01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Hässleholms IF to win53%
- Over 1.5 goals81%
Swedish Ettan10°3,2 mm22 km/h
Läs på svenska
Hässleholms IFLow block & direct1–1
Skövde AIKCounter-attacks & crossesThe model's lean: 1 · Hässleholms IF (53%)
Hässleholms IF vs Skövde AIK · Swedish Ettan
1 · Hässleholms IF 53%X 25%22% Skövde AIK · 2
53%
25%
22%
Prediction summary
Final score 1–1. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for Hässleholms IF vs Skövde AIK (Swedish Ettan, Saturday, 24 October 2026): Hässleholms IF win 53%, draw 25%, Skövde AIK win 22%. Expected goals (xG): Hässleholms IF 1.97, Skövde AIK 1.07. Most likely score: 1-1 (10%). Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 57%. Double chance: Hässleholms IF or draw 78%, Skövde AIK or draw 47%. Prediction updated Friday, 16 October 2026.
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Analysis: Hässleholms IF – Skövde AIK
Erik Lindberg · · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work
Hässleholms IF's robust recent form, coupled with their statistical edge, suggests they are well-positioned for their clash against Skövde AIK. With three consecutive victories under their belt, the hosts have not only momentum but also a presence that intimidates. They win an impressive 61% of their home matches historically, making Österås IP a challenging venue for any visitor. Meanwhile, Skövde AIK brings a consistent scoring streak, having found the net in 15 straight league games, pointing to a potential attacking threat despite their underdog status.
The small head-to-head sample of three matches favors Hässleholms, having won twice and drawn once. However, the sample size is too thin to solely rely on. More telling is the expected goals data: Hässleholms enjoy a healthy xG of 1.97 per match compared to Skövde's 1.07. Defensively, the home side also holds the upper hand, with an xGA of 1.1 against Skövde's more porous 1.7.
The weather forecast of 9.9°C with 3.2 mm of rain could see a dampening effect on the pace and flow of the game, but it's unlikely to drastically alter the model's numbers. The hosts' preference for direct play may be more suited to such conditions than Skövde's reliance on crosses.
Bookmakers have outlined value on the away side, with Betsafe and Nordicbet offering odds of 4.8 against the model's 22% probability—suggesting a 5% edge. While enticing, the fundamental edge leans towards Hässleholms IF securing a result, either through a disciplined 2-0 or a slightly more open 2-1. The over 2.5 goals probability at 59% hints at potential for goal action, yet Hässleholms' control might suppress the final tally. Placing trust in solid form and home advantage, Hässleholms IF emerges as the statistically grounded pick for the evening.
Hässleholms IFForm LLWWW
League ranking xG #15xGA #7xT #19xP/match #4Points #3
Key players
- Anton BrantingCBxG 0.07 · xT 0.08
- Adi TerzicCBxG 0.08 · xT 0.08
- Albin AnderssonCMxG 0.19 · xT 0.06
Skövde AIKForm LWWLD
League ranking xG #18xGA #28xT #15xP/match #25Points #20
Key players
- Aldin BasicCDMxG 0.09 · xT 0.08
- Samuel SörmanRWxG 0.04 · xT 0.30
- Hannes ForsgårdCBxG 0.09 · xT 0.09
Final score
1 – 1
The model missed the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Hässleholms IF 53% · Draw 25% · Skövde AIK 22%
How the bookmaker bet builders went
The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.
Matchresultat - Hässleholms IFBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 4,83fair 5,34-10 %
MissMatchresultat - Skövde AIKBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 11,36fair 17,91-37 %
MissMatch prediction: Hässleholms IF – Skövde AIK
Predicted score matrix
Skövde AIK →
Hässleholms IF →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–05.1%
0–14.8%
0–22.8%
0–31.0%
0–4+0.3%
1
1–09.1%
1–110.4%
1–25.4%
1–31.9%
1–4+0.7%
2
2–09.2%
2–19.9%
2–25.3%
2–31.9%
2–4+0.6%
3
3–06.1%
3–16.5%
3–23.5%
3–31.3%
3–4+0.4%
4+
4+–04.7%
4+–15.0%
4+–22.7%
4+–31.0%
4+–4+0.3%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-110%
- 2.2-110%
- 3.2-09%
- 4.1-09%
- 5.3-17%
Expected goals
1,97–1,07
Both teams to score
57%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,00
114%
222%
322%
417%
5+19%
Under 2,541%
@2.18
Over 2,559%
@1.60
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Hässleholms IF to win53%
- Over 2.5 goals59%
- Ännäss Al Hamlawi to score29%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score57%
- Over 2.5 goals59%
- Ännäss Al Hamlawi to score29%
- Aldin Basic to be booked22%
Odds & value
| Bookmaker | 1 · Hässleholms IF | X | 2 · Skövde AIK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 1.72 | 3.65 | 4.00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.70 | 3.65 | 4.00 |
| Nordicbet | 1.72 | 3.65 | 4.00 |
Odds updated 24 Oct, 13:37
Odds movement
Market signal
The market has moved clearly towards an Skövde AIK win since 23 October — the odds have shortened from 4.60 to 4.00 (−13%).
1+10 %
61 %51 %
1.55 → 1.70
X-9 %
29 %19 %
4.00 → 3.65
2-13 %
26 %16 %
4.60 → 4.00
Over 2,5+1 %
63 %53 %
1.57 → 1.58
LeoVegas · 7 recorded price levels · 23/10/2026 → 24/10/2026 · fixed scale 10 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
3 matchesHässleholms IF 2Draw 1Skövde AIK 0
Goals: 6–3 (⌀ 3)
Head-to-head based on Ettan data since 2023.
Key facts
- Hässleholms IF come into this round on 3 straight wins.
- Skövde AIK have scored in 15 consecutive league matches.
- Hässleholms IF win 61% of their home matches all-time (28 played).
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Hässleholms IF
Skövde AIK
Hässleholms IF (49–31)
Skövde AIK (35–44)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Hässleholms IF
Skövde AIK
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Hässleholms IF
Skövde AIK
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Hässleholms IF | Skövde AIK |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 51 | 34 |
| xPoints | 43.7 | 34.3 |
| xG per match | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| xGA per match | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| Playing style | Hässleholms IF | Skövde AIK |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| Field tilt | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| xT per match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| xTA per match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 29 | 29 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.49 | 0.51 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.3 | 0.25 |
| Entries into the box per match | 10 | 13 |
| Entries into the box against | 15 | 15 |
| Pass completion % | 0.73 | 0.75 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.66 | 0.7 |
| Passes per match | 267 | 317 |
| Passes against per match | 382 | 441 |
| Switches of play per match | 15.7 | 18.8 |
| Long balls per match | 24 | 35 |
| Set pieces | Hässleholms IF | Skövde AIK |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.19 | 0.09 |
| Corners per match | 3.5 | 4.8 |
| Corners against per match | 6.1 | 5.5 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.62 | 0.64 |
| Other | Hässleholms IF | Skövde AIK |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.48 | 0.55 |
| The goalkeepers | Liam Bengtsson (Hässleholms IF) | Amar Ibrahimovic (Skövde AIK) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 43 | 98 |
| Save % | 64% | 71% |
| xG prevented | 43% | 51% |
| Claims | 105 (96%) | 185 (91%) |
Teams & more matches this round
- Utsikten – Tvååker23 October 2026 19:00 CEST
- Järfälla – Hammarby TFF23 October 2026 19:30 CEST
- AFC Malmö – Ängelholm24 October 2026 13:00 CEST
- Eskilsminne – Lunds BK24 October 2026 13:00 CEST
- Rosengård – Kristianstad FC24 October 2026 13:00 CEST
- Laholm – Olympic24 October 2026 13:00 CEST
- Gefle – FBK Karlstad24 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- FC Trollhättan – Jönköpings Södra24 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Karlstad Fotboll – Stockholm Internazionale24 October 2026 16:00 CEST
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Hässleholms IF vs Skövde AIK according to our model?
The model gives Hässleholms IF a 53% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Hässleholms IF 53%, draw 25%, Skövde AIK 22%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 10% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 59% and under at 41%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 57% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Hässleholms IF vs Skövde AIK?
The model expects 1.97 goals (xG) for Hässleholms IF and 1.07 for Skövde AIK, 3.04 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Hässleholms IF or draw (1X) 78%, Skövde AIK or draw (X2) 47% and no draw (12) 75%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.