01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Çorum to win46%
- Over 1.5 goals78%
Süper Lig13°6,1 mm18 km/h
Läs på svenska
ÇorumLow block & direct2–1
Çaykur RizesporPossession controlThe model's lean: 1 · Çorum (46%)Best value by the model: Under 1,5 @ 4.95 (+8 %)
Çorum vs Çaykur Rizespor · Süper Lig
1 · Çorum 46%X 25%30% Çaykur Rizespor · 2
46%
25%
30%
Prediction summary
Final score 2–1. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for Çorum vs Çaykur Rizespor (Süper Lig, Friday, 16 October 2026): Çorum win 46%, draw 25%, Çaykur Rizespor win 30%. Expected goals (xG): Çorum 1.56, Çaykur Rizespor 1.30. Most likely score: 1-1 (12%). Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%. Double chance: Çorum or draw 70%, Çaykur Rizespor or draw 54%. Prediction updated Friday, 9 October 2026.
Bet on this match
NordicbetVälkommen in i matchen! Skapa ett konto, gör en insättning och hämta ett gratisspel värt 100 kr plus 50 freespins på Pirots 4.Claim the bonus at Nordicbet
BetsafeHämta ett 100 kr gratisspel + 50 freespins på Pirots 4 när du gör din första insättning hos Betsafe!Claim the bonus at Betsafe
18+ · Gamble responsibly · stodlinjen.se · Affiliate links
Analysis: Çorum – Çaykur Rizespor
Oscar Nilsson · · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work
TEXT:
In recent form, both teams show competitive balance, as the limited data on head-to-head history doesn't provide a reliable basis for predictions. Instead, it's the current form and expected goals that steer the narrative. Çorum, with a model probability of 46%, is tipped slightly more favorably than Rizespor's 30%, suggesting a modest home advantage. The expected goals (1.56 for the hosts vs. 1.30 for the visitors) reinforce this, pointing to a game that could tilt in Çorum's favor, but not overwhelmingly so.
Both teams present a clash in styles. Çorum leans on a low defensive line with a direct approach, while Rizespor prefers possession control. This stylistic contrast may play into the hands of the visitors, who have shown a slight defensive edge with an xGA of 1.2 against Çorum's 1.4. The expected goals within eight seconds of winning the ball (0.14 for Çorum vs. 0.16 for Rizespor) reveal a marginally more effective transition play from Rizespor, which might prove pivotal.
The weather forecast, with 3.5 mm of rain, is likely to dampen the attacking exploits, potentially suppressing the goal count. However, the model still leans towards over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 58%, indicating that both sides could find the net despite the adverse conditions. The most likely scorelines, 1-1 and 2-1, suggest a tight affair, with Çorum just edging it.
For those seeking a sharper angle, the value lies with Rizespor. Betsafe and Nordicbet offer odds of 3.4, which, given the model's 30% probability for an away win, presents a 1% edge. It might not be a guarantee, but if there's a market oversight, it's in the visitors' potential to disrupt Çorum's home comfort.
ÇorumForm LWWLW
League ranking xG #9xGA #10xT #7xP/match #8Points #10
Key players
- Alexandros KyziridisLWxG 0.46 · xT 0.23
- Ylber RamadaniCDMxG 0.01 · xT 0.02
- Cengiz UnderRWxG 0.25 · xT 0.19
Çaykur RizesporForm WLWDL
League ranking xG #8xGA #6xT #4xP/match #10Points #9
Key players
- Attila MocsiCBxG 0.06 · xT 0.18
- Mithat PalaRWBxG 0.06 · xT 0.16
- Modibo SagnanCBxG 0.09 · xT 0.03
Final score
2 – 1
The model called the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Çorum 46% · Draw 25% · Çaykur Rizespor 30%
How the bookmaker bet builders went
The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.
Matchresultat - Çaykur RizesporBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 8,05fair 11,22-28 %
MissMatchresultat - Çorum FKBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 5,07fair 7,83-35 %
MissMatch prediction: Çorum – Çaykur Rizespor
Predicted score matrix
Çaykur Rizespor →
Çorum →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–06.1%
0–17.1%
0–24.8%
0–32.1%
0–4+0.9%
1
1–08.6%
1–112.0%
1–27.6%
1–33.3%
1–4+1.4%
2
2–07.0%
2–19.1%
2–25.9%
2–32.6%
2–4+1.1%
3
3–03.6%
3–14.7%
3–23.1%
3–31.3%
3–4+0.6%
4+
4+–02.0%
4+–12.6%
4+–21.7%
4+–30.7%
4+–4+0.3%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-112%
- 2.2-19%
- 3.1-09%
- 4.1-28%
- 5.0-17%
Expected goals
1,56–1,30
Both teams to score
58%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,90
116%
224%
322%
416%
5+16%
Under 2,546%
@2.34EV+7%
Over 2,554%
@1.57
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Çorum to win46%
- Over 2.5 goals54%
- Alfredo Kulembe Gomes Ribeiro to score18%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score58%
- Over 2.5 goals54%
- Alfredo Kulembe Gomes Ribeiro to score18%
- Taylan Antalyalı to be booked24%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- Under 1.522% probability@4.95BetsafeEV+8%reference odds
- Under 1.522% probability@4.95NordicbetEV+8%reference odds
- Under 2.546% probability@2.34BetsafeEV+7%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Çorum | X | 2 · Çaykur Rizespor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 2.02 | 3.50 | EV+ 1% 3.40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02 | 3.60 | 3.25 |
| Nordicbet | 2.02 | 3.50 | EV+ 1% 3.40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.06 | 3.74 | EV+ 4% 3.50 |
Odds updated 16 Oct, 13:36
Odds movement
10 %
52 %42 %
2.05 → 2.06
X-2 %
30 %20 %
3.83 → 3.74
2+7 %
32 %22 %
3.26 → 3.50
Pinnacle · 10 recorded price levels · 14/10/2026 → 16/10/2026 · fixed scale 10 percentage points
Statistics
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Çorum
Çaykur Rizespor
Çorum (16–12)
Çaykur Rizespor (7–9)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Çorum
Çaykur Rizespor
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Çorum
Çaykur Rizespor
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Çorum | Çaykur Rizespor |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 10 | 10 |
| xPoints | 9.8 | 9 |
| xG per match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| xGA per match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.15 | 0.22 |
| Playing style | Çorum | Çaykur Rizespor |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| Field tilt | 0.52 | 0.6 |
| xT per match | 1 | 1.1 |
| xTA per match | 1.3 | 0.84 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 20 | 24 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| Entries into the box per match | 10 | 12 |
| Entries into the box against | 13 | 14 |
| Pass completion % | 0.81 | 0.8 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.77 | 0.75 |
| Passes per match | 427 | 395 |
| Passes against per match | 362 | 307 |
| Switches of play per match | 39 | 39.9 |
| Long balls per match | 42 | 46 |
| Set pieces | Çorum | Çaykur Rizespor |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0 | 0.02 |
| Corners per match | 4.6 | 4.6 |
| Corners against per match | 5.5 | 4.8 |
| xG per corner | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.04 | 0.02 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.38 | 0.47 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.51 | 0.5 |
| Other | Çorum | Çaykur Rizespor |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.63 | 0.81 |
| The goalkeepers | Marcos Felipe de Freitas Monteiro (Çorum) | Yahia Fofana (Çaykur Rizespor) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 24 | 24 |
| Save % | 67% | 77% |
| xG prevented | 43% | 57% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
- Gençlerbirliği – Galatasaray17 October 2026
- Fenerbahçe – Alanyaspor17 October 2026
- Amedspor – Konyaspor17 October 2026
- Erzurumspor – Eyüpspor17 October 2026
- İstanbul Başakşehir – Gaziantep18 October 2026
- Kocaelispor – Göztepe18 October 2026
- Kasımpaşa – Samsunspor18 October 2026
- Trabzonspor – Besiktas JK19 October 2026
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Çorum vs Çaykur Rizespor according to our model?
The model gives Çorum a 46% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Çorum 46%, draw 25%, Çaykur Rizespor 30%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and under at 46%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 58% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Çorum vs Çaykur Rizespor?
The model expects 1.56 goals (xG) for Çorum and 1.30 for Çaykur Rizespor, 2.86 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Çorum or draw (1X) 70%, Çaykur Rizespor or draw (X2) 54% and no draw (12) 75%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
More matches in the league
100 % upp till 600 kr på sport vid första insättningen
Min. insättning 100 kr. Omsättning 6× inom 60 dagar, odds från 1,80
Hämta bonus
Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos ComeOn — se aktuella villkor på ComeOns sida.
Se ComeOns villkor
Hämta bonus
Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos Hajper — se aktuella villkor på Hajpers sida.
Se Hajpers villkor
Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.