01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance FC Imabari or draw (1X)67%
- Under 3.5 goals78%
J2 League21°21 km/h
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FC ImabariCounter-attacks & crosses3–3
Vanraure HachinoheLow block & directThe model's lean: 1 · FC Imabari (40%)Best value by the model: Under 2,5 @ 1.84 (+5 %)
FC Imabari vs Vanraure Hachinohe · J2 League
1 · FC Imabari 40%X 30%30% Vanraure Hachinohe · 2
40%
30%
30%
Prediction summary
Final score 3–3. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for FC Imabari vs Vanraure Hachinohe (J2 League, Saturday, 17 October 2026): FC Imabari win 40%, draw 30%, Vanraure Hachinohe win 30%. Expected goals (xG): FC Imabari 1.26, Vanraure Hachinohe 1.13. Most likely score: 1-1 (13%). Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 49%. Double chance: FC Imabari or draw 70%, Vanraure Hachinohe or draw 60%. Prediction updated Friday, 9 October 2026.
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Analysis: FC Imabari – Vanraure Hachinohe
Erik Lindberg · · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work
The model assigns FC Imabari a 40% chance of victory, suggesting a slight edge over Vanraure Hachinohe. With a small head-to-head sample, recent form and expected goals data from the season are more telling. Imabari shows a marginal advantage in xPoints, xG per match, and xGA per match, indicating a defensively solid team capable of grinding out results.
Imabari's style of counter-attacking and crosses contrasts with Hachinohe's emphasis on a low defensive line and direct play. The hosts produce more in attack, with an xG of 1.2 per match compared to the visitors' 0.89. However, Hachinohe is more efficient in quick transitions, boasting a higher xG within 8 seconds of regaining possession, which could create some openings.
The numbers point to a low-scoring affair, with a 43% probability for over 2.5 goals and a notable 49% for both teams to score. The most probable outcomes are 1-1 (13%) and 1-0 to Imabari (11%). The betting value lies with under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.29 with Betsafe and Nordicbet, backed by a 78% model rating. These odds highlight a slight edge, with a focus on defensive solidity over fireworks.
FC ImabariForm WLLWW
League ranking xG #8xGA #18xT #11xP/match #12Points #15
Key players
- Kengo FuruyamaRWxG 0.47 · xT 0.01
- Hikaru AraiRWxG 0.24 · xT 0.15
- Rei UmekiRWBxG 0.21 · xT 0.07
Vanraure HachinoheForm LLWLL
League ranking xG #17xGA #19xT #19xP/match #16Points #17
Key players
- Ryusei TakaoFxG 0.46 · xT 0.07
- Fumiya UnokiFxG 0.10 · xT 0.10
- Aoi SatoRWxG 0.06 · xT 0.09
Final score
3 – 3
The model missed the outcome
Predicted probabilities: FC Imabari 40% · Draw 30% · Vanraure Hachinohe 30%
How the bookmaker bet builders went
The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.
Matchresultat - FC ImabariBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 8,10fair 12,56-36 %
MissMatchresultat - Vanraure Hachinohe FCBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 10,02fair 15,58-36 %
MissMatch prediction: FC Imabari – Vanraure Hachinohe
Predicted score matrix
Vanraure Hachinohe →
FC Imabari →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–09.5%
0–110.0%
0–25.8%
0–32.2%
0–4+0.8%
1
1–011.2%
1–113.4%
1–27.4%
1–32.8%
1–4+1.0%
2
2–07.3%
2–18.2%
2–24.6%
2–31.7%
2–4+0.6%
3
3–03.1%
3–13.5%
3–22.0%
3–30.7%
3–4+0.3%
4+
4+–01.3%
4+–11.4%
4+–20.8%
4+–30.3%
4+–4+0.1%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-113%
- 2.1-011%
- 3.0-110%
- 4.0-010%
- 5.2-18%
Expected goals
1,26–1,13
Both teams to score
49%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,4010%
121%
227%
321%
412%
5+9%
Under 2,557%
@1.84EV+0%
Over 2,543%
@1.99
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance FC Imabari or draw (1X)67%
- Under 2.5 goals57%
- Edigar Junio Teixeira Lima to score29%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score49%
- Over 2.5 goals43%
- Edigar Junio Teixeira Lima to score29%
- Shoma Takayoshi to be booked17%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- Under 2.557% probability@1.84PinnacleEV+5%reference odds
- Under 2.557% probability@1.77LeoVegasEV+1%reference odds
- Under 3.578% probability@1.29BetsafeEV+1%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · FC Imabari | X | 2 · Vanraure Hachinohe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 2.32 | 3.15 | 2.85 |
| LeoVegas | 2.30 | 3.10 | 2.80 |
| Nordicbet | 2.32 | 3.15 | 2.85 |
| Pinnacle | 2.31 | 3.35 | 3.10 |
Odds updated 17 Oct, 08:18
Odds movement
1-5 %
42 %37 %
2.43 → 2.31
X+3 %
31 %26 %
3.26 → 3.35
2+9 %
34 %29 %
2.84 → 3.10
Over 2,5+1 %
50 %45 %
1.98 → 1.99
Pinnacle · 8 recorded price levels · 10/10/2026 → 17/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
FC Imabari
Vanraure Hachinohe
FC Imabari (11–15)
Vanraure Hachinohe (6–17)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
FC Imabari
Vanraure Hachinohe
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
FC Imabari
Vanraure Hachinohe
The teams in numbers
| Performance | FC Imabari | Vanraure Hachinohe |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 10 | 10 |
| xPoints | 11.7 | 11.6 |
| xG per match | 1.2 | 0.89 |
| xGA per match | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.06 | 0.2 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.12 | 0.29 |
| Playing style | FC Imabari | Vanraure Hachinohe |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| Field tilt | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| xT per match | 0.87 | 0.74 |
| xTA per match | 1.2 | 1 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 15 | 22 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.3 | 0.34 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| Entries into the box per match | 10 | 10 |
| Entries into the box against | 15 | 16 |
| Pass completion % | 0.71 | 0.65 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.66 | 0.62 |
| Passes per match | 294 | 253 |
| Passes against per match | 350 | 356 |
| Switches of play per match | 16.6 | 14.1 |
| Long balls per match | 31 | 31 |
| Set pieces | FC Imabari | Vanraure Hachinohe |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.15 | 0.04 |
| Corners per match | 3.8 | 3.5 |
| Corners against per match | 4.8 | 5.6 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.01 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.07 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.38 | 0.46 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.56 | 0.47 |
| Other | FC Imabari | Vanraure Hachinohe |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.74 | 0.72 |
| The goalkeepers | Genta Ito (FC Imabari) | Shogo Onishi (Vanraure Hachinohe) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 18 | 21 |
| Save % | 75% | 68% |
| xG prevented | 63% | 53% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
- Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo – Blaublitz Akita17 October 2026
- Kataller Toyama – Shonan Bellmare17 October 2026
- Vegalta Sendai – Tokushima Vortis17 October 2026
- Oita Trinita – Albirex Niigata17 October 2026
- Sagan Tosu – Omiya Ardija17 October 2026
- Fujieda MYFC – Montedio Yamagata17 October 2026
- Tochigi City – Yokohama FC17 October 2026
- Tegevajaro Miyazaki – Jubilo Iwata17 October 2026
- Iwaki FC – Ventforet Kofu18 October 2026
Frequently asked questions
Who wins FC Imabari vs Vanraure Hachinohe according to our model?
The model gives FC Imabari a 40% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: FC Imabari 40%, draw 30%, Vanraure Hachinohe 30%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 43% and under at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 49% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in FC Imabari vs Vanraure Hachinohe?
The model expects 1.26 goals (xG) for FC Imabari and 1.13 for Vanraure Hachinohe, 2.39 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
FC Imabari or draw (1X) 70%, Vanraure Hachinohe or draw (X2) 60% and no draw (12) 70%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.