01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Rangers to win73%
- Over 1.5 goals82%
Scottish PremiershipIbrox Stadium, Glasgow8°25,2 mm45 km/h
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RangersPossession & high pressvs
St. JohnstonePossession & high pressThe model's lean: 1 · Rangers (73%)Best value by the model: 2 · St. Johnstone @ 12.50 (+26 %)
Rangers vs St. Johnstone · Scottish Premiership
1 · Rangers 73%X 17%10% St. Johnstone · 2
73%
17%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Rangers vs St. Johnstone (Scottish Premiership, Saturday, 24 October 2026): Rangers win 73%, draw 17%, St. Johnstone win 10%. Expected goals (xG): Rangers 2.39, St. Johnstone 0.76. Most likely score: 2-0 (12%). Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 49%. Double chance: Rangers or draw 90%, St. Johnstone or draw 27%. Prediction updated Friday, 16 October 2026.
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Analysis: Rangers – St. Johnstone
Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work
Rangers' 73% win probability speaks volumes about their dominance going into this match. With seven unbeaten league games and a remarkable 23-game scoring streak, the hosts are poised to maintain momentum. A pattern emerges when considering scoreline probabilities: 2-0, 1-0, and 3-0 all favor Rangers, underlining their expected superiority over St. Johnstone.
The statistical landscape tilts heavily toward the home side. Expected goals of 2.39 versus St. Johnstone's 0.76 illustrate a clear gap in potential attacking output. Both teams employ a possession and high press style, which could lead to a congested midfield battle. However, Rangers' proficiency in breaking down defenses should see them outmaneuver the visitors.
The sample size for head-to-head encounters since 2023 is small, with just three games, all won by Rangers. While this trend favors the hosts, the real indicator lies in their consistent performance metrics. With Rangers also enjoying a historical 67% win rate at home, the odds of the visitors pulling off an upset seem slim.
Weather conditions, particularly the forecasted rain, might suppress goal-scoring opportunities. Yet, with a 61% probability for over 2.5 goals, the market expects Rangers to find the net multiple times, even in less-than-ideal conditions. The model anticipates a controlled win for the hosts, likely leaning towards a 2-0 or 3-0 finish.
For those seeking value, the model identifies the odds of St. Johnstone winning at 11.5 with Betsafe and Nordicbet as offering a 16% edge. While the likelihood is low, such discrepancies are worth noting for the calculated risk-taker. The draw at 6.25 with LeoVegas also provides an 8% edge, though Rangers' form suggests this is unlikely.
RangersForm WWWWD
League ranking xG #2xGA #1xT #3xP/match #2Points #2
Key players
- Nicolas RaskinCDMxG 0.18 · xT 0.11
- Emmanuel FernandezCBxG 0.09 · xT 0.09
- Ryan Don NaderiFxG 0.53 · xT 0.05
St. JohnstoneForm WLDWD
League ranking xG #9xGA #4xT #10xP/match #6Points #5
Key players
- Matthew Colin FouldsLWBxG 0.03 · xT 0.25
- Zach MitchellCBxG 0.00 · xT 0.06
- Cheick Tiemoko DiabateCBxG 0.06 · xT 0.11
Match prediction: Rangers – St. Johnstone
Predicted score matrix
St. Johnstone →
Rangers →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–04.5%
0–13.0%
0–21.2%
0–30.3%
0–4+0.1%
1
1–010.0%
1–18.0%
1–23.0%
1–30.8%
1–4+0.2%
2
2–012.2%
2–19.3%
2–23.6%
2–30.9%
2–4+0.2%
3
3–09.7%
3–17.4%
3–22.8%
3–30.7%
3–4+0.2%
4+
4+–010.2%
4+–17.8%
4+–23.0%
4+–30.8%
4+–4+0.2%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.2-012%
- 2.1-010%
- 3.3-010%
- 4.2-19%
- 5.1-18%
Expected goals
2,39–0,76
Both teams to score
49%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,20
113%
221%
322%
418%
5+21%
Under 2,539%
@2.68EV+4%
Over 2,561%
@1.45
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Rangers to win73%
- Over 2.5 goals61%
- Min-Su Kim to score34%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score49%
- Over 2.5 goals61%
- Min-Su Kim to score34%
- Reece McAlear to be booked22%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 2 · St. Johnstone10% probability@12.50BetsafeEV+26%reference odds
- 2 · St. Johnstone10% probability@12.50NordicbetEV+26%reference odds
- X · Draw17% probability@6.25LeoVegasEV+8%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Rangers | X | 2 · St. Johnstone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 1.19 | EV+ 5% 6.10 | EV+ 26% 12.50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.20 | EV+ 8% 6.25 | EV+ 1% 10.00 |
| Nordicbet | 1.19 | EV+ 5% 6.10 | EV+ 26% 12.50 |
Odds updated 21 Oct, 16:36
Odds movement
Market signal
The market has moved clearly towards a Rangers win since 16 October — the odds have shortened from 1.28 to 1.19 (−7%).
1-7 %
80 %70 %
1.28 → 1.19
X+16 %
22 %12 %
5.25 → 6.10
2+34 %
14 %4 %
9.30 → 12.50
Over 2,5-5 %
67 %57 %
1.52 → 1.44
Nordicbet · 12 recorded price levels · 16/10/2026 → 21/10/2026 · fixed scale 10 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
3 matchesRangers 3Draw 0St. Johnstone 0
Goals: 6–1 (⌀ 2,3)
Head-to-head based on Scottish Premiership data since 2023.
Key facts
- Rangers are unbeaten in their last 7 league matches.
- Rangers have scored in 23 consecutive league matches.
- Rangers win 67% of their home matches all-time (42 played).
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Rangers
St. Johnstone
Rangers (13–7)
St. Johnstone (11–11)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Rangers
St. Johnstone
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Rangers
St. Johnstone
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Rangers | St. Johnstone |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 20 | 12 |
| xPoints | 16.8 | 12.6 |
| xG per match | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| xGA per match | 0.96 | 1.4 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.32 | 0.14 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| Playing style | Rangers | St. Johnstone |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.34 | 0.3 |
| Field tilt | 0.65 | 0.47 |
| xT per match | 1.3 | 0.72 |
| xTA per match | 0.69 | 1.1 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 30 | 20 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.3 | 0.21 |
| Entries into the box per match | 18 | 10 |
| Entries into the box against | 9 | 15 |
| Pass completion % | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.7 | 0.71 |
| Passes per match | 380 | 356 |
| Passes against per match | 287 | 417 |
| Switches of play per match | 30.9 | 19.5 |
| Long balls per match | 40 | 27 |
| Set pieces | Rangers | St. Johnstone |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Corners per match | 7.3 | 3.3 |
| Corners against per match | 4.2 | 7.1 |
| xG per corner | 0.02 | 0.06 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.01 | 0.03 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.39 | 0.47 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.58 | 0.59 |
| Other | Rangers | St. Johnstone |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.72 | 0.74 |
| The goalkeepers | Ivor Pandur (Rangers) | Toby Peter Gary Steward (St. Johnstone) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 23 | 39 |
| Save % | 79% | 81% |
| xG prevented | 55% | 64% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Rangers vs St. Johnstone according to our model?
The model gives Rangers a 73% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Rangers 73%, draw 17%, St. Johnstone 10%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 2-0 at 12% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 61% and under at 39%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 49% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Rangers vs St. Johnstone?
The model expects 2.39 goals (xG) for Rangers and 0.76 for St. Johnstone, 3.15 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Rangers or draw (1X) 90%, St. Johnstone or draw (X2) 27% and no draw (12) 83%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.