KFUM vs Hamarkameratene Prediction: Home win 39% (24 Oct 2026)

Norwegian Eliteserien24 October 20269°4,5 mm23 km/h

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KFUMLow block & direct

HamarkamerateneLow block & direct

The model's lean: 1 · KFUM (39%)

1 · KFUM 39%X 30%31% Hamarkameratene · 2

39%

30%

31%

Prediction summary

BetBuilders AI model prediction for KFUM vs Hamarkameratene (Norwegian Eliteserien, Saturday, 24 October 2026): KFUM win 39%, draw 30%, Hamarkameratene win 31%. Expected goals (xG): KFUM 1.49, Hamarkameratene 1.22. Most likely score: 1-1 (12%). Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 55%. Double chance: KFUM or draw 69%, Hamarkameratene or draw 61%. Prediction updated Friday, 16 October 2026.

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Analysis: KFUM – Hamarkameratene

Oscar Nilsson · 23 October 2026 · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work

TEXT: In the recent head-to-head series between KFUM and Hamarkameratene, there's been little to separate the two sides, with each team claiming one win and sharing the spoils in three draws over five matches. This small sample size should caution against overvaluing past encounters in predicting the outcome on Sunday. Observing their current season form, KFUM holds a slight edge with 29 points to Hamarkameratene's 26, though the xPoints suggest a tighter race with both sides performing close to expectations.

The model tips KFUM with a 39% probability of winning, slightly favoring the hosts over the visitors' 31%. Expected goals further underline KFUM's slight edge, predicting 1.49 goals for them against 1.22 for Hamarkameratene. Both teams are known for their direct styles and leaky defenses, but the rainy conditions—8.8°C with 4.5 mm of rain—could dampen the attacking flow and keep scoring opportunities in check.

While the over 2.5 goals market is finely balanced at 51%, the rain and defensive vulnerabilities suggest a more conservative approach might be wise. Both teams to score sits at 55%, reflecting the likelihood of each defense capitulating at least once. The most probable scorelines hover around a narrow win or a stalemate, with a 1-1 draw (12%) being the model's top pick followed by a 1-0 win for KFUM (10%).

For bettors seeking value, the model's lean toward KFUM suggests their chances may be underappreciated relative to the probabilities given. However, caution is warranted given the damp weather, which might level the playing field more than numbers alone suggest.

KFUM

Form LWWWD

League ranking xG #15xGA #10xT #14xP/match #10Points #9

Key players

Teodor Berg HaltvikFxG 0.37 · xT 0.07
Bilal NjieLWxG 0.32 · xT 0.07
Magnus Wolff EikremFxG 0.14 · xT 0.29

Hamarkameratene

Form LLLWL

League ranking xG #12xGA #12xT #15xP/match #14Points #12

Key players

Martin GjoneCBxG 0.12 · xT 0.14
Henrik UdahlFxG 0.43 · xT 0.02
Ethan Amundsen-DayCBxG 0.04 · xT 0.10

Match prediction: KFUM – Hamarkameratene

Predicted score matrix

Hamarkameratene →

KFUM →

0–07.0%

0–17.8%

0–25.0%

0–32.0%

0–4+0.8%

1–09.5%

1–112.4%

1–27.4%

1–33.0%

1–4+1.2%

2–07.4%

2–19.0%

2–25.5%

2–32.2%

2–4+0.9%

3–03.7%

3–14.5%

3–22.7%

3–31.1%

3–4+0.4%

4+–01.9%

4+–12.3%

4+–21.4%

4+–30.6%

4+–4+0.2%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-112%
2.1-010%
3.2-19%
4.0-18%
5.1-27%

Expected goals

1,49–1,22

Both teams to score

55%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,7

117%

225%

322%

415%

5+14%

Under 2,549%

–

Over 2,551%

–

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Double chance KFUM or draw (1X)69%
Over 1.5 goals76%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Double chance KFUM or draw (1X)69%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Bilal Elmi Njie to score21%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score55%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Bilal Elmi Njie to score21%
Ethan Amundsen-Day to be booked22%

Odds & value

No odds available yet.

Statistics

Head-to-head

5 matches

KFUM 1Draw 3Hamarkameratene 1

Goals: 5–7 (⌀ 2,4)

Head-to-head based on Eliteserien data since 2021.

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

KFUM

Hamarkameratene

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

KFUM (28–37)

Hamarkameratene (33–48)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

KFUM

Hamarkameratene

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

KFUM

Hamarkameratene

The teams in numbers

Performance	KFUM	Hamarkameratene
Points	29	26
xPoints	28.3	27.2
xG per match	1.1	1.3
xGA per match	1.8	1.9
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.2	0.21
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.24	0.3

Playing style	KFUM	Hamarkameratene
Build-up efficiency	0.35	0.37
Field tilt	0.39	0.33
xT per match	0.87	0.87
xTA per match	1.3	1.5
Won balls, offensive half	22	22
Pressing intensity	0.23	0.25
Pressing efficiency	0.27	0.24
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.25	0.23
Entries into the box per match	12	11
Entries into the box against	18	19
Pass completion %	0.72	0.76
Pass completion % under pressure	0.7	0.72
Passes per match	323	356
Passes against per match	449	441
Switches of play per match	18.6	26.4
Long balls per match	28	37

Set pieces	KFUM	Hamarkameratene
xG from free kicks	0.03	0.05
Corners per match	4.1	4
Corners against per match	5.6	5.4
xG per corner	0.02	0.02
xGA per corner against	0.04	0.03
First touch, offensive corners %	0.35	0.41
First touch, defensive corners %	0.52	0.53

Other	KFUM	Hamarkameratene
Throw-in control	0.72	0.71

The goalkeepers	Emil Ødegaard (KFUM)	Marcus Sandberg (Hamarkameratene)
Saves	42	82
Save %	74%	65%
xG prevented	56%	44%
Claims	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Teams & more matches this round

KFUM

Fixtures, form & tips

Hamarkameratene

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins KFUM vs Hamarkameratene according to our model?

The model gives KFUM a 39% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: KFUM 39%, draw 30%, Hamarkameratene 31%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and under at 49%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 55% according to the model.

How many goals are expected in KFUM vs Hamarkameratene?

The model expects 1.49 goals (xG) for KFUM and 1.22 for Hamarkameratene, 2.71 in total.

What does the model say about double chance?

KFUM or draw (1X) 69%, Hamarkameratene or draw (X2) 61% and no draw (12) 70%.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.