01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Rosengård to win59%
- Over 1.5 goals83%
Swedish Ettan
Läs på svenska
RosengårdPossession & high press1–2
Kristianstad FCCounter-attacks & crossesThe model's lean: 1 · Rosengård (59%)
Rosengård vs Kristianstad FC · Swedish Ettan
1 · Rosengård 59%X 21%20% Kristianstad FC · 2
59%
21%
20%
Prediction summary
Final score 1–2. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for Rosengård vs Kristianstad FC (Swedish Ettan, Saturday, 24 October 2026): Rosengård win 59%, draw 21%, Kristianstad FC win 20%. Expected goals (xG): Rosengård 2.17, Kristianstad FC 1.02. Most likely score: 2-1 (10%). Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 57%. Double chance: Rosengård or draw 80%, Kristianstad FC or draw 41%. Prediction updated Friday, 16 October 2026.
Bet on this match
NordicbetVälkommen in i matchen! Skapa ett konto, gör en insättning och hämta ett gratisspel värt 100 kr plus 50 freespins på Pirots 4.Claim the bonus at Nordicbet
BetsafeHämta ett 100 kr gratisspel + 50 freespins på Pirots 4 när du gör din första insättning hos Betsafe!Claim the bonus at Betsafe
18+ · Gamble responsibly · stodlinjen.se · Affiliate links
Analysis: Rosengård – Kristianstad FC
Anna Karlsson · · A data-driven preview · How the predictions work
59% is the crucial figure as Rosengård sits firmly in the driver's seat with a compelling probability of victory over Kristianstad FC. This advantage is underscored by the most likely scorelines: both 2-1 and 2-0 sit at 10%, pointing to a potential multi-goal performance from the hosts. Rosengård's expected goals of 2.17, compared to the visitors' 1.02, highlight a clear offensive edge.
The small head-to-head sample, just a single win for Rosengård, takes a backseat to more reliable indicators like season form and expected goals. With 40 points to Kristianstad's 30, and an xPoints differential of 43.7 to 35.2, Rosengård not only leads in actual performance but also in underlying metrics. Their possession and high press strategy contrasts with Kristianstad’s counter-attacking play, likely setting the stage for Rosengård to control the game tempo and chances.
In betting terms, the sharp angle lies with Rosengård at home. Odds of 1.95 with Betsafe and Nordicbet offer a 15% edge based on the model's 59% win probability. Expect a result leaning towards over 2.5 goals, with both teams possibly finding the net, but the home side emerging on top.
RosengårdForm DWLDD
League ranking xG #7xGA #5xT #9xP/match #3Points #13
Key players
- Kalle LarssonCBxG 0.05 · xT 0.10
- Jens LynardRBxG 0.03 · xT 0.13
- Emmanuel OnotuLWxG 0.19 · xT 0.16
Kristianstad FCForm WWLLW
League ranking xG #32xGA #13xT #29xP/match #21Points #24
Key players
- Linus SvenssonCBxG 0.02 · xT 0.08
- Omar DamphaFxG 0.32 · xT 0.03
- Kasper AlsénCBxG 0.05 · xT 0.14
Final score
1 – 2
The model missed the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Rosengård 59% · Draw 21% · Kristianstad FC 20%
How the bookmaker bet builders went
The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.
Matchresultat - FC RosengårdBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 5,06fair 4,62+10 %
MissMatchresultat - Kristianstad FCBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 9,73fair 21,20-54 %
MissMatch prediction: Rosengård – Kristianstad FC
Predicted score matrix
Kristianstad FC →
Rosengård →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–04.4%
0–13.9%
0–22.1%
0–30.7%
0–4+0.2%
1
1–08.7%
1–19.4%
1–24.6%
1–31.6%
1–4+0.5%
2
2–09.7%
2–19.9%
2–25.0%
2–31.7%
2–4+0.5%
3
3–07.0%
3–17.2%
3–23.6%
3–31.2%
3–4+0.4%
4+
4+–06.3%
4+–16.5%
4+–23.3%
4+–31.1%
4+–4+0.4%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.2-110%
- 2.2-010%
- 3.1-19%
- 4.1-09%
- 5.3-17%
Expected goals
2,17–1,02
Both teams to score
57%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,20
113%
221%
322%
418%
5+22%
Under 2,538%
@2.22
Over 2,562%
@1.60
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Rosengård to win59%
- Over 2.5 goals62%
- Argjend Malaj to score31%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score57%
- Over 2.5 goals62%
- Argjend Malaj to score31%
- André Kamp to be booked19%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 1 · Rosengård59% probability@1.88LeoVegasEV+11%reference odds
- 1 · Rosengård59% probability@1.85BetsafeEV+9%reference odds
- 1 · Rosengård59% probability@1.85NordicbetEV+9%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Rosengård | X | 2 · Kristianstad FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | EV+ 9% 1.85 | 3.65 | 3.45 |
| LeoVegas | EV+ 11% 1.88 | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| Nordicbet | EV+ 9% 1.85 | 3.65 | 3.45 |
Odds updated 24 Oct, 12:37
Odds movement
Market signal
The market has moved clearly towards an Kristianstad FC win since 21 October — the odds have shortened from 4.90 to 3.45 (−30%).
1+19 %
59 %39 %
1.55 → 1.85
X-5 %
34 %14 %
3.85 → 3.65
2-30 %
37 %17 %
4.90 → 3.45
Nordicbet · 20 recorded price levels · 21/10/2026 → 24/10/2026 · fixed scale 20 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
1 matchesRosengård 1Draw 0Kristianstad FC 0
Goals: 2–1 (⌀ 3)
Head-to-head based on Ettan data since 2023.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Rosengård
Kristianstad FC
Rosengård (43–39)
Kristianstad FC (32–40)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Rosengård
Kristianstad FC
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Rosengård
Kristianstad FC
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Rosengård | Kristianstad FC |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 40 | 30 |
| xPoints | 43.7 | 35.2 |
| xG per match | 1.6 | 1 |
| xGA per match | 1 | 1.2 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.38 | 0.2 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| Playing style | Rosengård | Kristianstad FC |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| Field tilt | 0.6 | 0.36 |
| xT per match | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| xTA per match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 33 | 28 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.51 | 0.55 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| Entries into the box per match | 17 | 10 |
| Entries into the box against | 11 | 16 |
| Pass completion % | 0.78 | 0.76 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.73 | 0.72 |
| Passes per match | 390 | 330 |
| Passes against per match | 351 | 425 |
| Switches of play per match | 16.4 | 20.9 |
| Long balls per match | 31 | 39 |
| Set pieces | Rosengård | Kristianstad FC |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| Corners per match | 5.8 | 4.3 |
| Corners against per match | 3.6 | 5.3 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.43 | 0.38 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.66 | 0.62 |
| Other | Rosengård | Kristianstad FC |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.55 | 0.54 |
| The goalkeepers | Alexander Cederfelt (Rosengård) | Otto Larsson Wågert (Kristianstad FC) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 56 | 97 |
| Save % | 71% | 71% |
| xG prevented | 72% | 50% |
| Claims | 105 (91%) | 190 (96%) |
Teams & more matches this round
- Utsikten – Tvååker23 October 2026 19:00 CEST
- Järfälla – Hammarby TFF23 October 2026 19:30 CEST
- AFC Malmö – Ängelholm24 October 2026 13:00 CEST
- Eskilsminne – Lunds BK24 October 2026 13:00 CEST
- Laholm – Olympic24 October 2026 13:00 CEST
- Gefle – FBK Karlstad24 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Hässleholms IF – Skövde AIK24 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- FC Trollhättan – Jönköpings Södra24 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Karlstad Fotboll – Stockholm Internazionale24 October 2026 16:00 CEST
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Rosengård vs Kristianstad FC according to our model?
The model gives Rosengård a 59% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Rosengård 59%, draw 21%, Kristianstad FC 20%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 2-1 at 10% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 62% and under at 38%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 57% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Rosengård vs Kristianstad FC?
The model expects 2.17 goals (xG) for Rosengård and 1.02 for Kristianstad FC, 3.19 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Rosengård or draw (1X) 80%, Kristianstad FC or draw (X2) 41% and no draw (12) 79%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
More matches in the league
100 % upp till 600 kr på sport vid första insättningen
Min. insättning 100 kr. Omsättning 6× inom 60 dagar, odds från 1,80
Hämta bonus
Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos ComeOn — se aktuella villkor på ComeOns sida.
Se ComeOns villkor
Hämta bonus
Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos Hajper — se aktuella villkor på Hajpers sida.
Se Hajpers villkor
Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.