01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Queens Park Rangers or draw (1X)64%
- Under 3.5 goals73%
EFL ChampionshipLoftus Road, London9°8,5 mm26 km/h
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Queens Park RangersPossession & high pressvs
Swansea CityPossession controlThe model's lean: 1 · Queens Park Rangers (38%)
Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City · EFL Championship
1 · Queens Park Rangers 38%X 28%33% Swansea City · 2
38%
28%
33%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City (EFL Championship, Saturday, 24 October 2026): Queens Park Rangers win 38%, draw 28%, Swansea City win 33%. Expected goals (xG): Queens Park Rangers 1.34, Swansea City 1.31. Most likely score: 1-1 (13%). Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 54%. Double chance: Queens Park Rangers or draw 67%, Swansea City or draw 62%. Prediction updated Friday, 16 October 2026.
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Analysis: Queens Park Rangers – Swansea City
Oscar Nilsson · · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work
TEXT: Queens Park Rangers enter this match unbeaten in their last five league outings, a streak that contrasts sharply with Swansea City's four straight wins. This tension makes for an intriguing clash at Loftus Road. Despite the visitors holding a stronger points tally at 23 to QPR's 17, the underlying numbers suggest a different story. QPR's expected goals (xG) and expected points (xPoints) both edge out their Welsh opponents, hinting that the market might be undervaluing the hosts slightly.
Head-to-head, the small sample size of four matches since 2023 skews in favor of Swansea, with three wins to QPR's one. However, this limited data weighs less than the current form and expected goals metrics, which suggest QPR might have the upper hand. The model probabilities back this up, giving the hosts a narrow 38% chance of winning compared to Swansea's 33%. A draw looms at 28%, and the most common predicted scoreline of 1-1 at 13% reinforces the tightness of this matchup.
Both teams favor possession football, with QPR employing a high press. This style could unsettle Swansea's possession control, possibly tipping the balance further towards the London club. The expected goals are nearly identical: 1.34 for QPR and 1.31 for the visitors. This statistical deadlock implies a close contest, with a slight tilt towards the home side given their more impressive xG metrics.
The over/under 2.5 goals is finely balanced at 49%, while both teams to score comes in at 54%. With the weather not a factor, goals might still be at a premium due to tactical battles in midfield. Consider a close, competitive contest, with a lean towards QPR given their underlying stats and current unbeaten run.
Queens Park RangersForm DDDDW
League ranking xG #8xGA #5xT #7xP/match #2Points #6
Key players
- Jimmy DunneCBxG 0.06 · xT 0.04
- Ilias ChairLWxG 0.54 · xT 0.34
- Glen Adjei KamaraCMxG 0.05 · xT 0.10
Swansea CityForm LWWWW
League ranking xG #9xGA #6xT #8xP/match #11Points #1
Key players
- Filip LissahRBxG 0.00 · xT 0.05
- Marko Seufatu Nikola StamenićCMxG 0.06 · xT 0.10
- Joseph Amankwaah OpokuRWxG 0.47 · xT 0.10
Match prediction: Queens Park Rangers – Swansea City
Predicted score matrix
Swansea City →
Queens Park Rangers →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–07.4%
0–18.9%
0–26.1%
0–32.6%
0–4+1.1%
1
1–09.1%
1–112.8%
1–28.1%
1–33.5%
1–4+1.5%
2
2–06.4%
2–18.3%
2–25.4%
2–32.4%
2–4+1.0%
3
3–02.8%
3–13.7%
3–22.4%
3–31.1%
3–4+0.5%
4+
4+–01.3%
4+–11.7%
4+–21.1%
4+–30.5%
4+–4+0.2%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-113%
- 2.1-09%
- 3.0-19%
- 4.2-18%
- 5.1-28%
Expected goals
1,34–1,31
Both teams to score
54%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,607%
118%
225%
322%
414%
5+13%
Under 2,551%
@1.88
Over 2,549%
@1.88
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Queens Park Rangers or draw (1X)64%
- Under 2.5 goals51%
- Rumarn Kameron-Scott Burrell to score22%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score54%
- Over 2.5 goals49%
- Rumarn Kameron-Scott Burrell to score22%
- James Gerard Dunne to be booked22%
Odds & value
| Bookmaker | 1 · Queens Park Rangers | X | 2 · Swansea City |
|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 2.45 | 3.35 | 2.70 |
Odds updated 19 Oct, 16:36
Odds movement
1+9 %
42 %37 %
2.25 → 2.45
X-1 %
30 %25 %
3.40 → 3.35
2-7 %
36 %31 %
2.90 → 2.70
Over 2,5+3 %
52 %47 %
1.83 → 1.88
LeoVegas · 8 recorded price levels · 17/10/2026 → 19/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
4 matchesQueens Park Rangers 1Draw 0Swansea City 3
Goals: 3–7 (⌀ 2,5)
Head-to-head based on Championship data since 2023.
Key facts
- Queens Park Rangers are unbeaten in their last 5 league matches.
- Swansea City come into this round on 4 straight wins.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Queens Park Rangers
Swansea City
Queens Park Rangers (15–9)
Swansea City (16–7)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Queens Park Rangers
Swansea City
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Queens Park Rangers
Swansea City
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Queens Park Rangers | Swansea City |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 17 | 23 |
| xPoints | 16.5 | 14.2 |
| xG per match | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| xGA per match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| Playing style | Queens Park Rangers | Swansea City |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.3 | 0.27 |
| Field tilt | 0.52 | 0.62 |
| xT per match | 1.1 | 1 |
| xTA per match | 1 | 0.77 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 20 | 27 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.22 | 0.36 |
| Entries into the box per match | 15 | 12 |
| Entries into the box against | 12 | 12 |
| Pass completion % | 0.78 | 0.78 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.74 | 0.75 |
| Passes per match | 368 | 435 |
| Passes against per match | 396 | 279 |
| Switches of play per match | 26.9 | 24.5 |
| Long balls per match | 31 | 28 |
| Set pieces | Queens Park Rangers | Swansea City |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.04 | 0.12 |
| Corners per match | 5.5 | 3.8 |
| Corners against per match | 3.8 | 4.9 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.04 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.43 | 0.5 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.74 | 0.55 |
| Other | Queens Park Rangers | Swansea City |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.71 | 0.73 |
| The goalkeepers | Pierce Joseph Charles (Queens Park Rangers) | Lawrence Vigouroux (Swansea City) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 29 | 26 |
| Save % | 76% | 79% |
| xG prevented | 69% | 67% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
- Bolton Wanderers – Middlesbrough23 October 2026 21:00 CEST
- Charlton Athletic – Norwich City24 October 2026 13:30 CEST
- Portsmouth – Millwall24 October 2026 13:30 CEST
- Sheffield United – Derby County24 October 2026 13:30 CEST
- Stoke City – Bristol City24 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Blackburn Rovers – Wrexham24 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Lincoln City – Burnley24 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Wolverhampton – Watford24 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Preston North End – West Bromwich Albion24 October 2026 16:00 CEST
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City according to our model?
The model gives Queens Park Rangers a 38% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Queens Park Rangers 38%, draw 28%, Swansea City 33%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 49% and under at 51%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 54% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City?
The model expects 1.34 goals (xG) for Queens Park Rangers and 1.31 for Swansea City, 2.65 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Queens Park Rangers or draw (1X) 67%, Swansea City or draw (X2) 62% and no draw (12) 72%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.