01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Wrexham or draw (X2)66%
- Under 3.5 goals74%
EFL ChampionshipBramall Lane, Sheffield11°17 km/h
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Sheffield UnitedLow block & directvs
WrexhamPossession controlThe model's lean: 2 · Wrexham (38%)Best value by the model: X · Draw @ 3.35 (+1 %)
Sheffield United vs Wrexham · EFL Championship
1 · Sheffield United 32%X 30%38% Wrexham · 2
32%
30%
38%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Sheffield United vs Wrexham (EFL Championship, Friday, 30 October 2026): Sheffield United win 32%, draw 30%, Wrexham win 38%. Expected goals (xG): Sheffield United 1.24, Wrexham 1.33. Most likely score: 1-1 (13%). Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 53%. Double chance: Sheffield United or draw 62%, Wrexham or draw 68%. Prediction updated Friday, 23 October 2026.
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Analysis: Sheffield United – Wrexham
Erik Lindberg · · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work
The spotlight falls on Wrexham as they travel to Sheffield United, with the visitors having the upper hand in their limited head-to-head encounters. Two matches, two wins for Wrexham, but such a small sample hardly outweighs current form and tactical nuances. Sheffield's direct approach meets the possession-driven style of Wrexham, setting up a chess match where each team will attempt to impose its will.
Despite Wrexham’s edge in past meetings, it's Sheffield United who boast a slight advantage in the points tally this season, leading by a single point. Yet, the expected points metric marginally favors Wrexham, indicating their performances might be slightly better than their actual results suggest. Combine this with the model's slight lean towards the visitors, and there's a subtle suggestion of value on a Wrexham win, highlighted by the model probabilities offering them a 38% chance of victory.
The expected goals figures paint a balanced picture; Wrexham edges with 1.33 compared to Sheffield's 1.24. However, the defensive metrics, where Wrexham concedes fewer xG per match (1.1 vs. Sheffield's 1.6), suggest Wrexham's tighter defense could hold the key. The predicted 1-1 scoreline fits this narrative, with both sides likely to find the net, evidenced by a 53% probability of both teams scoring.
Where does this leave us in terms of over or under 2.5 goals? The numbers lean slightly under, with a 48% likelihood of surpassing 2.5 goals, but the margin isn't strong enough to confidently back either side of the line. The rainy weather, suppressing attacking play, is already factored into these projections, reinforcing the expectation of a tight contest.
For those seeking value, there's perhaps an enticing edge in Wrexham's favor at certain bookmakers, with odds aligning slightly better with the model's lean towards a Wrexham win. However, given the evenly poised nature of the encounter, backing the 1-1 draw feels like the prudent, if unglamorous, play. After all, it's these steady, informed bets that traditionally keep the lights on.
Sheffield UnitedForm LLWLW
League ranking xG #17xGA #20xT #24xP/match #12Points #12
Key players
- Tom CannonFxG 0.43 · xT -0.01
- Sydie PeckCAMxG 0.12 · xT 0.16
- Tahith Jose ChongFxG 0.05 · xT 0.09
WrexhamForm LWDLW
League ranking xG #20xGA #4xT #9xP/match #10Points #14
Key players
- Kieffer MooreFxG 0.25 · xT 0.08
- Callum DoyleCBxG 0.16 · xT 0.14
- Benjamin WhitemanCMxG 0.05 · xT 0.09
Match prediction: Sheffield United – Wrexham
Predicted score matrix
Wrexham →
Sheffield United →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–08.0%
0–19.8%
0–26.7%
0–33.0%
0–4+1.3%
1
1–09.1%
1–113.0%
1–28.4%
1–33.7%
1–4+1.7%
2
2–05.9%
2–17.8%
2–25.2%
2–32.3%
2–4+1.0%
3
3–02.4%
3–13.3%
3–22.2%
3–31.0%
3–4+0.4%
4+
4+–01.0%
4+–11.3%
4+–20.9%
4+–30.4%
4+–4+0.2%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-113%
- 2.0-110%
- 3.1-09%
- 4.1-28%
- 5.0-08%
Expected goals
1,24–1,33
Both teams to score
53%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,608%
119%
226%
322%
414%
5+12%
Under 2,552%
@1.88
Over 2,548%
@1.93
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Wrexham or draw (X2)66%
- Under 2.5 goals52%
- Callum Luke O'Hare to score18%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score53%
- Over 2.5 goals48%
- Callum Luke O'Hare to score18%
- Benjamin Whiteman to be booked22%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- X · Draw30% probability@3.35LeoVegasEV+1%reference odds
- X · Draw30% probability@3.35PinnacleEV+1%reference odds
- 2 · Wrexham38% probability@2.64PinnacleEV+1%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Sheffield United | X | 2 · Wrexham |
|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 2.50 | EV+ 1% 3.35 | 2.60 |
| Pinnacle | 2.67 | EV+ 1% 3.35 | EV+ 1% 2.64 |
Odds updated 25 Oct, 05:59
Statistics
Head-to-head
2 matchesSheffield United 0Draw 0Wrexham 2
Goals: 4–7 (⌀ 5,5)
Head-to-head based on Championship data since 2023.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Sheffield United
Wrexham
Sheffield United (15–14)
Wrexham (15–16)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Sheffield United
Wrexham
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Sheffield United
Wrexham
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Sheffield United | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 15 | 14 |
| xPoints | 15.1 | 15.5 |
| xG per match | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| xGA per match | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.2 | 0.13 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| Playing style | Sheffield United | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| Field tilt | 0.38 | 0.51 |
| xT per match | 0.63 | 0.99 |
| xTA per match | 1.1 | 0.93 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 29 | 28 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| Entries into the box per match | 10 | 13 |
| Entries into the box against | 13 | 12 |
| Pass completion % | 0.65 | 0.75 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.62 | 0.72 |
| Passes per match | 243 | 365 |
| Passes against per match | 380 | 389 |
| Switches of play per match | 17.7 | 21.9 |
| Long balls per match | 30 | 34 |
| Set pieces | Sheffield United | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| Corners per match | 3.3 | 5.2 |
| Corners against per match | 6.9 | 4 |
| xG per corner | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.62 | 0.6 |
| Other | Sheffield United | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.67 | 0.76 |
| The goalkeepers | Michael Cooper (Sheffield United) | Anthony Patterson (Wrexham) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 35 | 26 |
| Save % | 71% | 62% |
| xG prevented | 54% | 37% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
- Southampton – Queens Park Rangers31 October 2026
- Lincoln City – Birmingham City31 October 2026 13:30 CET
- Stoke City – Preston North End31 October 2026 13:30 CET
- Norwich City – Watford31 October 2026 13:30 CET
- Bolton Wanderers – Bristol City31 October 2026 16:00 CET
- West Ham United – West Bromwich Albion31 October 2026 16:00 CET
- Middlesbrough – Charlton Athletic31 October 2026 16:00 CET
- Burnley – Portsmouth31 October 2026 16:00 CET
- Wolverhampton – Cardiff City31 October 2026 16:00 CET
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Sheffield United vs Wrexham according to our model?
The model gives Wrexham a 38% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Sheffield United 32%, draw 30%, Wrexham 38%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 48% and under at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 53% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Sheffield United vs Wrexham?
The model expects 1.24 goals (xG) for Sheffield United and 1.33 for Wrexham, 2.57 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Sheffield United or draw (1X) 62%, Wrexham or draw (X2) 68% and no draw (12) 70%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.