IMT vs Železničar Pančevo: Prediction & Odds (23 Oct 2026)

Serbian Super League23 October 202612°0,3 mm15 km/h

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IMTPossession & high press

0–1

Železničar PančevoPossession & high press

The model's lean: 2 · Železničar Pančevo (37%)

1 · IMT 33%X 30%37% Železničar Pančevo · 2

33%

30%

37%

Prediction summary

Final score 0–1. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for IMT vs Železničar Pančevo (Serbian Super League, Friday, 23 October 2026): IMT win 33%, draw 30%, Železničar Pančevo win 37%. Expected goals (xG): IMT 1.18, Železničar Pančevo 1.26. Most likely score: 1-1 (13%). Over 2.5 goals 44%, both teams to score 50%. Double chance: IMT or draw 63%, Železničar Pančevo or draw 67%. Prediction updated Friday, 16 October 2026.

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Analysis: IMT – Železničar Pančevo

Anna Karlsson · 23 October 2026 · A data-driven preview · How the predictions work

TEXT: Železničar Pančevo's recent form is the standout factor as they visit IMT in the Serbian Super League. With three consecutive wins under their belt, the visitors have the momentum, and the model reflects this, giving them a slight edge with a 37% chance of victory compared to IMT's 33%. The most likely scoreline of 1-1 at 13% suggests a tight contest, but Železničar's form and statistical edge could tip the balance.

The visitors lead in both expected goals (1.26 vs. 1.18) and expected points (18.6 vs. 11.6), which underlines their superior attacking and overall performance. Both teams share a similar playing style focused on possession and high pressing, so the midfield battle will be crucial. However, Železničar's ability to convert chances more effectively might be the decisive factor. The small sample size of head-to-head encounters should be considered less significant compared to these metrics.

With both teams evenly matched in expected goals, the likelihood of the match hitting over 2.5 goals sits at just 44%. The betting value here seems to lie on Železničar Pančevo to win. The model's lean aligns with this, suggesting that the visitors could edge out a narrow 1-0 victory in a tactical showdown.

IMT

Form DLDWW

League ranking xG #5xGA #4xT #8xP/match #5Points #8

Key players

Vasilije NovičićCMxG 0.24 · xT 0.07
Charly Soualio KeitaFxG 0.49 · xT 0.05
Moussa SissakoCBxG 0.04 · xT 0.06

Železničar Pančevo

Form WLWWW

League ranking xG #3xGA #2xT #5xP/match #3Points #3

Key players

Mirko MilikićCBxG 0.09 · xT 0.14
Nikola ĐuričićLBxG 0.11 · xT 0.16
Nemanja VidojevićCBxG 0.04 · xT 0.08

Final score

0 – 1

The model called the outcome

Predicted probabilities: IMT 33% · Draw 30% · Železničar Pančevo 37%

How the bookmaker bet builders went

The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.

Matchresultat - FK Zeleznicar PancevoBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5

odds 10,23fair 12,42-18 %

Miss

Matchresultat - IMT Novi BeogradBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5

odds 10,02fair 14,07-29 %

Miss

Match prediction: IMT – Železničar Pančevo

Predicted score matrix

Železničar Pančevo →

IMT →

0–09.1%

0–110.6%

0–26.9%

0–32.9%

0–4+1.2%

1–09.9%

1–113.3%

1–28.2%

1–33.4%

1–4+1.4%

2–06.1%

2–17.7%

2–24.8%

2–32.0%

2–4+0.8%

3–02.4%

3–13.0%

3–21.9%

3–30.8%

3–4+0.3%

4+–00.9%

4+–11.2%

4+–20.7%

4+–30.3%

4+–4+0.1%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-113%
2.0-111%
3.1-010%
4.0-09%
5.1-28%

Expected goals

1,18–1,26

Both teams to score

50%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,4

09%

120%

226%

321%

413%

5+10%

Under 2,556%

@1.67

Over 2,544%

@2.12

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Double chance Železničar Pančevo or draw (X2)66%
Under 3.5 goals77%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Double chance Železničar Pančevo or draw (X2)66%
Under 2.5 goals56%
David Akpan Ankeye to score22%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score50%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Tadija Cojic to score28%
Janko Jevremović to be booked24%

Odds & value

Bookmaker	1 · IMT	X	2 · Železničar Pančevo
Betfair Exchange	1.23	1.13	1.23
Betsafe	2.62	3.00	2.62
LeoVegas	2.60	3.00	2.55
Nordicbet	2.62	3.00	2.62
Pinnacle	2.58	3.03	2.64

Odds updated 23 Oct, 12:36

Odds movement

10 %

38 %33 %

2.57 → 2.58

X-1 %

32 %27 %

3.06 → 3.03

2+6 %

38 %33 %

2.50 → 2.64

Over 2,5+2 %

49 %44 %

2.07 → 2.12

Pinnacle · 7 recorded price levels · 21/10/2026 → 23/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Statistics

Key facts

Zeleznicar Pancevo come into this round on 3 straight wins.

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

IMT

Železničar Pančevo

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

IMT (5–4)

Železničar Pančevo (18–10)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

IMT

Železničar Pančevo

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

IMT

Železničar Pančevo

The teams in numbers

Performance	IMT	Železničar Pančevo
Points	13	20
xPoints	11.6	18.6
xG per match	1.4	1.9
xGA per match	0.84	0.76
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.2	0.37
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.19	0.18

Playing style	IMT	Železničar Pančevo
Build-up efficiency	0.29	0.29
Field tilt	0.57	0.63
xT per match	1	1.2
xTA per match	0.64	0.68
Won balls, offensive half	30	26
Pressing intensity	0.2	0.22
Pressing efficiency	0.36	0.29
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.32	0.29
Entries into the box per match	12	12
Entries into the box against	9	8
Pass completion %	0.72	0.81
Pass completion % under pressure	0.7	0.77
Passes per match	306	421
Passes against per match	261	278
Switches of play per match	16.8	21.4
Long balls per match	29	29

Set pieces	IMT	Železničar Pančevo
xG from free kicks	0.04	0.04
Corners per match	5.4	5.2
Corners against per match	3.4	3
xG per corner	0.03	0.01
xGA per corner against	0.01	0.02
First touch, offensive corners %	0.34	0.39
First touch, defensive corners %	0.58	0.56

Other	IMT	Železničar Pančevo
Throw-in control	0.72	0.78

The goalkeepers	Ognjen Čančarević (IMT)	Zoran Popović (Železničar Pančevo)
Saves	11	22
Save %	79%	69%
xG prevented	59%	61%
Claims	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Teams & more matches this round

IMT

Fixtures, form & tips

Železničar Pančevo

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins IMT vs Železničar Pančevo according to our model?

The model gives Železničar Pančevo a 37% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: IMT 33%, draw 30%, Železničar Pančevo 37%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 44% and under at 56%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 50% according to the model.

How many goals are expected in IMT vs Železničar Pančevo?

The model expects 1.18 goals (xG) for IMT and 1.26 for Železničar Pančevo, 2.44 in total.

What does the model say about double chance?

IMT or draw (1X) 63%, Železničar Pančevo or draw (X2) 67% and no draw (12) 70%.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.