01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Hammarby to win73%
- Over 1.5 goals85%
Swedish AllsvenskanÖrjans vall, Halmstad7°13 km/h
Läs på svenska
HalmstadCounter-attacks & crossesvs
HammarbyPossession & high pressThe model's lean: 2 · Hammarby (73%)
Halmstad vs Hammarby · Swedish Allsvenskan
1 · Halmstad 12%X 15%73% Hammarby · 2
15%
73%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Halmstad vs Hammarby (Swedish Allsvenskan, Sunday, 18 October 2026): Halmstad win 12%, draw 15%, Hammarby win 73%. Expected goals (xG): Halmstad 0.91, Hammarby 2.46. Most likely score: 0-2 (10%). Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 55%. Double chance: Halmstad or draw 27%, Hammarby or draw 88%. Prediction updated Saturday, 10 October 2026.
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Analysis: Halmstad – Hammarby
Anna Karlsson · · A data-driven preview · How the predictions work
TEXT: Hammarby’s relentless scoring streak, now at 13 consecutive league matches, signals a formidable challenge for any defense, let alone one as beleaguered as Halmstad's. The hosts will have to contend with a visitor side that not only boasts a high-octane attack but also a disciplined high press and possession-oriented playstyle. The numbers tell a story of contrast: while Halmstad relies on counter-attacks and crosses, they face a Hammarby team that excels in disarming such strategies.
Halmstad's struggles are further highlighted by their expected goals against (xGA) of 2.1 per match, suggesting significant defensive vulnerabilities. In stark contrast, Hammarby's xGA is a mere 0.91, underscoring their defensive solidity. The model paints a clear picture with a 73% probability favoring a Hammarby victory. Expected scores, notably the 0-2 and 0-3 outcomes, align with this narrative, emphasizing Hammarby’s offensive capability against a struggling defense.
Despite a head-to-head record that appears relatively even with a small sample size of seven matches since 2023, the current form and metrics weigh heavily in Hammarby's favor. Halmstad's home advantage seems negligible against the visitors' superior points tally of 43 compared to Halmstad's 14, and the xPoints further amplify this gap.
With a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals, the match leans towards a high-scoring encounter, predominantly driven by Hammarby’s expected output. Both teams to score stands at 55%, indicating a likelihood, albeit slim, that Halmstad might find the net.
In essence, betting on a decisive Hammarby victory looks promising. The visitors' impressive form and tactical prowess should translate into a comfortable win, with 0-2 and a lean towards over 2.5 goals as the most plausible outcomes.
HalmstadForm DWLLW
League ranking xG #15xGA #16xT #13xP/match #16Points #16
Key players
- Joel AllanssonCMxG 0.04 · xT 0.12
- André BomanRWxG 0.01 · xT 0.18
- Niilo MäenpääCMxG 0.02 · xT 0.10
HammarbyForm WLDWW
League ranking xG #1xGA #1xT #1xP/match #2Points #2
Key players
- Nahir BesaraCAMxG 0.39 · xT 0.35
- Tesfaldet TekieCDMxG 0.07 · xT 0.17
- Montader MadjedRWxG 0.26 · xT 0.27
Match prediction: Halmstad – Hammarby
Predicted score matrix
Hammarby →
Halmstad →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–03.7%
0–18.2%
0–210.4%
0–38.6%
0–4+9.5%
1
1–02.9%
1–17.9%
1–29.5%
1–37.8%
1–4+8.6%
2
2–01.4%
2–13.5%
2–24.3%
2–33.5%
2–4+3.9%
3
3–00.4%
3–11.1%
3–21.3%
3–31.1%
3–4+1.2%
4+
4+–00.1%
4+–10.3%
4+–20.4%
4+–30.3%
4+–4+0.3%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.0-210%
- 2.1-29%
- 3.0-39%
- 4.0-18%
- 5.1-18%
Expected goals
0,91–2,46
Both teams to score
55%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,40
111%
220%
322%
418%
5+25%
Under 2,535%
–
Over 2,565%
–
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Hammarby to win73%
- Over 2.5 goals65%
- Paulos Abraham to score33%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score55%
- Over 2.5 goals65%
- Paulos Abraham to score33%
- Niilo Mäenpää to be booked22%
Odds & value
No odds available yet.
Statistics
Head-to-head
7 matchesHalmstad 2Draw 3Hammarby 2
Goals: 6–7 (⌀ 1,9)
Head-to-head based on Allsvenskan data since 2023.
Key facts
- Hammarby have scored in 13 consecutive league matches.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Halmstad
Hammarby
Halmstad (16–40)
Hammarby (49–20)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Halmstad
Hammarby
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Halmstad
Hammarby
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Halmstad | Hammarby |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 14 | 43 |
| xPoints | 22.3 | 40.7 |
| xG per match | 1 | 2.2 |
| xGA per match | 2.1 | 0.91 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.17 | 0.43 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.35 | 0.23 |
| Playing style | Halmstad | Hammarby |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| Field tilt | 0.4 | 0.76 |
| xT per match | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| xTA per match | 1.9 | 0.86 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 27 | 37 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.54 | 0.58 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| Entries into the box per match | 11 | 20 |
| Entries into the box against | 20 | 8 |
| Pass completion % | 0.79 | 0.87 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.74 | 0.83 |
| Passes per match | 336 | 555 |
| Passes against per match | 509 | 318 |
| Switches of play per match | 14.8 | 11.2 |
| Long balls per match | 28 | 24 |
| Set pieces | Halmstad | Hammarby |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.13 | 0.25 |
| Corners per match | 4.4 | 6.5 |
| Corners against per match | 7 | 2.6 |
| xG per corner | 0.01 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.36 | 0.52 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.5 | 0.59 |
| Other | Halmstad | Hammarby |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.62 | 0.7 |
| The goalkeepers | Tim Rönning (Halmstad) | Warner Hahn (Hammarby) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 89 | 43 |
| Save % | 70% | 68% |
| xG prevented | 55% | 36% |
| Claims | 132 (89%) | 83 (98%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Halmstad vs Hammarby according to our model?
The model gives Hammarby a 73% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Halmstad 12%, draw 15%, Hammarby 73%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 0-2 at 10% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 65% and under at 35%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 55% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Halmstad vs Hammarby?
The model expects 0.91 goals (xG) for Halmstad and 2.46 for Hammarby, 3.37 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Halmstad or draw (1X) 27%, Hammarby or draw (X2) 88% and no draw (12) 85%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.