Swedish Ettan8°3,9 mm15 km/h

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    AFC EskilstunaAFC Eskilstuna
    vs
    Stockholm InternazionaleStockholm Internazionale
    The model's lean: 2 · Stockholm Internazionale (64%)

    AFC Eskilstuna vs Stockholm Internazionale · Swedish Ettan

    1 · AFC Eskilstuna 16%X 20%64% Stockholm Internazionale · 2

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    Analysis: AFC Eskilstuna – Stockholm Internazionale

    Marcus Johansson · · Analysis from the match model · How the predictions work

    TEXT: Stockholm Internazionale's recent form and attacking prowess are hard to ignore as they head into their clash against AFC Eskilstuna. With four straight victories and a consistent goal-scoring streak spanning 15 league matches, the visitors have established themselves as a formidable force. The model sees the visitors as clear favorites with a 64% chance of victory, underscoring their strength and attacking capability.

    Eskilstuna, on the other hand, face an uphill battle. The home side's expected goals figure of 0.99 suggests they might struggle to break down a resolute Internazionale defense. While the model gives a 16% chance for an Eskilstuna win, a draw seems a more realistic aspiration for the hosts, albeit still an underdog outcome at 20%.

    The most likely scorelines—1-1 and 0-1—reflect Eskilstuna's potential to hold their own at home, yet Internazionale's edge in quality shines through. The 11% chance of a 0-1 win aligns with Internazionale's ability to control matches and capitalize on opportunities. However, the slight favoring of over 2.5 goals and both teams to score metrics, at 52% and 53% respectively, suggests potential volatility if the game opens up.

    While Eskilstuna's resilience might make for a tense encounter, the model favors the visitors to continue their winning streak.

    AFC EskilstunaAFC Eskilstuna
    Key players
    • Ryan WilliamsCMxG 0.14 · xT 0.10
    • Armin CulumLWxG 0.10 · xT 0.19
    • Yakubu AliyuCAMxG 0.13 · xT 0.10
    • Numbers from Superettan 2023
    Stockholm InternazionaleStockholm Internazionale
    Form DWWWW
    Key players
    • Luka DobrijevicCBxG 0.04 · xT 0.54
    • Jens StigedahlLBxG 0.25 · xT 0.08
    • Sebastian Loyola NydénCMxG 0.04 · xT 0.05

    Match prediction: AFC Eskilstuna – Stockholm Internazionale

    Predicted score matrix

    Stockholm Internazionale →
    AFC Eskilstuna →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–06.6%
    0–110.8%
    0–210.0%
    0–36.0%
    0–4+4.0%
    1
    1–05.8%
    1–111.3%
    1–29.8%
    1–35.9%
    1–4+3.9%
    2
    2–03.0%
    2–15.4%
    2–24.9%
    2–32.9%
    2–4+1.9%
    3
    3–01.0%
    3–11.8%
    3–21.6%
    3–31.0%
    3–4+0.6%
    4+
    4+–00.3%
    4+–10.5%
    4+–20.5%
    4+–30.3%
    4+–4+0.2%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-111%
    2. 2.0-111%
    3. 3.0-210%
    4. 4.1-210%
    5. 5.0-07%
    Expected goals
    0,99–1,79
    Both teams to score
    53%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 2,8
    Under 2,548%
    –
    Over 2,552%
    –

    Ready-made bet suggestions

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    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Stockholm Internazionale to win64%
    • Over 1.5 goals77%

    Combined probability

    45%

    Fair odds

    2.22

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 3 legs

    Balanced

    • Stockholm Internazionale to win64%
    • Over 2.5 goals52%
    • Cameron Streete to score38%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The whole slip is priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches — the scorer interacts with result and total goals, never naive multiplication.

    03 · 4 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score53%
    • Over 2.5 goals52%
    • Cameron Streete to score38%
    • Ryan Williams to be booked21%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals, plus the match's most likely scorer and card candidate — all priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches.

    Odds & value

    No odds available yet.

    Statistics

    Key facts

    • Stockholm Internazionale come into this round on 4 straight wins.
    • Stockholm Internazionale have scored in 15 consecutive league matches.
    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    AFC Eskilstuna
    Stockholm Internazionale
    When goals are scored and conceded — 2024
    AFC Eskilstuna (54–65)
    Stockholm Internazionale (70–24)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    Stockholm Internazionale
    David Zlotnik: 334 passningar, xT 0.51ZlotnikLuka Dobrijevic: 282 passningar, xT 4.16DobrijevicDavid Fällman: 202 passningar, xT 0.3FällmanSebastian Loyola Nydén: 186 passningar, xT 0.08NydénWilliam Jan: 164 passningar, xT 1.15JanJens Stigedahl: 154 passningar, xT 0.51StigedahlAnders Hellblom: 145 passningar, xT 0.86HellblomMaill Lundgren: 127 passningar, xT 1.06LundgrenRasmus Allbäck: 87 passningar, xT 0.1AllbäckMarijan Cosic: 59 passningar, xT 0.59CosicVilliam Dahlström: 53 passningar, xT -0.06Dahlström
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    Stockholm Internazionale
    David Zlotnik: 334 passningar, xT 0.51ZlotnikLuka Dobrijevic: 282 passningar, xT 4.16DobrijevicDavid Fällman: 202 passningar, xT 0.3FällmanSebastian Loyola Nydén: 186 passningar, xT 0.08NydénWilliam Jan: 164 passningar, xT 1.15JanJens Stigedahl: 154 passningar, xT 0.51StigedahlAnders Hellblom: 145 passningar, xT 0.86HellblomMaill Lundgren: 127 passningar, xT 1.06LundgrenRasmus Allbäck: 87 passningar, xT 0.1AllbäckMarijan Cosic: 59 passningar, xT 0.59CosicVilliam Dahlström: 53 passningar, xT -0.06Dahlström
    The goalkeepersAFC EskilstunaSimon Eriksson (Stockholm Internazionale)
    Saves–33
    Save %–72%
    xG prevented–41%
    Claims–0 (0%)

    Teams & more matches this round

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins AFC Eskilstuna vs Stockholm Internazionale according to our model?

    The model gives Stockholm Internazionale a 64% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: AFC Eskilstuna 16%, draw 20%, Stockholm Internazionale 64%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 52% and under at 48%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 53% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.