01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Yokohama FC or draw (X2)69%
- Under 3.5 goals75%
J2 League24°0,1 mm17 km/h
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Ventforet KofuLow block & directvs
Yokohama FCPossession controlThe model's lean: 2 · Yokohama FC (44%)Best value by the model: 1 · Ventforet Kofu @ 5.88 (+73 %)
Ventforet Kofu vs Yokohama FC · J2 League
1 · Ventforet Kofu 30%X 26%44% Yokohama FC · 2
30%
26%
44%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Ventforet Kofu vs Yokohama FC (J2 League, Wednesday, 21 October 2026): Ventforet Kofu win 30%, draw 26%, Yokohama FC win 44%. Expected goals (xG): Ventforet Kofu 1.14, Yokohama FC 1.38. Most likely score: 1-1 (13%). Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 51%. Double chance: Ventforet Kofu or draw 56%, Yokohama FC or draw 70%. Prediction updated Tuesday, 13 October 2026.
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Analysis: Ventforet Kofu – Yokohama FC
Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work
TEXT (corrected):
Ventforet Kofu's struggle against Yokohama FC since 2023 is clear: zero wins in two encounters. While the sample size is small and weighs less than current form and expected goals, Yokohama FC have maintained dominance in these matches. However, the numbers suggest a more nuanced picture for their upcoming clash.
Yokohama FC holds a distinct edge in model probability at 44%, aligning with their superior xG rate of 1.5 per match compared to Kofu's 0.82. Yet, it's the defensive metrics that paint a more balanced field; both teams have identical xGA figures of 1.2, hinting at a potentially tighter contest than one might assume. The model's most likely outcomes reflect this, with a 1-1 draw pegged at 13% and a 0-1 away win at 11%.
Despite the prediction of rain, which traditionally dampens goal-scoring opportunities, the over/under 2.5 goals splits nearly evenly at 46% for over, suggesting no strong lean either way. However, the market does see value in under 2.5 goals with Betsafe offering odds of 1.98, giving a 7% edge according to the model's 54% probability.
The betting angle sharpens with Ventforet Kofu as potential value picks at odds of 4.2 with Betsafe and Nordicbet, where the model assigns them a 30% win probability against a market rate suggesting they are significant underdogs. While Yokohama's form indicates they should edge the match, the 24% value edge on Kofu cannot be ignored for those eyeing the upset.
In sum, while Yokohama FC looks to have the upper hand, the numbers reveal potential in backing the under and taking a speculative shot on Kofu at lucrative odds.
Ventforet KofuForm LLLWL
League ranking xG #19xGA #12xT #17xP/match #13Points #19
Key players
- Sho ArakiCMxG 0.02 · xT 0.14
- Kazushi FujiiFxG 0.31 · xT 0.03
- Kojiro YasudaCMxG 0.03 · xT 0.04
Yokohama FCForm WDWLD
League ranking xG #2xGA #10xT #5xP/match #5Points #3
Key players
- Hinata OguraCDMxG 0.12 · xT 0.10
- João Paulo Queiroz de MoraesLWxG 0.48 · xT 0.18
- Kaili ShimboLWxG 0.04 · xT 0.21
Match prediction: Ventforet Kofu – Yokohama FC
Predicted score matrix
Yokohama FC →
Ventforet Kofu →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–08.4%
0–110.7%
0–27.7%
0–33.5%
0–4+1.6%
1
1–08.8%
1–113.0%
1–28.7%
1–34.0%
1–4+1.9%
2
2–05.2%
2–17.2%
2–25.0%
2–32.3%
2–4+1.1%
3
3–02.0%
3–12.7%
3–21.9%
3–30.9%
3–4+0.4%
4+
4+–00.7%
4+–11.0%
4+–20.7%
4+–30.3%
4+–4+0.1%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-113%
- 2.0-111%
- 3.1-09%
- 4.1-29%
- 5.0-08%
Expected goals
1,14–1,38
Both teams to score
51%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,508%
120%
226%
321%
413%
5+11%
Under 2,554%
@1.98EV+7%
Over 2,546%
@1.72
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Yokohama FC or draw (X2)69%
- Under 2.5 goals54%
- Lukian Araújo de Almeida to score26%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score51%
- Over 2.5 goals46%
- Lukian Araújo de Almeida to score26%
- Hinata Ogura to be booked21%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 1 · Ventforet Kofu30% probability@5.88PinnacleEV+73%reference odds
- 1 · Ventforet Kofu30% probability@5.10BetsafeEV+50%reference odds
- 1 · Ventforet Kofu30% probability@5.10NordicbetEV+50%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Ventforet Kofu | X | 2 · Yokohama FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM UK | EV+ 27% 4.30 | 3.50 | 1.75 |
| Betsafe | EV+ 50% 5.10 | 3.80 | 1.55 |
| LeoVegas | EV+ 48% 5.00 | 3.80 | 1.55 |
| Nordicbet | EV+ 50% 5.10 | 3.80 | 1.55 |
| Pinnacle | EV+ 73% 5.88 | EV+ 12% 4.25 | 1.53 |
Odds updated 21 Oct, 12:15
Odds movement
Market signal
The market has moved clearly towards an Yokohama FC win since 18 October — the odds have shortened from 1.62 to 1.53 (−6%).
1+27 %
24 %14 %
4.63 → 5.88
X+9 %
28 %18 %
3.91 → 4.25
2-6 %
63 %53 %
1.62 → 1.53
Pinnacle · 15 recorded price levels · 18/10/2026 → 21/10/2026 · fixed scale 10 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
2 matchesVentforet Kofu 0Draw 0Yokohama FC 2
Goals: 1–3 (⌀ 2)
Head-to-head based on J2 League data since 2023.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Ventforet Kofu
Yokohama FC
Ventforet Kofu (9–23)
Yokohama FC (20–12)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Ventforet Kofu
Yokohama FC
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Ventforet Kofu
Yokohama FC
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Ventforet Kofu | Yokohama FC |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 10 | 18 |
| xPoints | 13 | 15.5 |
| xG per match | 0.82 | 1.5 |
| xGA per match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.13 | 0.19 |
| Playing style | Ventforet Kofu | Yokohama FC |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| Field tilt | 0.44 | 0.54 |
| xT per match | 0.76 | 0.99 |
| xTA per match | 0.84 | 1 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 21 | 15 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| Entries into the box per match | 9 | 14 |
| Entries into the box against | 12 | 12 |
| Pass completion % | 0.71 | 0.76 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.68 | 0.69 |
| Passes per match | 296 | 348 |
| Passes against per match | 417 | 324 |
| Switches of play per match | 22.6 | 23.6 |
| Long balls per match | 31 | 38 |
| Set pieces | Ventforet Kofu | Yokohama FC |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.02 | 0.06 |
| Corners per match | 3.9 | 5.2 |
| Corners against per match | 4.8 | 3.8 |
| xG per corner | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.04 | 0.02 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.44 | 0.46 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.52 | 0.61 |
| Other | Ventforet Kofu | Yokohama FC |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.76 | 0.77 |
| The goalkeepers | John Higashi (Ventforet Kofu) | Akinori Ichikawa (Yokohama FC) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 22 | 39 |
| Save % | 56% | 77% |
| xG prevented | 36% | 56% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
- Iwaki FC – Ventforet Kofu18 October 2026
- Jubilo Iwata – Oita Trinita21 October 2026
- Albirex Niigata – Sagan Tosu21 October 2026
- Montedio Yamagata – Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo21 October 2026
- Tochigi City – Fujieda MYFC21 October 2026
- Vegalta Sendai – FC Imabari21 October 2026
- Shonan Bellmare – Iwaki FC21 October 2026
- Tokushima Vortis – Vanraure Hachinohe21 October 2026
- Omiya Ardija – Kataller Toyama21 October 2026
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Ventforet Kofu vs Yokohama FC according to our model?
The model gives Yokohama FC a 44% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Ventforet Kofu 30%, draw 26%, Yokohama FC 44%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 46% and under at 54%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 51% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Ventforet Kofu vs Yokohama FC?
The model expects 1.14 goals (xG) for Ventforet Kofu and 1.38 for Yokohama FC, 2.52 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Ventforet Kofu or draw (1X) 56%, Yokohama FC or draw (X2) 70% and no draw (12) 74%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.