J2 League23°17,5 mm16 km/h

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    Fujieda MYFCFujieda MYFC
    0–0
    Vanraure HachinoheVanraure Hachinohe
    The model's lean: 1 · Fujieda MYFC (44%)Best value by the model: Under 1,5 @ 2.92 (+6 %)

    Fujieda MYFC vs Vanraure Hachinohe · J2 League

    1 · Fujieda MYFC 44%X 31%25% Vanraure Hachinohe · 2

    Analysis: Fujieda MYFC – Vanraure Hachinohe

    Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work

    TEXT: Fujieda MYFC's 44% win probability against Vanraure Hachinohe sets the stage for a tightly contested match, where the hosts are slightly favored. The key numbers suggest a low-scoring affair with model probabilities leaning heavily towards a narrow victory or a draw, reflected in the most likely scorelines of 1-0 and 1-1. With expected goals at 1.26 for Fujieda and 0.89 for Vanraure, the data nudges towards a defensive clash, particularly influenced by the light rain forecast.

    This matchup's intrigue deepens with the hosts' recent form, which sees them as marginal favorites in a battle of fine margins. Despite Vanraure's 25% chance of winning, their lack of firepower is evident in both the expected goals and their reduced win probability. The modest 37% chance for over 2.5 goals corroborates a prediction for a low-scoring game, which feels consistent against the backdrop of the anticipated rain.

    Current form and expected goals tell a more precise story here. With a 43% chance that both teams find the net, the potential for a goalless draw should not be overlooked, especially given the likelihood of a 0-0 result at 12%.

    Value hunters will zero in on the under 1.5 goals market, with Betsafe, Betsson, and Nordicbet all offering odds of 2.92. The model's 36% probability against these odds represents a 6% edge, spotlighting this as the standout betting angle. It's a calculated risk, but one that aligns with the visible pattern of cautious play anticipated on the pitch.

    In sum, expect a restrained contest, with Fujieda MYFC's slight edge and the weather likely suppressing goal action. The under 1.5 goals market is the sharpest angle here, offering value for those willing to back a low-scoring showdown.

    Fujieda MYFCFujieda MYFC
    Form LWWLW
    Key players
    • Yusuke KikuiFxG 0.07 · xT 0.07
    • Wigi KanemotoFxG 0.90 · xT -0.04
    • Yuri MoriCBxG 0.09 · xT 0.09
    Vanraure HachinoheVanraure Hachinohe
    Form WLLW
    Key players
    • Ryusei TakaoFxG 0.72 · xT 0.01
    • Fumiya UnokiFxG 0.08 · xT 0.16
    • Shoma OtoizumiLWxG 0.07 · xT 0.14
    Final score
    0 – 0
    The model missed the outcome
    Predicted probabilities: Fujieda MYFC 44% · Draw 31% · Vanraure Hachinohe 25%

    How the bookmaker bet builders went

    The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.

    Matchresultat - Fujieda MYFCBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
    odds 8,54fair 13,69-38 %
    Miss
    Matchresultat - Vanraure Hachinohe FCBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
    odds 12,53fair 26,99-54 %
    Miss

    Match prediction: Fujieda MYFC – Vanraure Hachinohe

    Predicted score matrix

    Vanraure Hachinohe →
    Fujieda MYFC →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–012.0%
    0–110.0%
    0–24.6%
    0–31.4%
    0–4+0.4%
    1
    1–014.3%
    1–113.4%
    1–25.8%
    1–31.7%
    1–4+0.5%
    2
    2–09.3%
    2–18.2%
    2–23.7%
    2–31.1%
    2–4+0.3%
    3
    3–03.9%
    3–13.5%
    3–21.5%
    3–30.5%
    3–4+0.1%
    4+
    4+–01.6%
    4+–11.4%
    4+–20.6%
    4+–30.2%
    4+–4+0.1%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-014%
    2. 2.1-113%
    3. 3.0-012%
    4. 4.0-110%
    5. 5.2-09%
    Expected goals
    1,26–0,89
    Both teams to score
    43%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 2,2
    Under 2,563%
    @1.65EV+5%
    Over 2,537%
    @2.12

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own →

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Double chance Fujieda MYFC or draw (1X)74%
    • Under 3.5 goals83%

    Combined probability

    61%

    Fair odds

    1.64

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 3 legs

    Balanced

    • Double chance Fujieda MYFC or draw (1X)74%
    • Under 2.5 goals63%
    • Kosei Okazawa to score29%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The whole slip is priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches — the scorer interacts with result and total goals, never naive multiplication.

    03 · 4 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score43%
    • Over 2.5 goals37%
    • Kosei Okazawa to score29%
    • Kohei Takahashi to be booked21%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals, plus the match's most likely scorer and card candidate — all priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • Under 1.536% probability@2.92BetsafeEV+6%reference odds
    • Under 1.536% probability@2.92BetssonEV+6%reference odds
    • Under 1.536% probability@2.92NordicbetEV+6%reference odds
    Bookmaker1 · Fujieda MYFCX2 · Vanraure Hachinohe
    Betsafe2.153.053.20
    Betsson2.153.053.20
    Nordicbet2.153.053.20
    Pinnacle2.083.203.82

    Odds updated 5 Sept, 10:32

    Odds movement

    1-1 %
    46 %41 %

    2.10 → 2.08

    X-1 %
    32 %27 %

    3.22 → 3.20

    2+9 %
    30 %25 %

    3.51 → 3.82

    Pinnacle · 12 recorded price levels · 01/09/2026 → 05/09/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Statistics

    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    Fujieda MYFC
    Vanraure Hachinohe
    When goals are scored and conceded — 2026
    Fujieda MYFC (8–4)
    Vanraure Hachinohe (3–7)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    Fujieda MYFC
    Yuto Nagao: 120 passningar, xT 0.66NagaoUheiji Uehata: 110 passningar, xT 0.17UehataKeita Matsuda: 106 passningar, xT 0.18MatsudaTakuya Okamoto: 86 passningar, xT 0.17OkamotoShun Yoshida: 78 passningar, xT 0.27YoshidaYusuke Kikui: 67 passningar, xT 0.21KikuiShota Suzuki: 65 passningar, xT 0.06SuzukiYuri Mori: 63 passningar, xT 0.19MoriYuto Nakamura: 48 passningar, xT 0.06NakamuraWigi Kanemoto: 27 passningar, xT -0.06KanemotoJinta Miki: 25 passningar, xT 0.05Miki
    Vanraure Hachinohe
    Wataru Hiramatsu: 135 passningar, xT 0.2HiramatsuShoma Takayoshi: 135 passningar, xT 0.66TakayoshiTeruhiro Sasaki: 119 passningar, xT 0.15SasakiShoma Otoizumi: 74 passningar, xT 0.37OtoizumiDaisuke Inazumi: 65 passningar, xT 0InazumiYudai Sawada: 60 passningar, xT 0.15SawadaHiroto Yukie: 59 passningar, xT 0.25YukieFumiya Unoki: 55 passningar, xT 0.56UnokiYuta Sato: 43 passningar, xT 0.14SatoYusuke Taniguchi: 40 passningar, xT 0.07TaniguchiShinnosuke Suzuki: 36 passningar, xT 0.06Suzuki
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    Fujieda MYFC
    Yuto Nagao: 120 passningar, xT 0.66NagaoUheiji Uehata: 110 passningar, xT 0.17UehataKeita Matsuda: 106 passningar, xT 0.18MatsudaTakuya Okamoto: 86 passningar, xT 0.17OkamotoShun Yoshida: 78 passningar, xT 0.27YoshidaYusuke Kikui: 67 passningar, xT 0.21KikuiShota Suzuki: 65 passningar, xT 0.06SuzukiYuri Mori: 63 passningar, xT 0.19MoriYuto Nakamura: 48 passningar, xT 0.06NakamuraWigi Kanemoto: 27 passningar, xT -0.06KanemotoJinta Miki: 25 passningar, xT 0.05Miki
    Vanraure Hachinohe
    Wataru Hiramatsu: 135 passningar, xT 0.2HiramatsuShoma Takayoshi: 135 passningar, xT 0.66TakayoshiTeruhiro Sasaki: 119 passningar, xT 0.15SasakiShoma Otoizumi: 74 passningar, xT 0.37OtoizumiDaisuke Inazumi: 65 passningar, xT 0InazumiYudai Sawada: 60 passningar, xT 0.15SawadaHiroto Yukie: 59 passningar, xT 0.25YukieFumiya Unoki: 55 passningar, xT 0.56UnokiYuta Sato: 43 passningar, xT 0.14SatoYusuke Taniguchi: 40 passningar, xT 0.07TaniguchiShinnosuke Suzuki: 36 passningar, xT 0.06Suzuki
    The goalkeepersShun Yoshida (Fujieda MYFC)Yusuke Taniguchi (Vanraure Hachinohe)
    Saves187
    Save %86%50%
    xG prevented83%49%
    Claims0 (0%)0 (0%)

    Teams & more matches this round

    Fujieda MYFC
    Fixtures, form & tips
    Vanraure Hachinohe
    Fixtures, form & tips

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Fujieda MYFC vs Vanraure Hachinohe according to our model?

    The model gives Fujieda MYFC a 44% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Fujieda MYFC 44%, draw 31%, Vanraure Hachinohe 25%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-0 at 14% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 37% and under at 63%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 43% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.