01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Vojvodina to win47%
- Over 1.5 goals78%
Serbian Super LeagueStadion Čair, Niš12°8 km/h
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Radnički NišPossession & high pressvs
VojvodinaPossession controlThe model's lean: 2 · Vojvodina (47%)Best value by the model: 1 · Radnički Niš @ 6.30 (+59 %)
Radnički Niš vs Vojvodina · Serbian Super League
1 · Radnički Niš 25%X 28%47% Vojvodina · 2
25%
28%
47%
Bet on this match
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Analysis: Radnički Niš – Vojvodina
Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work
TEXT: Radnički Niš's possession and high press style often provides a spectacle, but their execution leaves much to be desired, as evidenced by their meager return of just 8 points this season. Their expected goals at 1.20 per match suggest they struggle to convert opportunities into results. They face a formidable opponent in Vojvodina, who have not tasted defeat in their last five league outings.
Vojvodina’s strategy of controlling possession has served them well, underlined by their solid 22 points in the league. Their expected goals per match stand at a notable 1.65, indicating they have the upper hand in creating dangerous opportunities. Vojvodina also boast a superior xPoints tally of 15.6 compared to Niš’s 11.4, reinforcing the gap in performance levels.
The head-to-head record, limited to just four matches since 2023, shows Vojvodina’s dominance with three wins and a draw. While this is a small sample, it mirrors the current form. Vojvodina’s defense, matching Niš’s xGA of 1.3 per match, suggests they can withstand the hosts’ press while exploiting the gaps it leaves behind.
With a 54% probability for over 2.5 goals and both teams likely to score (57%), expect a competitive encounter. Nonetheless, the numbers lean towards a Vojvodina win, with a 47% probability. The most probable outcome is a 1-1 draw, but the edge is slightly with Vojvodina, hinting at a 1-2 victory for them.
For those eyeing value, Vojvodina's unbeaten streak combined with their superior metrics suggests a bet on their victory has merit.
Radnički NišForm LDLWL
League ranking xG #9xGA #8xT #6xP/match #12Points #12
Key players
- Miloš SpasićFxG 0.13 · xT 0.04
- Issah AbassLWxG 0.31 · xT 0.25
- Radomir MilosavljevićCMxG 0.04 · xT 0.07
VojvodinaForm WWWWD
League ranking xG #2xGA #9xT #3xP/match #6Points #2
Key players
- Nardin MulahusejnovicFxG 0.68 · xT -0.02
- Dragan KokanovićRWxG 0.22 · xT 0.07
- Lazar RanđelovićRWxG 0.26 · xT 0.34
Match prediction: Radnički Niš – Vojvodina
Predicted score matrix
Vojvodina →
Radnički Niš →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–06.1%
0–19.2%
0–27.9%
0–34.3%
0–4+2.6%
1
1–06.6%
1–111.8%
1–29.4%
1–35.2%
1–4+3.1%
2
2–04.2%
2–16.9%
2–25.7%
2–33.1%
2–4+1.9%
3
3–01.7%
3–12.8%
3–22.3%
3–31.3%
3–4+0.7%
4+
4+–00.7%
4+–11.1%
4+–20.9%
4+–30.5%
4+–4+0.3%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-112%
- 2.1-29%
- 3.0-19%
- 4.0-28%
- 5.2-17%
Expected goals
1,20–1,65
Both teams to score
57%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,90
116%
224%
322%
416%
5+16%
Under 2,546%
@2.28EV+4%
Over 2,554%
@1.55
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Vojvodina to win47%
- Over 2.5 goals54%
- Dragan Kokanović to score23%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score57%
- Over 2.5 goals54%
- Dragan Kokanović to score23%
- Njegoš Petrović to be booked23%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 1 · Radnički Niš25% probability@6.30BetsafeEV+59%reference odds
- 1 · Radnički Niš25% probability@6.30NordicbetEV+59%reference odds
- X · Draw28% probability@4.25BetsafeEV+19%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Radnički Niš | X | 2 · Vojvodina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange | 1.12 | 1.13 | 1.12 |
| Betsafe | EV+ 59% 6.30 | EV+ 19% 4.25 | 1.42 |
| Nordicbet | EV+ 59% 6.30 | EV+ 19% 4.25 | 1.42 |
Odds updated 3 Oct, 17:36
Odds movement
1-2 %
17 %12 %
6.40 → 6.30
X-1 %
24 %19 %
4.30 → 4.25
2+2 %
67 %62 %
1.39 → 1.42
Over 2,5-2 %
61 %56 %
1.58 → 1.55
Nordicbet · 8 recorded price levels · 02/10/2026 → 03/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
4 matchesRadnički Niš 0Draw 1Vojvodina 3
Goals: 6–11 (⌀ 4,2)
Head-to-head based on Serbian Super League data since 2023.
Key facts
- FK Vojvodina Novi Sad are unbeaten in their last 5 league matches.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Radnički Niš
Vojvodina
Radnički Niš (6–11)
Vojvodina (21–10)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Radnički Niš
Vojvodina
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Radnički Niš
Vojvodina
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Radnički Niš | Vojvodina |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 8 | 22 |
| xPoints | 11.4 | 15.6 |
| xG per match | 1.3 | 1.9 |
| xGA per match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.24 | 0.61 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.17 | 0.49 |
| Playing style | Radnički Niš | Vojvodina |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.31 | 0.3 |
| Field tilt | 0.59 | 0.59 |
| xT per match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| xTA per match | 0.86 | 0.82 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 30 | 27 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.3 | 0.29 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| Entries into the box per match | 15 | 14 |
| Entries into the box against | 10 | 10 |
| Pass completion % | 0.72 | 0.73 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Passes per match | 298 | 302 |
| Passes against per match | 308 | 277 |
| Switches of play per match | 21.8 | 19.2 |
| Long balls per match | 35 | 29 |
| Set pieces | Radnički Niš | Vojvodina |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| Corners per match | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Corners against per match | 4.1 | 4.9 |
| xG per corner | 0.04 | 0.01 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.5 | 0.43 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.43 | 0.67 |
| Other | Radnički Niš | Vojvodina |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.71 | 0.65 |
| The goalkeepers | Ivan Kostić (Radnički Niš) | Dragan Rosić (Vojvodina) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 30 | 37 |
| Save % | 81% | 79% |
| xG prevented | 64% | 57% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Radnički Niš vs Vojvodina according to our model?
The model gives Vojvodina a 47% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Radnički Niš 25%, draw 28%, Vojvodina 47%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and under at 46%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 57% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.