01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Young Boys to win48%
- Over 1.5 goals84%
Swiss Super LeagueStadion Wankdorf, Bern8°1,4 mm21 km/h
Läs på svenska
Young BoysPossession control2–0
St. GallenPossession controlThe model's lean: 1 · Young Boys (48%)Best value by the model: Under 3,5 @ 2.18 (+28 %)
Young Boys vs St. Gallen · Swiss Super League
1 · Young Boys 48%X 25%27% St. Gallen · 2
48%
25%
27%
Prediction summary
Final score 2–0. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for Young Boys vs St. Gallen (Swiss Super League, Saturday, 24 October 2026): Young Boys win 48%, draw 25%, St. Gallen win 27%. Expected goals (xG): Young Boys 1.82, St. Gallen 1.45. Most likely score: 1-1 (10%). Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 64%. Double chance: Young Boys or draw 73%, St. Gallen or draw 52%. Prediction updated Friday, 16 October 2026.
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Analysis: Young Boys – St. Gallen
Anna Karlsson · · A data-driven preview · How the predictions work
The Young Boys' unbeaten streak in their last 13 league matches stands as a testament to their current form. This run, combined with their consistent scoring ability in 13 consecutive league games, suggests a formidable home side. Despite a small head-to-head sample since 2023 where St. Gallen holds a slight advantage with four wins to three, the hosts appear to be in a stronger position altogether. With Young Boys also having a historical home win rate of 58%, they seem well-poised to come out on top.
Expected goals (xG) data further amplifies the outlook in favor of the hosts. Young Boys boast a higher expected goals per match (2.4) than their visitors (2.0), underscoring their attacking prowess. However, both sides have equal expected goals against (xGA) at 1.3, suggesting a potential for goals on both ends. This aligns with the high-scoring nature of previous meetings, which average 3.3 goals per encounter, and the model's 63% lean on over 2.5 goals.
Despite the offensive promise, betting value lies elsewhere. The under 2.5 goals market presents a lucrative opportunity, with LeoVegas offering odds of 3.7, and both Betsafe and Nordicbet at 3.65. The model assigns a 37% probability, translating to a significant edge in value.
Young BoysForm WDDWW
League ranking xG #1xGA #2xT #3xP/match #1Points #2
Key players
- Sandro LauperCBxG 0.00 · xT 0.14
- Loris BenitoCBxG 0.01 · xT 0.10
- Joel MonteiroLWxG 0.28 · xT 0.15
St. GallenForm WLLWW
League ranking xG #3xGA #3xT #5xP/match #3Points #4
Key players
- Lukas DaschnerCAMxG 0.29 · xT 0.19
- Lukas GortlerCMxG 0.41 · xT 0.17
- Chima OkorojiCBxG 0.02 · xT 0.18
Final score
2 – 0
The model called the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Young Boys 48% · Draw 25% · St. Gallen 27%
How the bookmaker bet builders went
The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.
Matchresultat - St. GallenBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 6,27fair 9,10-31 %
MissMatchresultat - Young BoysBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 3,31fair 5,75-42 %
MissMatch prediction: Young Boys – St. Gallen
Predicted score matrix
St. Gallen →
Young Boys →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–04.1%
0–15.2%
0–24.0%
0–31.9%
0–4+1.0%
1
1–06.7%
1–110.4%
1–27.3%
1–33.5%
1–4+1.7%
2
2–06.3%
2–19.1%
2–26.6%
2–33.2%
2–4+1.6%
3
3–03.8%
3–15.5%
3–24.0%
3–31.9%
3–4+1.0%
4+
4+–02.6%
4+–13.8%
4+–22.7%
4+–31.3%
4+–4+0.7%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-110%
- 2.2-19%
- 3.1-27%
- 4.1-07%
- 5.2-27%
Expected goals
1,82–1,45
Both teams to score
64%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,30
112%
221%
322%
418%
5+23%
Under 2,537%
@3.45EV+25%
Over 2,563%
@1.27
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Young Boys to win48%
- Over 2.5 goals63%
- Samuel Emmanuel Essende Mbongu to score33%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score64%
- Over 2.5 goals63%
- Samuel Emmanuel Essende Mbongu to score33%
- Chima Sean Okoroji to be booked23%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- Under 3.559% probability@2.18PinnacleEV+28%reference odds
- Under 2.537% probability@3.45LeoVegasEV+27%reference odds
- Under 2.537% probability@3.40BetsafeEV+25%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Young Boys | X | 2 · St. Gallen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 1.78 | EV+ 4% 4.15 | 3.50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.77 | EV+ 5% 4.20 | 3.55 |
| Nordicbet | 1.78 | EV+ 4% 4.15 | 3.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81 | EV+ 9% 4.35 | EV+ 6% 3.87 |
Odds updated 24 Oct, 13:36
Odds movement
10 %
56 %51 %
1.82 → 1.81
X+6 %
25 %20 %
4.10 → 4.35
2+3 %
27 %22 %
3.77 → 3.87
Pinnacle · 12 recorded price levels · 22/10/2026 → 24/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
7 matchesYoung Boys 3Draw 0St. Gallen 4
Goals: 11–12 (⌀ 3,3)
Head-to-head based on Swiss Super League data since 2023.
Key facts
- A high-scoring fixture: 3.3 goals per meeting on average.
- Young Boys are unbeaten in their last 13 league matches.
- Young Boys have scored in 13 consecutive league matches.
- Young Boys win 58% of their home matches all-time (43 played).
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Young Boys
St. Gallen
Young Boys (33–18)
St. Gallen (17–19)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Young Boys
St. Gallen
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Young Boys
St. Gallen
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Young Boys | St. Gallen |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 22 | 16 |
| xPoints | 19 | 15.6 |
| xG per match | 2.4 | 2 |
| xGA per match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.51 | 0.42 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| Playing style | Young Boys | St. Gallen |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| Field tilt | 0.59 | 0.6 |
| xT per match | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| xTA per match | 0.93 | 0.63 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 23 | 35 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| Entries into the box per match | 19 | 19 |
| Entries into the box against | 11 | 13 |
| Pass completion % | 0.78 | 0.67 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.73 | 0.63 |
| Passes per match | 358 | 275 |
| Passes against per match | 359 | 293 |
| Switches of play per match | 31.4 | 19 |
| Long balls per match | 40 | 33 |
| Set pieces | Young Boys | St. Gallen |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| Corners per match | 5.8 | 7.5 |
| Corners against per match | 3.6 | 4.3 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.51 | 0.47 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.61 | 0.52 |
| Other | Young Boys | St. Gallen |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.72 | 0.71 |
| The goalkeepers | Marvin Keller (Young Boys) | Lawrence Ati Zigi (St. Gallen) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 27 | 26 |
| Save % | 63% | 61% |
| xG prevented | 39% | 37% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Young Boys vs St. Gallen according to our model?
The model gives Young Boys a 48% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Young Boys 48%, draw 25%, St. Gallen 27%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 10% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 63% and under at 37%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 64% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Young Boys vs St. Gallen?
The model expects 1.82 goals (xG) for Young Boys and 1.45 for St. Gallen, 3.26 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Young Boys or draw (1X) 73%, St. Gallen or draw (X2) 52% and no draw (12) 75%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.