01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Eibar or draw (1X)71%
- Under 3.5 goals80%
Segunda División14°8,4 mm17 km/h
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EibarLow block & directvs
MallorcaPossession & high pressThe model's lean: 1 · Eibar (39%)
Eibar vs Mallorca · Segunda División
1 · Eibar 39%X 30%31% Mallorca · 2
39%
30%
31%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Eibar vs Mallorca (Segunda División, Saturday, 17 October 2026): Eibar win 39%, draw 30%, Mallorca win 31%. Expected goals (xG): Eibar 1.27, Mallorca 1.01. Most likely score: 1-1 (14%). Over 2.5 goals 40%, both teams to score 46%. Double chance: Eibar or draw 69%, Mallorca or draw 61%. Prediction updated Saturday, 10 October 2026.
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Analysis: Eibar – Mallorca
Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work
TEXT: Eibar's remarkable run of seven straight victories is the standout number heading into this match. Their form is backed by consistent goal-scoring, having found the net in 15 consecutive league games. Despite the impressive streak, Mallorca's possession and high press approach could pose challenges for Eibar's low defense and direct style, especially in wet conditions, which typically suppress scoring.
The visitors, however, don't have the momentum or the attacking edge on paper, with an expected goals tally of 1.01 compared to Eibar's 1.27. This gives the hosts a slight upper hand in creating opportunities. Eibar's dominance at home is also significant, winning 62% of their matches in history—a crucial factor not to be ignored. The model's probabilities lean towards Eibar with a 39% chance of victory compared to Mallorca's 31%.
With an over 2.5 goals probability sitting at just 40% and both teams to score at 46%, a low-scoring affair seems likely. The model leans toward Eibar, reflecting both their current form and historical home advantage. Expect a tight encounter, with a 1-0 win for Eibar as a likely outcome.
EibarForm WWWWW
League ranking xG #12xGA #6xT #17xP/match #3Points #1
Key players
- Ander MadariagaCMxG 0.13 · xT 0.05
- Adu AresRWxG 0.19 · xT 0.11
- Anaitz ArbillaCBxG 0.05 · xT 0.08
MallorcaForm DWWLD
League ranking xG #15xGA #5xT #18xP/match #14Points #5
Key players
- Martin ValjentCBxG 0.00 · xT 0.06
- Toni LatoLBxG 0.01 · xT 0.13
- Antonio RailloCBxG 0.06 · xT 0.08
Match prediction: Eibar – Mallorca
Predicted score matrix
Mallorca →
Eibar →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–010.6%
0–19.9%
0–25.2%
0–31.7%
0–4+0.5%
1
1–012.7%
1–113.5%
1–26.6%
1–32.2%
1–4+0.7%
2
2–08.3%
2–18.3%
2–24.2%
2–31.4%
2–4+0.4%
3
3–03.5%
3–13.5%
3–21.8%
3–30.6%
3–4+0.2%
4+
4+–01.5%
4+–11.5%
4+–20.7%
4+–30.3%
4+–4+0.1%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-114%
- 2.1-013%
- 3.0-011%
- 4.0-110%
- 5.2-18%
Expected goals
1,27–1,01
Both teams to score
46%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,3011%
123%
227%
320%
411%
5+8%
Under 2,560%
–
Over 2,540%
–
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Eibar or draw (1X)71%
- Under 2.5 goals60%
- Jon Guruzeta Rodríguez to score19%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score46%
- Over 2.5 goals40%
- Jon Guruzeta Rodríguez to score19%
- Martin Valjent to be booked23%
Odds & value
| Bookmaker | 1 · Eibar | X | 2 · Mallorca |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 2.55 | 3.10 | 2.62 |
| LeoVegas | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| Nordicbet | 2.55 | 3.10 | 2.62 |
Odds updated 10 Oct, 16:39
Statistics
Key facts
- SD Eibar come into this round on 7 straight wins.
- SD Eibar have scored in 15 consecutive league matches.
- SD Eibar win 62% of their home matches all-time (68 played).
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Eibar
Mallorca
Eibar (18–7)
Mallorca (8–3)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Eibar
Mallorca
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Eibar
Mallorca
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Eibar | Mallorca |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 21 | 14 |
| xPoints | 13.6 | 10.3 |
| xG per match | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| xGA per match | 1 | 0.97 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| Playing style | Eibar | Mallorca |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.31 | 0.3 |
| Field tilt | 0.24 | 0.57 |
| xT per match | 0.73 | 0.73 |
| xTA per match | 1.2 | 0.72 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 23 | 24 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.25 | 0.3 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| Entries into the box per match | 9 | 11 |
| Entries into the box against | 16 | 9 |
| Pass completion % | 0.75 | 0.8 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.72 | 0.74 |
| Passes per match | 312 | 400 |
| Passes against per match | 474 | 336 |
| Switches of play per match | 24.6 | 16.6 |
| Long balls per match | 33 | 26 |
| Set pieces | Eibar | Mallorca |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.02 | 0.04 |
| Corners per match | 3 | 4.3 |
| Corners against per match | 5 | 4.6 |
| xG per corner | 0.02 | 0.05 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.01 | 0.03 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.58 | 0.35 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.57 | 0.61 |
| Other | Eibar | Mallorca |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.7 | 0.64 |
| The goalkeepers | Jonmi Magunagoitia (Eibar) | Arnau Tenas Ureña (Mallorca) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 35 | 23 |
| Save % | 83% | 92% |
| xG prevented | 72% | 63% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
- Leganés – Córdoba16 October 2026
- Sporting Gijón – Albacete17 October 2026
- Las Palmas – Castellon17 October 2026
- Real Sociedad B – Almería17 October 2026
- Granada – Cádiz18 October 2026
- Girona – FC Andorra18 October 2026
- Burgos – Sabadell18 October 2026
- Ceuta – Real Oviedo18 October 2026
- Real Valladolid – Eldense18 October 2026
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Eibar vs Mallorca according to our model?
The model gives Eibar a 39% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Eibar 39%, draw 30%, Mallorca 31%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 14% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 40% and under at 60%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 46% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Eibar vs Mallorca?
The model expects 1.27 goals (xG) for Eibar and 1.01 for Mallorca, 2.28 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Eibar or draw (1X) 69%, Mallorca or draw (X2) 61% and no draw (12) 70%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.