Swedish Ettan21°13 km/h

    Läs på svenska
    AFC EskilstunaAFC Eskilstuna
    1–0
    Hammarby TFFHammarby TFFPossession & high press
    The model's lean: 2 · Hammarby TFF (69%)

    AFC Eskilstuna – Hammarby TFF · Swedish Ettan

    1 · AFC Eskilstuna 14%X 17%69% Hammarby TFF · 2

    Analysis: AFC Eskilstuna – Hammarby TFF

    Oscar Nilsson · · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work

    Sixty-nine percent. That's the probability handed to Hammarby TFF by the model, a formidable figure that underscores their dominance in this matchup against AFC Eskilstuna. It's rare to see such a skewed balance in Ettan, where unpredictability often reigns, but here we have a clear storyline: Hammarby TFF's relentless form against an opponent struggling for traction.

    AFC Eskilstuna find themselves overwhelmed on paper, with expected goals pegged at just 1.03 against Hammarby TFF's commanding 2.45. The numbers speak of an uphill battle for Eskilstuna, where even a draw feels like a distant hope. Despite their potential to find the net—backed by the 59% chance of both teams scoring—the hosts are staring down the barrel of a 1-2 or 0-2 defeat, the most likely scorelines according to the model.

    Hammarby TFF have turned consistency into an art form, scoring in 16 consecutive league matches—a streak that illustrates their lethal capability in front of goal. They're riding a wave of three straight wins, momentum that Eskilstuna can only dream of halting. Given these dynamics, the over 2.5 goals market looks particularly tempting, with a 68% probability suggesting a high-scoring affair is on the cards.

    Hammarby TFF's odds of 1.52 with Betsafe, Betsson, and Nordicbet offer a juicy proposition for punters. The model's 69% rating translates into a 5% edge, a golden nugget for those inclined to back the visitors. This isn't just a statistical anomaly; it’s an invitation to capitalize on Hammarby TFF's superior form and scoring prowess. If you're looking to place a bet that aligns with both the analytics and current trends, Hammarby TFF at these odds is where the smart money goes.

    AFC EskilstunaAFC Eskilstuna
    Hammarby TFFHammarby TFF
    Form WDWWW
    League ranking xG #5xGA #4xT #7xP/match #5Points #3
    Key players
    • Elton HedströmLWxG 0.65 · xT 0.08
    • Oscar Steinke BrånbyLWxG 0.14 · xT 0.28
    • Keyano MarrahFxG 0.38 · xT 0.12
    Final score
    1 – 0
    The model missed the outcome
    Predicted probabilities: AFC Eskilstuna 14% · Draw 17% · Hammarby TFF 69%

    How the bookmaker bet builders went

    The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.

    Matchresultat - Hammarby TFFBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
    odds 3,55fair 3,82-7 %
    Miss
    Matchresultat - AFC EskilstunaBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
    odds 8,41fair 22,15-62 %
    Miss

    Match prediction: AFC Eskilstuna – Hammarby TFF

    Predicted score matrix

    Hammarby TFF →
    AFC Eskilstuna →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–03.3%
    0–17.3%
    0–29.2%
    0–37.5%
    0–4+8.2%
    1
    1–03.0%
    1–18.0%
    1–29.5%
    1–37.8%
    1–4+8.5%
    2
    2–01.6%
    2–14.0%
    2–24.9%
    2–34.0%
    2–4+4.4%
    3
    3–00.6%
    3–11.4%
    3–21.7%
    3–31.4%
    3–4+1.5%
    4+
    4+–00.2%
    4+–10.4%
    4+–20.5%
    4+–30.4%
    4+–4+0.5%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-210%
    2. 2.0-29%
    3. 3.1-18%
    4. 4.1-38%
    5. 5.0-38%
    Expected goals
    1,03–2,45
    Both teams to score
    59%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,5
    Under 2,532%
    @2.85
    Over 2,568%
    @1.37

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own →

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Hammarby TFF to win69%
    • Over 1.5 goals86%

    Combined probability

    61%

    Fair odds

    1.65

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 3 legs

    Balanced

    • Hammarby TFF to win69%
    • Over 2.5 goals68%
    • Suwaibou Kebbeh to score39%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The whole slip is priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches — the scorer interacts with result and total goals, never naive multiplication.

    03 · 4 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score59%
    • Over 2.5 goals68%
    • Suwaibou Kebbeh to score39%
    • Ryan Williams to be booked22%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals, plus the match's most likely scorer and card candidate — all priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • 2 · Hammarby TFF69% probability@1.65BetsafeEV+14%reference odds
    • 2 · Hammarby TFF69% probability@1.65BetssonEV+14%reference odds
    • 2 · Hammarby TFF69% probability@1.65NordicbetEV+14%reference odds
    Bookmaker1 · AFC EskilstunaX2 · Hammarby TFF
    Betsafe3.954.15
    EV+ 14%
    1.65
    Betsson3.954.15
    EV+ 14%
    1.65
    Nordicbet3.954.15
    EV+ 14%
    1.65

    Odds updated 14 Aug, 16:35

    Odds movement

    1-2 %
    27 %17 %

    4.05 → 3.95

    X+8 %
    28 %18 %

    3.85 → 4.15

    2-2 %
    61 %51 %

    1.68 → 1.65

    Betsson · 19 recorded price levels · 10/08/2026 → 14/08/2026 · fixed scale 10 percentage points

    Statistics

    Key facts

    • Hammarby TFF Herrfotboll come into this round on 3 straight wins.
    • Hammarby TFF Herrfotboll have scored in 16 consecutive league matches.
    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    Hammarby TFF
    When goals are scored and conceded — 2025
    Hammarby TFF (60–31)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    Hammarby TFF
    Jordan Simpson: 277 passningar, xT 0.78SimpsonBenjamin Laturnus: 260 passningar, xT 0.42LaturnusOscar Steinke Brånby: 216 passningar, xT 2.1BrånbyWilliam Axelsson Tervonen: 190 passningar, xT 1TervonenEssayas Lwampindy-Bofua: 134 passningar, xT 0.23Lwampindy-BofuaBjörn Hedlöf: 131 passningar, xT 0.22HedlöfKeyano Marrah: 130 passningar, xT 0.64MarrahOliver Reuterswärd Corlin: 118 passningar, xT 0.13CorlinAmar Dzevlan: 112 passningar, xT 0.52DzevlanYusei Shima: 106 passningar, xT 0.8ShimaOdera Samuel Onuchukwu Adindu: 90 passningar, xT -0.09Adindu
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    Hammarby TFF
    Jordan Simpson: 277 passningar, xT 0.78SimpsonBenjamin Laturnus: 260 passningar, xT 0.42LaturnusOscar Steinke Brånby: 216 passningar, xT 2.1BrånbyWilliam Axelsson Tervonen: 190 passningar, xT 1TervonenEssayas Lwampindy-Bofua: 134 passningar, xT 0.23Lwampindy-BofuaBjörn Hedlöf: 131 passningar, xT 0.22HedlöfKeyano Marrah: 130 passningar, xT 0.64MarrahOliver Reuterswärd Corlin: 118 passningar, xT 0.13CorlinAmar Dzevlan: 112 passningar, xT 0.52DzevlanYusei Shima: 106 passningar, xT 0.8ShimaOdera Samuel Onuchukwu Adindu: 90 passningar, xT -0.09Adindu
    The goalkeepersAFC EskilstunaAmar Dzevlan (Hammarby TFF)
    Saves–64
    Save %–69%
    xG prevented–40%
    Claims–117 (89%)

    Teams & more matches this round

    AFC Eskilstuna
    Fixtures, form & tips
    Hammarby TFF
    Fixtures, form & tips

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins AFC Eskilstuna vs Hammarby TFF according to our model?

    The model gives Hammarby TFF a 69% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: AFC Eskilstuna 14%, draw 17%, Hammarby TFF 69%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-2 at 10% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 68% and under at 32%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 59% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

    More matches in the league

    TvååkerTvååker
    2–2
    UtsiktenUtsikten
    1 52%X 23%2 25%
    The model missed the outcome
    PiteåPiteå
    0–2
    GefleGefle
    1 28%X 21%2 51%
    The model called the outcome
    IFK StocksundIFK Stocksund
    0–2
    KarlbergKarlberg
    1 40%X 20%2 40%
    The model called the outcome

    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.