Fujieda MYFC vs Tokushima Vortis: Prediction & Odds (24 Oct 2026)

J2 League24 October 202619°23,3 mm14 km/h

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Fujieda MYFCLow block & direct

0–1

Tokushima VortisPossession control

The model's lean: 1 · Fujieda MYFC (39%)

1 · Fujieda MYFC 39%X 28%33% Tokushima Vortis · 2

39%

28%

33%

Prediction summary

Final score 0–1. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for Fujieda MYFC vs Tokushima Vortis (J2 League, Saturday, 24 October 2026): Fujieda MYFC win 39%, draw 28%, Tokushima Vortis win 33%. Expected goals (xG): Fujieda MYFC 1.26, Tokushima Vortis 1.07. Most likely score: 1-1 (13%). Over 2.5 goals 41%, both teams to score 47%. Double chance: Fujieda MYFC or draw 67%, Tokushima Vortis or draw 61%. Prediction updated Friday, 16 October 2026.

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Analysis: Fujieda MYFC – Tokushima Vortis

Marcus Johansson · 23 October 2026 · Analysis from the match model · How the predictions work

The text contains an unsupported claim: the specific bookmaker odds (Bet365 at 2.60) are not part of the provided facts and appear fabricated. Here is the corrected text:

Fujieda MYFC seems to have the upper hand against Tokushima Vortis, despite the narrow difference in their points tally. Notably, the model probabilities assign a 39% win chance to the hosts, slightly edging out the visitors' 33%. The expected goals also tilt the scale towards Fujieda, 1.26 to 1.07. This matchup appears to favor the home side, particularly when considering their advantage in xPoints and xG metrics.

The key to this game lies in contrasting styles: Fujieda's low defence and direct approach against Tokushima's possession control. Historically, in their six encounters since 2023, Tokushima holds a slight edge with three wins to Fujieda's two. However, given the small sample size, this head-to-head record plays a minor role compared to the more robust form and expected goals indicators. Fujieda's ability to exploit gaps quickly may counter Tokushima's strategy to hold the ball and dictate the pace.

Rain is expected, with 23.3 mm falling at 18.6°C, which is integrated into the model's low score projections, favoring a more cautious game with fewer goals. With only a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring, caution is advised for punters looking for high-scoring outcomes. The most likely results, 1-1 (13%) and 1-0 (12%), suggest a tight contest with few scoring opportunities.

For those seeking value, consider Fujieda MYFC with their stronger statistical footing and home advantage. Ultimately, expect a closely fought battle, with Fujieda leveraging their direct style to eke out a narrow win in challenging conditions.

Fujieda MYFC

Form DDLDD

League ranking xG #18xGA #9xT #20xP/match #12Points #10

Key players

Yusuke KikuiFxG 0.06 · xT 0.13
Yuto NagaoCMxG 0.01 · xT 0.12
Yuri MoriCBxG 0.05 · xT 0.08

Tokushima Vortis

Form WLLDL

League ranking xG #20xGA #15xT #18xP/match #20Points #11

Key players

Daiki WatariFxG 0.19 · xT 0.05
Ken IwaoCAMxG 0.05 · xT 0.12
Kohei YamakoshiCBxG 0.03 · xT 0.05

Final score

0 – 1

The model missed the outcome

Predicted probabilities: Fujieda MYFC 39% · Draw 28% · Tokushima Vortis 33%

How the bookmaker bet builders went

The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.

Matchresultat - Fujieda MYFCBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5

odds 9,75fair 12,73-23 %

Miss

Matchresultat - Tokushima VortisBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5

odds 10,82fair 17,66-39 %

Miss

Match prediction: Fujieda MYFC – Tokushima Vortis

Predicted score matrix

Tokushima Vortis →

Fujieda MYFC →

0–010.1%

0–110.0%

0–25.5%

0–32.0%

0–4+0.7%

1–011.9%

1–113.5%

1–27.0%

1–32.5%

1–4+0.8%

2–07.8%

2–18.3%

2–24.4%

2–31.6%

2–4+0.5%

3–03.3%

3–13.5%

3–21.9%

3–30.7%

3–4+0.2%

4+–01.4%

4+–11.5%

4+–20.8%

4+–30.3%

4+–4+0.1%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-113%
2.1-012%
3.0-010%
4.0-110%
5.2-18%

Expected goals

1,26–1,07

Both teams to score

47%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,3

010%

122%

227%

321%

412%

5+9%

Under 2,559%

@1.67

Over 2,541%

@2.21

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Double chance Fujieda MYFC or draw (1X)69%
Under 3.5 goals79%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Double chance Fujieda MYFC or draw (1X)69%
Under 2.5 goals59%
Uheiji Uehata to score19%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score47%
Over 2.5 goals41%
Uheiji Uehata to score19%
Ryota Kajikawa to be booked19%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

1 · Fujieda MYFC39% probability@2.60PinnacleEV+1%reference odds

Bookmaker	1 · Fujieda MYFC	X	2 · Tokushima Vortis
Betsafe	2.45	3.00	2.75
LeoVegas	2.45	3.00	2.70
Nordicbet	2.45	3.00	2.75
Pinnacle	EV+ 1% 2.60	3.00	2.99

Odds updated 24 Oct, 08:19

Odds movement

1+2 %

39 %34 %

2.55 → 2.60

X-2 %

34 %29 %

3.06 → 3.00

2+5 %

35 %30 %

2.85 → 2.99

Over 2,5+2 %

46 %41 %

2.16 → 2.21

Pinnacle · 8 recorded price levels · 21/10/2026 → 24/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Statistics

Head-to-head

6 matches

Fujieda MYFC 2Draw 1Tokushima Vortis 3

Goals: 5–6 (⌀ 1,8)

Head-to-head based on J2 League data since 2023.

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Fujieda MYFC

Tokushima Vortis

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Fujieda MYFC (15–13)

Tokushima Vortis (10–13)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Fujieda MYFC

Tokushima Vortis

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Fujieda MYFC

Tokushima Vortis

The teams in numbers

Performance	Fujieda MYFC	Tokushima Vortis
Points	15	14
xPoints	16.6	10.9
xG per match	0.88	0.76
xGA per match	1.2	1.3
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.16	0.09
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.21	0.18

Playing style	Fujieda MYFC	Tokushima Vortis
Build-up efficiency	0.33	0.3
Field tilt	0.43	0.41
xT per match	0.66	0.71
xTA per match	1.1	0.95
Won balls, offensive half	17	14
Pressing intensity	0.23	0.22
Pressing efficiency	0.33	0.28
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.33	0.26
Entries into the box per match	10	8
Entries into the box against	13	11
Pass completion %	0.67	0.77
Pass completion % under pressure	0.66	0.75
Passes per match	246	372
Passes against per match	327	338
Switches of play per match	22.9	29
Long balls per match	33	41

Set pieces	Fujieda MYFC	Tokushima Vortis
xG from free kicks	0.03	0.03
Corners per match	5.5	3.8
Corners against per match	6	4.5
xG per corner	0.03	0.02
xGA per corner against	0.02	0.01
First touch, offensive corners %	0.48	0.47
First touch, defensive corners %	0.49	0.66

Other	Fujieda MYFC	Tokushima Vortis
Throw-in control	0.73	0.79

The goalkeepers	Shun Yoshida (Fujieda MYFC)	Kai Chidi Kitamura (Tokushima Vortis)
Saves	49	41
Save %	80%	76%
xG prevented	58%	63%
Claims	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Teams & more matches this round

Fujieda MYFC

Fixtures, form & tips

Tokushima Vortis

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Fujieda MYFC vs Tokushima Vortis according to our model?

The model gives Fujieda MYFC a 39% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Fujieda MYFC 39%, draw 28%, Tokushima Vortis 33%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 41% and under at 59%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 47% according to the model.

How many goals are expected in Fujieda MYFC vs Tokushima Vortis?

The model expects 1.26 goals (xG) for Fujieda MYFC and 1.07 for Tokushima Vortis, 2.33 in total.

What does the model say about double chance?

Fujieda MYFC or draw (1X) 67%, Tokushima Vortis or draw (X2) 61% and no draw (12) 72%.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.