Laholm vs Kristianstad FC: Prediction & Odds (20 Sept 2026)

Swedish Ettan20 September 2026 13:00 CEST14°8,6 mm29 km/h

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LaholmPossession control

Kristianstad FCCounter-attacks & crosses

The model's lean: 1 · Laholm (42%)

1 · Laholm 42%X 26%32% Kristianstad FC · 2

42%

26%

32%

Analysis: Laholm – Kristianstad FC

Erik Lindberg · 15 September 2026 · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work

The numbers suggest a competitive clash between Lehoma and the visitors from Kristianstad, with a slight edge for the home side. Despite the small sample of their head-to-head record—just one match, which swung in favor of Laholm—the real story lies in their expected goals and current form. Laholm's possession-oriented style promises to control the game's rhythm, while Kristianstad's counter-attacking strategy will seek quick breaks, influenced by their lower xG within 8 seconds of gaining possession.

The expected goals tell a compelling story: Laholm at 1.80 against Kristianstad's 1.34 indicates a higher attacking potential for the home team. A soft xPoints edge to Laholm (27.0 vs. 26.8) further hints at their slight superiority, even if Kristianstad boasts marginally better defensive numbers. The most probable scorelines underline this: the model favors a 1-1 draw but is also open to a 2-1 home win, with Laholm's superior xG numbers lending credence to the latter.

Rainy conditions, with 11.7 mm expected, could dampen offensive ambitions, but the numbers still lean towards an over 2.5 goals outcome at 61%. Goals from both sides are also backed by a 62% chance, signaling that neither defense is impenetrable.

For those seeking value, Laholm stands out given their 42% win probability. The model's lean, coupled with their possession play at home, makes Laholm an appealing pick.

Laholm

Form DLDLW

League ranking xG #21xGA #20xT #27xP/match #20Points #27

Key players

Philip ComnellFxG 0.37 · xT 0.06
Viggo RolfssonFxG 0.14 · xT 0.12
Elis WijkFxG 0.50 · xT -0.02

Kristianstad FC

Form LLWLD

League ranking xG #31xGA #10xT #28xP/match #22Points #26

Key players

Alexander HughesLWxG 0.03 · xT 0.36
Omar DamphaFxG 0.28 · xT 0.04
Paolo LiljaFxG 0.27 · xT 0.08

Match prediction: Laholm – Kristianstad FC

Predicted score matrix

Kristianstad FC →

Laholm →

0–04.6%

0–15.5%

0–23.9%

0–31.7%

0–4+0.8%

1–07.5%

1–110.8%

1–27.0%

1–33.1%

1–4+1.4%

2–07.0%

2–19.4%

2–26.3%

2–32.8%

2–4+1.3%

3–04.2%

3–15.6%

3–23.8%

3–31.7%

3–4+0.8%

4+–02.8%

4+–13.8%

4+–22.5%

4+–31.1%

4+–4+0.5%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-111%
2.2-19%
3.1-07%
4.1-27%
5.2-07%

Expected goals

1,80–1,34

Both teams to score

62%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,1

113%

222%

322%

418%

5+21%

Under 2,539%

–

Over 2,561%

–

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Double chance Laholm or draw (1X)72%
Over 1.5 goals82%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Double chance Laholm or draw (1X)72%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Philip Comnell to score35%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score62%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Philip Comnell to score35%
Lucas Ragnarsson to be booked21%

Odds & value

Bookmaker	1 · Laholm	X	2 · Kristianstad FC
Betsafe	2.32	3.40	2.62
Betsson	2.32	3.40	2.62
Nordicbet	2.32	3.40	2.62

Odds updated 15 Sept, 11:37

Statistics

Head-to-head

1 matches

Laholm 1Draw 0Kristianstad FC 0

Goals: 3–0 (⌀ 3)

Head-to-head based on Ettan data since 2023.

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Laholm

Kristianstad FC

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Laholm (28–38)

Kristianstad FC (25–33)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Laholm

Kristianstad FC

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Laholm

Kristianstad FC

The teams in numbers

Performance	Laholm	Kristianstad FC
Points	21	21
xPoints	27	26.8
xG per match	1.3	0.97
xGA per match	1.4	1.3
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.28	0.18
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.44	0.24

Playing style	Laholm	Kristianstad FC
Build-up efficiency	0.37	0.31
Field tilt	0.42	0.38
xT per match	1.3	1.2
xTA per match	1.4	1.7
Won balls, offensive half	25	29
Pressing intensity	0.46	0.54
Pressing efficiency	0.26	0.24
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.26	0.27
Entries into the box per match	12	11
Entries into the box against	13	16
Pass completion %	0.78	0.77
Pass completion % under pressure	0.71	0.72
Passes per match	350	330
Passes against per match	380	416
Switches of play per match	16.6	20.3
Long balls per match	30	39

Set pieces	Laholm	Kristianstad FC
xG from free kicks	0.1	0.16
Corners per match	4	4.4
Corners against per match	4.8	4.8
xG per corner	0.03	0.02
xGA per corner against	0.04	0.02
First touch, offensive corners %	0.39	0.45
First touch, defensive corners %	0.53	0.63

Other	Laholm	Kristianstad FC
Throw-in control	0.53	0.55

The goalkeepers	Max Johnsson (Laholm)	Otto Larsson Wågert (Kristianstad FC)
Saves	56	69
Save %	60%	68%
xG prevented	37%	45%
Claims	151 (93%)	150 (96%)

Teams & more matches this round

Laholm

Fixtures, form & tips

Kristianstad FC

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Laholm vs Kristianstad FC according to our model?

The model gives Laholm a 42% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Laholm 42%, draw 26%, Kristianstad FC 32%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 61% and under at 39%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 62% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.