! Skapa ett konto, gör en insättning och hämta ett gratisspel värt 100 kr plus 50 freespins på Pirots 4.Claim the bonus at Nordicbet
BetsafeHämta ett 100 kr gratisspel + 50 freespins på Pirots 4 när du gör din första insättning hos Betsafe!Claim the bonus at Betsafe
18+ · Gamble responsibly · stodlinjen.se · Affiliate links
Analysis: Grimsby Town – York City
Erik Lindberg · · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work
40% is enough to make Grimsby Town the model’s lean, but not enough to dress this up as a comfortable home win. York City carry 33%, with the draw at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12%; 2-1 follows at 9%, then 1-0 at 8%.
The visitors are unbeaten in their last 5 league matches and lead on points, 20 to 17. Form favours York. The underlying numbers lean back to the hosts: 18.2 xPoints against 17.3, and 1.8 xG per match against 1.7. York’s 1.1 xGA per match beats Grimsby’s 1.3, so neither possession-control side should find much free space.
That leaves a narrow home edge, with 1-1 the likeliest individual outcome and 2-1 the preferred winning script. Both teams to score sits at 58%, while Over 2.5 goals has a 55% model lean from 1.50 and 1.38 expected goals. Tråkiga, well-supported numbers pay the bills: Over 2.5 is the sharpest angle.
Grimsby TownForm LLLDW
League ranking xG #2xGA #15xT #1xP/match #11Points #11
Key players
- Geza David TuriCDMxG 0.13 · xT 0.13
- Jamie WalkerCDMxG 0.09 · xT 0.14
- Cameron McjannettCBxG 0.06 · xT 0.09
York CityForm WDDDW
League ranking xG #5xGA #5xT #2xP/match #8Points #5
Key players
- Alexander John HuntCAMxG 0.10 · xT 0.10
- Alexander Lewis NewbyFxG 0.41 · xT 0.10
- Mark Stephen KitchingCBxG 0.01 · xT 0.14
Match prediction: Grimsby Town – York City
Predicted score matrix
York City →
Grimsby Town →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–06.0%
0–17.4%
0–25.3%
0–32.4%
0–4+1.1%
1
1–08.1%
1–112.0%
1–28.0%
1–33.7%
1–4+1.7%
2
2–06.3%
2–18.7%
2–26.0%
2–32.8%
2–4+1.3%
3
3–03.2%
3–14.4%
3–23.0%
3–31.4%
3–4+0.6%
4+
4+–01.7%
4+–12.3%
4+–21.6%
4+–30.7%
4+–4+0.3%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-112%
- 2.2-19%
- 3.1-08%
- 4.1-28%
- 5.0-17%
Expected goals
1,50–1,38
Both teams to score
58%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,90
116%
224%
322%
416%
5+16%
Under 2,545%
@2.18
Over 2,555%
@1.65
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Grimsby Town or draw (1X)66%
- Over 2.5 goals55%
- Andrew Ellis Cook to score22%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score58%
- Over 2.5 goals55%
- Olliver Robert Pearce to score23%
- Joseph Grey to be booked22%
Odds & value
| Bookmaker | 1 · Grimsby Town | X | 2 · York City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 2.22 | 3.45 | 2.90 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25 | 3.60 | 2.75 |
| Nordicbet | 2.22 | 3.45 | 2.90 |
Odds updated 26 Oct, 15:36
Odds movement
1+2 %
44 %39 %
2.20 → 2.25
X-1 %
28 %23 %
3.65 → 3.60
20 %
36 %31 %
2.75 → 2.75
Over 2,50 %
60 %55 %
1.61 → 1.61
LeoVegas · 3 recorded price levels · 24/10/2026 → 25/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Key facts
- York City are unbeaten in their last 5 league matches.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Grimsby Town
York City
Grimsby Town (19–16)
York City (21–13)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Grimsby Town
York City
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Grimsby Town
York City
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Grimsby Town | York City |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 17 | 20 |
| xPoints | 18.2 | 17.3 |
| xG per match | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| xGA per match | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| Playing style | Grimsby Town | York City |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| Field tilt | 0.6 | 0.59 |
| xT per match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| xTA per match | 0.78 | 0.68 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 32 | 22 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.4 | 0.32 |
| Entries into the box per match | 16 | 13 |
| Entries into the box against | 9 | 10 |
| Pass completion % | 0.66 | 0.78 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.62 | 0.73 |
| Passes per match | 274 | 452 |
| Passes against per match | 219 | 254 |
| Switches of play per match | 23.6 | 25.9 |
| Long balls per match | 37 | 35 |
| Set pieces | Grimsby Town | York City |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| Corners per match | 6.5 | 5.6 |
| Corners against per match | 5.6 | 5 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.04 | 0.02 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.6 | 0.53 |
| Other | Grimsby Town | York City |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.7 | 0.81 |
| The goalkeepers | Christy James Pym (Grimsby Town) | Alfie Shane McNally (York City) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 28 | 31 |
| Save % | 68% | 71% |
| xG prevented | 54% | 56% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
- Newport County – Chesterfield30 October 2026 20:45 CET
- Port Vale – Rochdale31 October 2026 13:30 CET
- Crewe Alexandra – Barnet31 October 2026 16:00 CET
- Accrington Stanley – Northampton Town31 October 2026 16:00 CET
- Swindon Town – Rotherham United31 October 2026 16:00 CET
- Tranmere Rovers – Cheltenham Town31 October 2026 16:00 CET
- Salford City – Exeter City31 October 2026 16:00 CET
- Oldham Athletic – Crawley Town31 October 2026 16:00 CET
- Shrewsbury Town – Gillingham31 October 2026 16:00 CET
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Grimsby Town vs York City according to our model?
The model gives Grimsby Town a 40% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Grimsby Town 40%, draw 27%, York City 33%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 55% and under at 45%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 58% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Grimsby Town vs York City?
The model expects 1.50 goals (xG) for Grimsby Town and 1.38 for York City, 2.88 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Grimsby Town or draw (1X) 67%, York City or draw (X2) 60% and no draw (12) 73%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
More matches in the league
100 % upp till 600 kr på sport vid första insättningen
Min. insättning 100 kr. Omsättning 6× inom 60 dagar, odds från 1,80
Hämta bonus
Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos ComeOn — se aktuella villkor på ComeOns sida.
Se ComeOns villkor
Hämta bonus
Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos Hajper — se aktuella villkor på Hajpers sida.
Se Hajpers villkor
Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.