Segunda División: Predictions, Odds & Tips
Läs på svenskaModel-based predictions for the Segunda División — Spain's second tier: 22 teams, 42 rounds and one of Europe's tightest leagues, analysed by the same match model that powers PlaymakerAI. Ahead of every round the model computes 1X2 probabilities, a full score matrix, expected goals and over/under lines, built from hundreds of data points per team: strength, form, playing style, squad and weather.
The predictions are held against live odds from multiple bookmakers, with positive expected value (EV+) flagged where the model’s probability beats the implied odds. Played matches are graded openly — hit or miss — and everything updates continuously until kickoff.
Upcoming matches
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League table2026/27
| Pos | Team | S | W–D–L | GF–GA | P | xP | xG | xGA | xGD | FT | Style |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CD Tenerife | 1 | 1–0–0 | 3–1 | 3 | 0,8 | 0,4 | 1,4 | −1,0 | 42 % | Low block & direct |
| 2 |  Mallorca | 1 | 1–0–0 | 2–0 | 3 | 0,8 | 0,5 | 1,0 | −0,5 | 56 % | Balanced & physical |
| 3 |  Burgos | 1 | 1–0–0 | 3–2 | 3 | 1,6 | 1,6 | 1,7 | −0,1 | 39 % | Low block & direct |
| 4 |  Las Palmas | 1 | 1–0–0 | 2–1 | 3 | 0,9 | 0,9 | 1,0 | −0,1 | 54 % | Possession control |
| 5 |  Castellon | 1 | 1–0–0 | 1–0 | 3 | 2,3 | 1,7 | 0,2 | +1,5 | 70 % | Possession control |
| 6 |  FC Andorra | 1 | 0–1–0 | 5–1 | 1 | 2,5 | 2,8 | 0,4 | +2,4 | 78 % | Possession & high press |
| 7 |  Girona | 1 | 0–1–0 | 1–1 | 1 | 2,2 | 2,3 | 0,3 | +2,0 | 91 % | Possession & high press |
| 8 |  Leganés | 1 | 0–1–0 | 1–1 | 1 | 0,6 | 0,3 | 2,3 | −2,0 | 9 % | Low block & direct |
| 9 |  Granada | 1 | 0–1–0 | 0–0 | 1 | 1,6 | 0,6 | 0,5 | +0,1 | 42 % | Low block & direct |
| 10 |  Real Oviedo | 1 | 0–1–0 | 0–0 | 1 | 0,9 | 0,5 | 0,6 | −0,1 | 58 % | Possession control |
| 11 |  Cádiz | 1 | 0–1–0 | 0–0 | 1 | 1,7 | 1,1 | 0,4 | +0,7 | 55 % | Possession & high press |
| 12 |  Celta Fortuna | 1 | 0–1–0 | 0–0 | 1 | 1,0 | 0,4 | 1,1 | −0,7 | 45 % | Counter-attacks & crosses |
| 13 |  Ceuta | 1 | 0–1–0 | 1–5 | 1 | 0,4 | 0,4 | 2,8 | −2,4 | 22 % | Low block & direct |
| 14 |  Córdoba | 1 | 0–0–1 | 2–3 | 0 | 1,1 | 1,7 | 1,6 | +0,1 | 61 % | Counter-attacks & crosses |
| 15 |  Albacete | 1 | 0–0–1 | 1–2 | 0 | 1,7 | 1,0 | 0,9 | +0,1 | 46 % | Low block & direct |
| 16 |  Real Sociedad B | 1 | 0–0–1 | 0–1 | 0 | 0,5 | 0,2 | 1,7 | −1,5 | 30 % | Low block & direct |
| 17 |  Eibar | 1 | 0–0–1 | 1–3 | 0 | 1,9 | 1,4 | 0,4 | +1,0 | 58 % | Possession control |
| 18 |  Real Valladolid | 1 | 0–0–1 | 0–2 | 0 | 1,9 | 1,0 | 0,5 | +0,5 | 44 % | Balanced & physical |
Latest articles
All articles
2026-04-17 · 1 min
Scouting Report: Yeremay Hernandez (Deportivo La Coruña)
Yeremay Hernández, 24-year-old striker at Deportivo La Coruña, has impressed in Segunda División with 0.4 goals per match and strong goal production that significantly exceeds the league average. Despite some weaknesses in duels, he is assessed as a worthwhile purchase who is ready to perform in Primera División.
2026-04-14 · 1 min
Player Profile: Leonardo Micali Carrilho Baptistão (UD Almería)
Leonardo Micali Carrilho Baptistão from UD Almería has played 29 matches in Segunda Division and shows strong goal efficiency with 0.39 goals per match as well as 3.04 shots per match. The striker stands out through his defensive commitment with 3.12 interceptions per match, which makes him a modern "Worker"-forward who contributes both offensively and defensively.
Played matches
Prediction track recordNo settled matches yet for this selection — the scorecard fills in after every played round.
How the predictions work
Every prediction comes from PlaymakerAI's match model — the same data platform professional clubs use for scouting and match analysis. The model is trained on event data from hundreds of thousands of matches and weighs over 200 factors per team: strength ratings, current form, playing style, squad player profiles, fixture congestion, travel and even matchday weather.
For each fixture the model produces a full goal distribution. From it we derive the 1X2 probabilities, the score matrix, expected goals, over/under lines and both-teams-to-score. Predictions are frozen before kickoff and never changed afterwards — once a match finishes we grade it openly, hit or miss.
Odds are collected continuously from several bookmakers. When the model's probability for an outcome exceeds what the odds imply, we flag it as value (EV+). That is the model's assessment, not a guarantee: even positive-EV bets lose often. Gamble responsibly.
Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.