01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Jönköpings Södra or draw (X2)63%
- Under 3.5 goals75%
Swedish Ettan9°1,5 mm19 km/h
Läs på svenska
Hässleholms IFLow block & directvs
Jönköpings SödraPossession & high pressThe model's lean: 2 · Jönköpings Södra (38%)Soft draw
Hässleholms IF vs Jönköpings Södra · Swedish Ettan
1 · Hässleholms IF 36%X 26%38% Jönköpings Södra · 2
36%
26%
38%
Bet on this match
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Analysis: Hässleholms IF – Jönköpings Södra
Oscar Nilsson · · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work
TEXT: Three matches head-to-head, three wins for the visitors. But with such a small sample, it's a flimsy foundation for predicting this clash. The real meat lies in the numbers and style. Hässleholm's direct approach against Jönköping's high press creates a tactical dichotomy, ripe for a narrow contest. Despite the visitors' perfect streak, the hosts have a strong 59% win rate at home. The expected goals are nearly a dead heat, with a slight nod to Hässleholm, 1.28 to 1.25.
Jönköping is favored by the model, albeit marginally at 38% versus Hässleholm's 36%. The weather, with its 3.9 mm rain, might tighten the expected 46% chance of over 2.5 goals. Factor in both teams' expected goals, and the 1-1 scoreline pops as the frontrunner at 13%. The hosts have a slim edge in xPoints (39.6 to 33.5) and xG per match (1.4 to 1.2), yet they also face a more resilient defense from the visitors.
In betting terms, Jönköping's model-favored edge suggests value for backers, but given the scoring dynamics, a low-scoring draw or narrow away win seems likelier than a blowout. End on 1-1, under 2.5 remains a fair shout.
Hässleholms IFForm WLWLL
League ranking xG #14xGA #8xT #18xP/match #3Points #7
Key players
- Albin AhlstrandFxG 0.19 · xT 0.08
- Alex HallFxG 0.42 · xT 0.13
- Johan Persson ÅhstedtLWxG 0.04 · xT 0.21
Jönköpings SödraForm LDWWL
League ranking xG #23xGA #4xT #16xP/match #15Points #15
Key players
- Dzenis KozicaFxG 0.03 · xT 0.28
- Linus LyckFxG 0.32 · xT 0.09
- Faiz BenatallahFxG 0.39 · xT 0.16
Match prediction: Hässleholms IF – Jönköpings Södra
Predicted score matrix
Jönköpings Södra →
Hässleholms IF →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–08.3%
0–19.6%
0–26.2%
0–32.6%
0–4+1.1%
1
1–09.8%
1–113.1%
1–28.0%
1–33.3%
1–4+1.4%
2
2–06.5%
2–18.2%
2–25.1%
2–32.1%
2–4+0.9%
3
3–02.8%
3–13.5%
3–22.2%
3–30.9%
3–4+0.4%
4+
4+–01.2%
4+–11.5%
4+–20.9%
4+–30.4%
4+–4+0.2%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-113%
- 2.1-010%
- 3.0-110%
- 4.0-08%
- 5.2-18%
Expected goals
1,28–1,25
Both teams to score
52%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,508%
119%
226%
322%
414%
5+11%
Under 2,554%
–
Over 2,546%
–
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Jönköpings Södra or draw (X2)63%
- Under 2.5 goals54%
- Linus Lyck to score23%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score52%
- Over 2.5 goals46%
- Albin Ahlstrand to score25%
- Hugo Lyck to be booked20%
Odds & value
No odds available yet.
Statistics
Head-to-head
3 matchesHässleholms IF 0Draw 0Jönköpings Södra 3
Goals: 2–6 (⌀ 2,7)
Head-to-head based on Ettan data since 2023.
Key facts
- Hässleholms IF win 59% of their home matches all-time (27 played).
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Hässleholms IF
Jönköpings Södra
Hässleholms IF (44–29)
Jönköpings Södra (29–25)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Hässleholms IF
Jönköpings Södra
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Hässleholms IF
Jönköpings Södra
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Hässleholms IF | Jönköpings Södra |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 42 | 33 |
| xPoints | 39.6 | 33.5 |
| xG per match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| xGA per match | 1.1 | 0.93 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.28 | 0.17 |
| Playing style | Hässleholms IF | Jönköpings Södra |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| Field tilt | 0.39 | 0.61 |
| xT per match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| xTA per match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 30 | 33 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.47 | 0.5 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.3 | 0.34 |
| Entries into the box per match | 10 | 15 |
| Entries into the box against | 15 | 9 |
| Pass completion % | 0.73 | 0.78 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.66 | 0.73 |
| Passes per match | 268 | 353 |
| Passes against per match | 382 | 289 |
| Switches of play per match | 15.3 | 16.2 |
| Long balls per match | 24 | 28 |
| Set pieces | Hässleholms IF | Jönköpings Södra |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.21 | 0.1 |
| Corners per match | 3.6 | 5.7 |
| Corners against per match | 6 | 3.6 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.29 | 0.4 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.62 | 0.63 |
| Other | Hässleholms IF | Jönköpings Södra |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.48 | 0.52 |
| The goalkeepers | Liam Bengtsson (Hässleholms IF) | Alexander Eriksson (Jönköpings Södra) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 43 | 56 |
| Save % | 64% | 69% |
| xG prevented | 43% | 50% |
| Claims | 105 (96%) | 149 (91%) |
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Frequently asked questions
Who wins Hässleholms IF vs Jönköpings Södra according to our model?
The model gives Jönköpings Södra a 38% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Hässleholms IF 36%, draw 26%, Jönköpings Södra 38%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 46% and under at 54%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 52% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.