Iraklis 1908 vs Kifisia Prediction: Away win 41% (24 Oct 2026)

Greek Super League24 October 202616°11 km/h

Iraklis 1908Low block & direct

KifisiaPossession control

The model's lean: 2 · Kifisia (41%)

Limited data — The model has few previous matches with these teams in this league — the forecast therefore rests on thinner data than usual.

1 · Iraklis 1908 30%X 29%41% Kifisia · 2

30%

29%

41%

Prediction summary

BetBuilders AI model prediction for Iraklis 1908 vs Kifisia (Greek Super League, Saturday, 24 October 2026): Iraklis 1908 win 30%, draw 29%, Kifisia win 41%. Expected goals (xG): Iraklis 1908 1.09, Kifisia 1.19. Most likely score: 1-1 (14%). Over 2.5 goals 40%, both teams to score 47%. Double chance: Iraklis 1908 or draw 59%, Kifisia or draw 70%. Prediction updated Friday, 16 October 2026.

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Analysis: Iraklis 1908 – Kifisia

Erik Lindberg · 19 October 2026 · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work

The numbers suggest a controlled but cautious encounter between Iraklis 1908 and Kifisia. The home side, known for their low defensive block and direct play, will face a Kifisia team that prefers possession control. Given these stylistic differences, the match will likely see the hosts sitting back and trying to exploit counter-attacks, while Kifisia maintains ball control, probing for openings. The model leans slightly towards Kifisia, with a 41% chance of victory, highlighting their tactical edge.

Iraklis might have a slight advantage in points, with 9 to Kifisia's 8. However, the expected points tell a different story: Kifisia's xPoints of 10.9 dwarf Iraklis's 7.5. This reflects a more consistent underlying performance from the visitors, despite their current points tally. Kifisia's superior expected goals per match of 1.3, compared to Iraklis's 0.63, further supports this narrative. Meanwhile, Iraklis's defensive frailties are evident in their expected goals against per match of 1.5, suggesting vulnerabilities that Kifisia could exploit.

The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, favored by the model at 14%, with the 0-1 to Kifisia following closely at 12%. Both teams to score sits at 47%, indicating an almost even chance of each team finding the net, though under 2.5 goals seems more probable at 60%. The defensive posturing from Iraklis combined with Kifisia's control might result in a low-scoring affair, with goals at a premium.

The sharpest angle here is undoubtedly Kifisia's away win, offering value at odds of 2.72 with Betsafe, Nordicbet, and LeoVegas. The model's 41% estimate against these odds presents a solid 10% edge — a rare find for those seeking a calculated, risk-adjusted play. Given the statistical backing, this looks to be the most prudent bet, leaning on Kifisia's controlled style to edge past an Iraklis side vulnerable at the back.

Iraklis 1908

Form WDDWL

League ranking xG #14xGA #10xT #14xP/match #11Points #8

Key players

Carles SoriaRWBxG 0.04 · xT 0.15
Eulânio Ângelo Chipela GomesLBxG 0.03 · xT 0.03
Iván López ÁlvarezLWxG 0.27 · xT 0.09

Kifisia

Form LDWWL

League ranking xG #6xGA #4xT #3xP/match #6Points #10

Key players

Jorge Marcos Pombo EscobarCAMxG 0.38 · xT 0.19
Konstantinos RoukounakisCDMxG 0.03 · xT 0.12
Jeremy Cornelis Jacobus AntonisseLWxG 0.03 · xT 0.10

Match prediction: Iraklis 1908 – Kifisia

Predicted score matrix

Kifisia →

Iraklis 1908 →

0–010.6%

0–111.8%

0–27.3%

0–32.9%

0–4+1.1%

1–010.7%

1–113.7%

1–27.9%

1–33.1%

1–4+1.2%

2–06.0%

2–17.2%

2–24.3%

2–31.7%

2–4+0.7%

3–02.2%

3–12.6%

3–21.6%

3–30.6%

3–4+0.2%

4+–00.7%

4+–10.9%

4+–20.5%

4+–30.2%

4+–4+0.1%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-114%
2.0-112%
3.1-011%
4.0-011%
5.1-28%

Expected goals

1,09–1,19

Both teams to score

47%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,3

011%

123%

227%

320%

411%

5+8%

Under 2,560%

@1.68EV+1%

Over 2,540%

@2.15

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Double chance Kifisia or draw (X2)67%
Under 3.5 goals80%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Double chance Kifisia or draw (X2)67%
Under 2.5 goals60%
Angelo Nicolas Sagal Tapia to score17%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score47%
Over 2.5 goals40%
Angelo Nicolas Sagal Tapia to score17%
Konstantinos Roukounakis to be booked22%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

2 · Kifisia41% probability@2.65BetsafeEV+8%reference odds
2 · Kifisia41% probability@2.65LeoVegasEV+8%reference odds
2 · Kifisia41% probability@2.65NordicbetEV+8%reference odds

Bookmaker	1 · Iraklis 1908	X	2 · Kifisia
Betsafe	2.55	3.15	EV+ 8% 2.65
LeoVegas	2.55	3.10	EV+ 8% 2.65
Nordicbet	2.55	3.15	EV+ 8% 2.65

Odds updated 22 Oct, 08:37

Odds movement

1+6 %

39 %34 %

2.40 → 2.55

X0 %

32 %27 %

3.10 → 3.10

2-4 %

36 %31 %

2.75 → 2.65

Over 2,5-3 %

46 %41 %

2.15 → 2.08

LeoVegas · 19 recorded price levels · 16/10/2026 → 22/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Statistics

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Iraklis 1908

Kifisia

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Iraklis 1908 (7–8)

Kifisia (7–9)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Iraklis 1908

Kifisia

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Iraklis 1908

Kifisia

The teams in numbers

Performance	Iraklis 1908	Kifisia
Points	9	8
xPoints	7.5	10.9
xG per match	0.63	1.3
xGA per match	1.5	1.1
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.07	0.14
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.38	0.23

Playing style	Iraklis 1908	Kifisia
Build-up efficiency	0.27	0.35
Field tilt	0.31	0.48
xT per match	0.46	1.2
xTA per match	1.3	1.2
Won balls, offensive half	19	21
Pressing intensity	0.25	0.24
Pressing efficiency	0.29	0.28
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.22	0.23
Entries into the box per match	6	10
Entries into the box against	14	12
Pass completion %	0.72	0.76
Pass completion % under pressure	0.69	0.74
Passes per match	269	298
Passes against per match	379	366
Switches of play per match	22.8	27
Long balls per match	28	30

Set pieces	Iraklis 1908	Kifisia
xG from free kicks	0.02	0.02
Corners per match	2.6	5
Corners against per match	3.8	3.7
xG per corner	0.01	0.02
xGA per corner against	0.02	0.01
First touch, offensive corners %	0.22	0.43
First touch, defensive corners %	0.56	0.58

Other	Iraklis 1908	Kifisia
Throw-in control	0.64	0.73

The goalkeepers	Giorgos Athanasiadis (Iraklis 1908)	Wellington Moisés Ramírez Preciado (Kifisia)
Saves	26	19
Save %	77%	68%
xG prevented	49%	40%
Claims	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Teams & more matches this round

Iraklis 1908

Fixtures, form & tips

Kifisia

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Iraklis 1908 vs Kifisia according to our model?

The model gives Kifisia a 41% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Iraklis 1908 30%, draw 29%, Kifisia 41%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 14% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 40% and under at 60%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 47% according to the model.

How many goals are expected in Iraklis 1908 vs Kifisia?

The model expects 1.09 goals (xG) for Iraklis 1908 and 1.19 for Kifisia, 2.28 in total.

What does the model say about double chance?

Iraklis 1908 or draw (1X) 59%, Kifisia or draw (X2) 70% and no draw (12) 71%.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.