01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Córdoba to win48%
- Under 3.5 goals78%
Segunda División25°10 km/h
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CórdobaPossession controlvs
CD TenerifePossession controlThe model's lean: 1 · Córdoba (48%)
Córdoba vs CD Tenerife · Segunda División
1 · Córdoba 48%X 29%23% CD Tenerife · 2
48%
29%
23%
Bet on this match
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Analysis: Córdoba – CD Tenerife
Erik Lindberg · · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work
Córdoba's expected goals advantage of 1.44 to Tenerife's 0.97 stands at the forefront of this matchup, suggesting that the home side will likely carve out the better chances. The hosts are adept at maintaining possession, and their ability to create scoring opportunities quickly after winning the ball (xG of 0.3 within 8 seconds) highlights their tactical sharpness. Although Tenerife has secured more points in the season so far, their lower expected goals tally of 0.81 per match underscores their struggles in attack.
The two teams have met twice since 2023, with Córdoba winning both encounters. However, this small sample size bears less weight than their current form and statistical outlook. The model's probabilities further bolster the case for the home team, assigning them a 48% chance of victory compared to Tenerife's meager 23%. This leans heavily towards Córdoba, despite the visitors' slight points edge this season.
With the over/under 2.5 goals line sitting at 43%, a lower-scoring affair is anticipated. The figures point towards a 1-0 victory for Córdoba or perhaps a 1-1 draw, given the most likely scorelines of 13% each. Some value appears on Córdoba at certain bookmakers offering them at odds above the implied 48% chance.
CórdobaForm WLLLW
League ranking xG #4xGA #14xT #3xP/match #4Points #16
Key players
- Diego Pertejo CansecoFxG 0.36 · xT -0.06
- Cristian Carracedo GarcíaRWxG 0.20 · xT 0.37
- Isma RuizCDMxG 0.07 · xT 0.04
CD TenerifeForm WLDWL
League ranking xG #21xGA #7xT #22xP/match #5Points #11
Key players
- Enric GallegoFxG 0.57 · xT 0.01
- Ignacio Gil de Pareja VicentLWxG 0.10 · xT 0.11
- Jesus Alvarez AguadoCMxG 0.05 · xT -0.03
Match prediction: Córdoba – CD Tenerife
Predicted score matrix
CD Tenerife →
Córdoba →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–09.3%
0–18.4%
0–24.2%
0–31.4%
0–4+0.4%
1
1–012.5%
1–112.9%
1–26.1%
1–32.0%
1–4+0.6%
2
2–09.3%
2–19.0%
2–24.4%
2–31.4%
2–4+0.4%
3
3–04.5%
3–14.3%
3–22.1%
3–30.7%
3–4+0.2%
4+
4+–02.2%
4+–12.1%
4+–21.0%
4+–30.3%
4+–4+0.1%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-113%
- 2.1-013%
- 3.0-09%
- 4.2-09%
- 5.2-19%
Expected goals
1,44–0,97
Both teams to score
48%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,409%
121%
226%
321%
413%
5+10%
Under 2,557%
–
Over 2,543%
–
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Córdoba to win48%
- Under 2.5 goals57%
- Diego Pertejo Canseco to score21%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score48%
- Over 2.5 goals43%
- Enrique Gallego Puigsech to score26%
- Jesus Alvarez Aguado to be booked25%
Odds & value
No odds available yet.
Statistics
Head-to-head
2 matchesCórdoba 2Draw 0CD Tenerife 0
Goals: 6–2 (⌀ 4)
Head-to-head based on Segunda División data since 2023.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Córdoba
CD Tenerife
Córdoba (9–13)
CD Tenerife (7–8)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Córdoba
CD Tenerife
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Córdoba
CD Tenerife
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Córdoba | CD Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 6 | 10 |
| xPoints | 8.7 | 8.7 |
| xG per match | 1.6 | 0.81 |
| xGA per match | 1.2 | 0.95 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.3 | 0.12 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| Playing style | Córdoba | CD Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| Field tilt | 0.61 | 0.45 |
| xT per match | 1.2 | 0.53 |
| xTA per match | 0.81 | 0.81 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 27 | 29 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| Entries into the box per match | 14 | 8 |
| Entries into the box against | 11 | 10 |
| Pass completion % | 0.75 | 0.72 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| Passes per match | 333 | 290 |
| Passes against per match | 250 | 461 |
| Switches of play per match | 27.7 | 27.8 |
| Long balls per match | 33 | 38 |
| Set pieces | Córdoba | CD Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.02 | 0.04 |
| Corners per match | 5 | 3.9 |
| Corners against per match | 2.2 | 3.6 |
| xG per corner | 0.01 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.04 | 0.01 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.48 | 0.48 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.5 | 0.62 |
| Other | Córdoba | CD Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.76 | 0.66 |
| The goalkeepers | Guilherme Fernandes (Córdoba) | Daniel Martín Fernández (CD Tenerife) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 9 | 8 |
| Save % | 60% | 50% |
| xG prevented | 31% | 20% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
- Eldense – Real Oviedo2 October 2026
- Sabadell – FC Andorra3 October 2026
- Albacete – Eibar3 October 2026
- Cádiz – Leganés3 October 2026
- Almería – Burgos3 October 2026
- Las Palmas – Real Valladolid4 October 2026
- Sporting Gijón – Celta Fortuna4 October 2026
- Castellon – Ceuta4 October 2026
- Real Sociedad B – Granada4 October 2026
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Córdoba vs CD Tenerife according to our model?
The model gives Córdoba a 48% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Córdoba 48%, draw 29%, CD Tenerife 23%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 43% and under at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 48% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.