Hamarkameratene vs Rosenborg Prediction: Away win 50% (24 Oct 2026)

Norwegian Eliteserien24 October 20267°5,1 mm21 km/h

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HamarkamerateneLow block & direct

RosenborgCounter-attacks & crosses

The model's lean: 2 · Rosenborg (50%)Best value by the model: 1 · Hamarkameratene @ 5.72 (+41 %)

1 · Hamarkameratene 25%X 26%50% Rosenborg · 2

25%

26%

50%

Prediction summary

BetBuilders AI model prediction for Hamarkameratene vs Rosenborg (Norwegian Eliteserien, Saturday, 24 October 2026): Hamarkameratene win 25%, draw 26%, Rosenborg win 50%. Expected goals (xG): Hamarkameratene 1.30, Rosenborg 1.90. Most likely score: 1-1 (10%). Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 62%. Double chance: Hamarkameratene or draw 50%, Rosenborg or draw 75%. Prediction updated Saturday, 17 October 2026.

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Analysis: Hamarkameratene – Rosenborg

Sofia Andersson · 24 October 2026 · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work

Rosenborg's dominance over Hamarkameratene is stark, having won four of their last five encounters. This historical edge, coupled with their unbeaten streak in the last five league matches, sets a clear expectation for the upcoming clash. While Hamarkameratene have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.9 xGA per match, Rosenborg's attacking potency is evident, having scored in 13 consecutive league games. The numbers decisively favor the visitors.

The expected goals point to a 1.90 for Rosenborg compared to Hamarkameratene's 1.30, underlining the visitors' superior attacking form. Both the model's probabilities and the most likely scorelines reflect this advantage, indicating a 50% likelihood of a Rosenborg win. While a 1-1 or 1-2 result each holds a 10% probability, the visitors' edge in xG and recent form tilts the scales towards them scoring more than conceding.

Weather could play a minor role, with rain potentially dampening the goal tally, yet the over 2.5 goals prediction still sits at a robust 62%. This suggests that despite the rain, the attacking strengths of both teams aren’t likely to be entirely muted. Expect an open game with chances on both ends, but Rosenborg should capitalize more efficiently due to their history in this fixture and current form.

Hamarkameratene's direct style contrasts with Rosenborg's reliance on counter-attacks and crosses, potentially creating a dynamic match. However, the hosts' defensive vulnerabilities appear ripe for exploitation by a team adept at seizing opportunities on the break.

Bet365 offers a noteworthy value on Rosenborg to win at odds of 2.00. Given the historical dominance and current form of Rosenborg, this presents an attractive opportunity for bettors. The smart play aligns with the visitors' edge in many facets of the game, pointing to a likely 1-2 scoreline.

Hamarkameratene

Form LLLWL

League ranking xG #12xGA #12xT #15xP/match #14Points #12

Key players

Martin GjoneCBxG 0.12 · xT 0.14
Henrik UdahlFxG 0.43 · xT 0.02
Ethan Amundsen-DayCBxG 0.04 · xT 0.10

Rosenborg

Form WWWDW

League ranking xG #5xGA #5xT #7xP/match #4Points #5

Key players

Emil Konradsen CeideLWxG 0.21 · xT 0.19
Mikkel Konradsen CeideCBxG 0.04 · xT 0.06
Tomas NemcikCBxG 0.03 · xT 0.09

Match prediction: Hamarkameratene – Rosenborg

Predicted score matrix

Rosenborg →

Hamarkameratene →

0–04.4%

0–17.5%

0–27.4%

0–34.7%

0–4+3.4%

1–05.0%

1–110.4%

1–29.6%

1–36.1%

1–4+4.4%

2–03.4%

2–16.5%

2–26.2%

2–33.9%

2–4+2.9%

3–01.5%

3–12.8%

3–22.7%

3–31.7%

3–4+1.2%

4+–00.6%

4+–11.2%

4+–21.2%

4+–30.7%

4+–4+0.5%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-110%
2.1-210%
3.0-17%
4.0-27%
5.2-17%

Expected goals

1,30–1,90

Both teams to score

62%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,2

112%

221%

322%

418%

5+22%

Under 2,538%

–

Over 2,562%

–

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Rosenborg to win50%
Over 1.5 goals83%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Rosenborg to win50%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Emil Konradsen Ceïde to score21%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score62%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Emil Konradsen Ceïde to score21%
Tomáš Nemčík to be booked20%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

1 · Hamarkameratene25% probability@5.72PinnacleEV+41%reference odds
X · Draw26% probability@4.68PinnacleEV+20%reference odds
Under 3.560% probability@1.72PinnacleEV+4%reference odds

Bookmaker	1 · Hamarkameratene	X	2 · Rosenborg
BetMGM UK	EV+ 1% 4.10	EV+ 1% 3.95	1.67
Pinnacle	EV+ 41% 5.72	EV+ 20% 4.68	1.55

Odds updated 24 Oct, 10:17

Odds movement

Market signal

The market has moved clearly towards an Rosenborg win since 18 October — the odds have shortened from 1.64 to 1.55 (−5%).

1+15 %

20 %15 %

4.97 → 5.72

X+13 %

24 %19 %

4.14 → 4.68

2-5 %

63 %58 %

1.64 → 1.55

Pinnacle · 13 recorded price levels · 18/10/2026 → 24/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Statistics

Head-to-head

5 matches

Hamarkameratene 1Draw 0Rosenborg 4

Goals: 4–9 (⌀ 2,6)

Head-to-head based on Eliteserien data since 2021.

Key facts

Rosenborg dominate this fixture historically: 4 wins to 1 in 5 meetings.
Rosenborg are unbeaten in their last 5 league matches.
Rosenborg have scored in 13 consecutive league matches.

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Hamarkameratene

Rosenborg

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Hamarkameratene (33–48)

Rosenborg (43–31)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Hamarkameratene

Rosenborg

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Hamarkameratene

Rosenborg

The teams in numbers

Performance	Hamarkameratene	Rosenborg
Points	26	37
xPoints	27.2	36.3
xG per match	1.3	1.8
xGA per match	1.9	1.5
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.21	0.17
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.3	0.3

Playing style	Hamarkameratene	Rosenborg
Build-up efficiency	0.37	0.33
Field tilt	0.33	0.56
xT per match	0.87	1.1
xTA per match	1.5	1.1
Won balls, offensive half	22	28
Pressing intensity	0.25	0.24
Pressing efficiency	0.24	0.32
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.23	0.3
Entries into the box per match	11	16
Entries into the box against	19	14
Pass completion %	0.76	0.76
Pass completion % under pressure	0.72	0.7
Passes per match	356	391
Passes against per match	441	344
Switches of play per match	26.4	22.8
Long balls per match	37	28

Set pieces	Hamarkameratene	Rosenborg
xG from free kicks	0.05	0.05
Corners per match	4	6.2
Corners against per match	5.4	5.7
xG per corner	0.02	0.03
xGA per corner against	0.03	0.04
First touch, offensive corners %	0.41	0.43
First touch, defensive corners %	0.53	0.6

Other	Hamarkameratene	Rosenborg
Throw-in control	0.71	0.71

The goalkeepers	Marcus Sandberg (Hamarkameratene)	Leopold Wahlstedt (Rosenborg)
Saves	82	78
Save %	65%	72%
xG prevented	44%	49%
Claims	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Teams & more matches this round

Hamarkameratene

Fixtures, form & tips

Rosenborg

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Hamarkameratene vs Rosenborg according to our model?

The model gives Rosenborg a 50% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Hamarkameratene 25%, draw 26%, Rosenborg 50%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 10% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 62% and under at 38%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 62% according to the model.

How many goals are expected in Hamarkameratene vs Rosenborg?

The model expects 1.30 goals (xG) for Hamarkameratene and 1.90 for Rosenborg, 3.20 in total.

What does the model say about double chance?

Hamarkameratene or draw (1X) 50%, Rosenborg or draw (X2) 75% and no draw (12) 74%.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.