01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Rosengård or draw (1X)62%
- Over 1.5 goals81%
Swedish Ettan
Läs på svenska
RosengårdPossession & high pressvs
ÅtvidabergPossession & high pressThe model's lean: 1 · Rosengård (40%)
Rosengård vs Åtvidaberg · Swedish Ettan
1 · Rosengård 40%X 26%33% Åtvidaberg · 2
40%
26%
33%
Bet on this match
NordicbetVälkommen in i matchen! Skapa ett konto, gör en insättning och hämta ett gratisspel värt 100 kr plus 50 freespins på Pirots 4.Claim the bonus at Nordicbet
BetsafeHämta ett 100 kr gratisspel + 50 freespins på Pirots 4 när du gör din första insättning hos Betsafe!Claim the bonus at Betsafe
18+ · Gamble responsibly · stodlinjen.se · Affiliate links
Analysis: Rosengård – Åtvidaberg
Marcus Johansson · · Analysis from the match model · How the predictions work
Rosengård and Åtvidaberg both embrace a similar tactical mold, favoring possession and high pressing strategies. This congruence sets the stage for a tightly contested midfield battle, where neither side is likely to concede control easily. The match's outcome hinges on how effectively each team can execute their pressing game and transition into attack, given their mirrored approach.
The model favors Rosengård slightly with a 40% win probability, while Åtvidaberg isn't far behind at 33%. This suggests a match where small margins could make all the difference. Despite Åtvidaberg's superior point tally this season, Rosengård's underlying numbers, such as xPoints and xGA, offer them a subtle edge. Both sides average 1.5 expected goals per match, reinforcing the likelihood of an even contest.
Given the single head-to-head encounter since 2023 ended in a draw, historical data contributes little weight. Thus, form and expected goals gain prominence in our assessment. With a 58% probability for over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance that both teams will score, the numbers suggest a match inclined towards goals rather than a defensive stalemate. The most probable scorelines are 1-1, 1-2, and 2-1, underlining this expectation.
RosengårdForm WLLDW
League ranking xG #7xGA #5xT #10xP/match #4Points #13
Key players
- Emmanuel OnotuLWxG 0.19 · xT 0.16
- Joel Voelkerling PerssonFxG 0.53 · xT 0.06
- Ludvig CarliusFxG 0.28 · xT 0.29
ÅtvidabergForm DWLWW
League ranking xG #6xGA #6xT #6xP/match #9Points #6
Key players
- Erik GrandeliusRWxG 0.25 · xT 0.33
- Haris RadetinacFxG 0.29 · xT 0.06
- Albin BergströmRWxG 0.06 · xT 0.36
Match prediction: Rosengård – Åtvidaberg
Predicted score matrix
Åtvidaberg →
Rosengård →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–05.3%
0–17.2%
0–25.7%
0–32.9%
0–4+1.5%
1
1–07.0%
1–111.5%
1–28.5%
1–34.3%
1–4+2.3%
2
2–05.5%
2–18.3%
2–26.3%
2–33.2%
2–4+1.7%
3
3–02.7%
3–14.1%
3–23.1%
3–31.6%
3–4+0.8%
4+
4+–01.4%
4+–12.1%
4+–21.6%
4+–30.8%
4+–4+0.4%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-112%
- 2.1-28%
- 3.2-18%
- 4.0-17%
- 5.1-07%
Expected goals
1,49–1,52
Both teams to score
61%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,00
114%
223%
322%
417%
5+19%
Under 2,542%
–
Over 2,558%
–
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Rosengård or draw (1X)62%
- Over 2.5 goals58%
- Joel Voelkerling Persson to score19%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score61%
- Over 2.5 goals58%
- Haris Radetinac to score36%
- Kalle Larsson to be booked18%
Odds & value
No odds available yet.
Statistics
Head-to-head
1 matchesRosengård 0Draw 1Åtvidaberg 0
Goals: 3–3 (⌀ 6)
Head-to-head based on Ettan data since 2023.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Rosengård
Åtvidaberg
Rosengård (41–34)
Åtvidaberg (48–34)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Rosengård
Åtvidaberg
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Rosengård
Åtvidaberg
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Rosengård | Åtvidaberg |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 38 | 45 |
| xPoints | 38.7 | 36.6 |
| xG per match | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| xGA per match | 1 | 1 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| Playing style | Rosengård | Åtvidaberg |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| Field tilt | 0.6 | 0.61 |
| xT per match | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| xTA per match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 33 | 30 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.51 | 0.55 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| Entries into the box per match | 17 | 15 |
| Entries into the box against | 11 | 10 |
| Pass completion % | 0.78 | 0.82 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.73 | 0.77 |
| Passes per match | 384 | 434 |
| Passes against per match | 353 | 341 |
| Switches of play per match | 16.3 | 13.8 |
| Long balls per match | 30 | 30 |
| Set pieces | Rosengård | Åtvidaberg |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.21 | 0.13 |
| Corners per match | 5.8 | 6 |
| Corners against per match | 3.5 | 5.5 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.42 | 0.29 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.65 | 0.63 |
| Other | Rosengård | Åtvidaberg |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.55 | 0.6 |
| The goalkeepers | Alexander Cederfelt (Rosengård) | Hugo Claesson (Åtvidaberg) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 56 | 58 |
| Save % | 71% | 63% |
| xG prevented | 72% | 42% |
| Claims | 105 (91%) | 99 (93%) |
Teams & more matches this round
- Sollentuna – IFK Stocksund9 October 2026 19:00 CEST
- Karlberg – Vasalund10 October 2026 13:00 CEST
- Eskilsminne – Olympic10 October 2026 13:00 CEST
- Hässleholms IF – Jönköpings Södra10 October 2026 13:00 CEST
- Trelleborgs FF – Kristianstad FC10 October 2026 13:00 CEST
- AFC Eskilstuna – Stockholm Internazionale10 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Lunds BK – FC Trollhättan10 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- AFC Malmö – Skövde AIK10 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Karlstad Fotboll – Arlanda10 October 2026 16:00 CEST
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Rosengård vs Åtvidaberg according to our model?
The model gives Rosengård a 40% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Rosengård 40%, draw 26%, Åtvidaberg 33%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 58% and under at 42%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 61% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
More matches in the league
100 % upp till 600 kr på sport vid första insättningen
Min. insättning 100 kr. Omsättning 6× inom 60 dagar, odds från 1,80
Hämta bonus
Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos ComeOn — se aktuella villkor på ComeOns sida.
Se ComeOns villkor
Hämta bonus
Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos Hajper — se aktuella villkor på Hajpers sida.
Se Hajpers villkor
Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.