Volos vs Panathinaikos Prediction: Away win 76% (25 Oct 2026)

Greek Super League25 October 202618°9 km/h

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VolosCounter-attacks & crosses

PanathinaikosPossession & high press

The model's lean: 2 · Panathinaikos (76%)Best value by the model: Over 4,5 @ 5.50 (+18 %)

1 · Volos 9%X 15%76% Panathinaikos · 2

15%

76%

Prediction summary

BetBuilders AI model prediction for Volos vs Panathinaikos (Greek Super League, Sunday, 25 October 2026): Volos win 9%, draw 15%, Panathinaikos win 76%. Expected goals (xG): Volos 0.75, Panathinaikos 2.42. Most likely score: 0-2 (12%). Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 48%. Double chance: Volos or draw 24%, Panathinaikos or draw 91%. Prediction updated Friday, 16 October 2026.

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Analysis: Volos – Panathinaikos

Marcus Johansson · 19 October 2026 · Analysis from the match model · How the predictions work

A striking 76% win probability for Panathinaikos sets the tone for their clash against Volos. The visitors' dominant expected goals (xG) of 2.42 starkly contrasts with the home side's 0.75, highlighting Panathinaikos' attacking prowess. Volos, yet to find defensive stability, concede an average of 1.7 xGA per match, which is concerning against Panathinaikos' high-pressing style.

Despite a small head-to-head sample size, with Volos securing just one win in four encounters, the current form heavily favors the visitors. The possession-based approach of Panathinaikos should exploit Volos' reliance on counter-attacks and crosses, reinforcing the likelihood of a 0-2 or 0-3 scoreline. The model estimates a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals, aligning with Panathinaikos' superior attacking metrics.

For bettors, Panathinaikos at 1.35 with Betsafe and Nordicbet presents a 2% value edge, while the over 3.5 goals market at 2.58 with Betsafe offers a smaller, but still present, edge of 1%. This sets the stage for a match where Panathinaikos is expected to dominate, potentially keeping a clean sheet. The most probable outcome remains a comfortable victory for the visitors, with the goals tally leaning towards the over.

Volos

Form DLLLD

League ranking xG #10xGA #13xT #11xP/match #14Points #12

Key players

Xesc RegisRWxG 0.18 · xT 0.24
Maximiliano CombaFxG 0.10 · xT 0.04
Jorge Samuel Figueiredo FernandesFxG 0.14 · xT 0.09

Panathinaikos

Form WWWLW

League ranking xG #1xGA #1xT #1xP/match #1Points #1

Key players

Giorgos KyriakopoulosLBxG 0.04 · xT 0.29
Davide CalabriaRBxG 0.15 · xT 0.22
Cyriel DessersFxG 1.01 · xT -0.02

Match prediction: Volos – Panathinaikos

Predicted score matrix

Panathinaikos →

Volos →

0–04.4%

0–110.0%

0–212.3%

0–39.9%

0–4+10.7%

1–02.9%

1–17.8%

1–29.2%

1–37.4%

1–4+8.0%

2–01.2%

2–12.9%

2–23.5%

2–32.8%

2–4+3.0%

3–00.3%

3–10.7%

3–20.9%

3–30.7%

3–4+0.7%

4+–00.1%

4+–10.2%

4+–20.2%

4+–30.2%

4+–4+0.2%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.0-212%
2.0-110%
3.0-310%
4.1-29%
5.1-18%

Expected goals

0,75–2,42

Both teams to score

48%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,2

113%

221%

322%

418%

5+21%

Under 2,539%

@2.27

Over 2,561%

@1.75EV+7%

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Panathinaikos to win76%
Over 1.5 goals83%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Panathinaikos to win76%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Adriano Jagušić to score56%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score48%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Adriano Jagušić to score56%
Dženis Burnić to be booked22%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

Over 4.521% probability@5.50Bet365EV+18%reference odds
Over 3.539% probability@2.75Bet365EV+7%reference odds
Over 2.561% probability@1.75Bet365EV+7%reference odds

Bookmaker	1 · Volos	X	2 · Panathinaikos
Bet365	8.00	4.33	EV+ 2% 1.35
Betsafe	7.50	4.75	EV+ 2% 1.35
Nordicbet	7.50	4.75	EV+ 2% 1.35
Pinnacle	7.68	5.05	EV+ 2% 1.35

Odds updated 21 Oct, 20:37

Odds movement

1+7 %

15 %10 %

7.16 → 7.68

X+4 %

21 %16 %

4.86 → 5.05

2-1 %

71 %66 %

1.36 → 1.35

Over 2,50 %

61 %56 %

1.63 → 1.62

Pinnacle · 3 recorded price levels · 18/10/2026 → 20/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Statistics

Head-to-head

4 matches

Volos 1Draw 0Panathinaikos 3

Goals: 3–5 (⌀ 2)

Head-to-head based on Greek Super League data since 2023.

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Volos

Panathinaikos

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Volos (6–12)

Panathinaikos (17–4)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Volos

Panathinaikos

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Volos

Panathinaikos

The teams in numbers

Performance	Volos	Panathinaikos
Points	3	18
xPoints	6.8	13.7
xG per match	0.92	2.7
xGA per match	1.7	0.64
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.22	0.37
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.27	0.14

Playing style	Volos	Panathinaikos
Build-up efficiency	0.29	0.33
Field tilt	0.42	0.8
xT per match	0.86	1.6
xTA per match	0.98	0.56
Won balls, offensive half	21	29
Pressing intensity	0.23	0.22
Pressing efficiency	0.3	0.35
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.24	0.32
Entries into the box per match	8	19
Entries into the box against	13	7
Pass completion %	0.71	0.82
Pass completion % under pressure	0.64	0.78
Passes per match	255	499
Passes against per match	343	239
Switches of play per match	19.4	31.3
Long balls per match	24	32

Set pieces	Volos	Panathinaikos
xG from free kicks	0.16	0.17
Corners per match	2.2	7.4
Corners against per match	5.8	2.3
xG per corner	0.03	0.01
xGA per corner against	0.02	0.02
First touch, offensive corners %	0.44	0.39
First touch, defensive corners %	0.6	0.62

Other	Volos	Panathinaikos
Throw-in control	0.68	0.7

The goalkeepers	Marios Siampanis (Volos)	Ignacio Peña Sotorres (Panathinaikos)
Saves	12	13
Save %	67%	77%
xG prevented	46%	65%
Claims	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Teams & more matches this round

Volos

Fixtures, form & tips

Panathinaikos

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Volos vs Panathinaikos according to our model?

The model gives Panathinaikos a 76% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Volos 9%, draw 15%, Panathinaikos 76%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 0-2 at 12% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 61% and under at 39%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 48% according to the model.

How many goals are expected in Volos vs Panathinaikos?

The model expects 0.75 goals (xG) for Volos and 2.42 for Panathinaikos, 3.17 in total.

What does the model say about double chance?

Volos or draw (1X) 24%, Panathinaikos or draw (X2) 91% and no draw (12) 85%.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.