01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Laholm or draw (X2)60%
- Over 1.5 goals80%
Swedish Ettan11°19 km/h
Läs på svenska
ÄngelholmCounter-attacks & crosses0–1
LaholmPossession controlThe model's lean: 2 · Laholm (40%)
Ängelholm vs Laholm · Swedish Ettan
1 · Ängelholm 36%X 24%40% Laholm · 2
36%
24%
40%
Prediction summary
Final score 0–1. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for Ängelholm vs Laholm (Swedish Ettan, Saturday, 17 October 2026): Ängelholm win 36%, draw 24%, Laholm win 40%. Expected goals (xG): Ängelholm 1.56, Laholm 1.44. Most likely score: 1-1 (12%). Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 61%. Double chance: Ängelholm or draw 60%, Laholm or draw 64%. Prediction updated Friday, 9 October 2026.
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Analysis: Ängelholm – Laholm
Oscar Nilsson · · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work
FAKTA mismatch: the text incorrectly attributes Laholm's points advantage to head-to-head, but the head-to-head record is just one match (a draw) with no points advantage. The 26-24 points edge is from the season, not head-to-head.
CORRECTED TEXT:
Laholm's slight edge in the model probabilities over the hosts might catch some by surprise, especially given Ängelholm's higher xPoints tally at 34.9 compared to Laholm's 33.5. This suggests that the home side has been both slightly unlucky and perhaps underperforming relative to their potential. Yet, in terms of pure points, it's the visitors who lead with 26 to Ängelholm's 24, indicating a tighter contest than one might initially assume.
The match is poised to be a battle of styles: Ängelholm’s preference for counter-attacks and crosses against Laholm's possession-based approach. While these tactics might seem contrasting, they both point to a game that's unlikely to be dominated by one side, with the model suggesting a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals. This aligns with both teams' expected goals, which paint an evenly matched picture—1.56 for Ängelholm and 1.44 for Laholm.
However, the small head-to-head sample of just one game, ending in a draw, doesn't offer meaningful historical insight. Instead, the form and numbers from this season provide a better lens. Laholm's slight advantage in season points combined with their control in possession could tilt the balance ever so slightly in their favor.
The most likely scoreline according to the model is a 1-1 draw, but the odds suggest that betting value lies elsewhere. With Betsafe and Nordicbet offering Laholm's win at odds of 2.8, a 40% model probability gives an enticing 11% edge. The clash seems set to end with a possible 1-2 scoreline favoring Laholm.
In terms of betting angles, Laholm at 2.8 presents a solid opportunity for those hunting value. While Ängelholm may have the quality to disrupt Laholm's possession, the numbers and odds suggest the visitors could well come out on top.
ÄngelholmForm LDLWW
League ranking xG #24xGA #20xT #20xP/match #19Points #28
Key players
- Vilgot CarlssonFxG 0.28 · xT 0.10
- Anton NilssonLWxG 0.25 · xT 0.13
- Mohammad AhmadiCBxG 0.07 · xT 0.14
LaholmForm DLLWD
League ranking xG #26xGA #18xT #25xP/match #20Points #27
Key players
- Gentrit IbishiCBxG 0.02 · xT 0.07
- Nils HedströmLBxG 0.11 · xT 0.38
- Olle JohanssonCDMxG 0.04 · xT 0.09
Final score
0 – 1
The model called the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Ängelholm 36% · Draw 24% · Laholm 40%
How the bookmaker bet builders went
The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.
Matchresultat - Ängelholms FFBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 6,06fair 7,71-21 %
MissMatchresultat - Laholms FKBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 6,84fair 9,08-25 %
MissMatch prediction: Ängelholm – Laholm
Predicted score matrix
Laholm →
Ängelholm →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–05.3%
0–16.9%
0–25.2%
0–32.5%
0–4+1.2%
1
1–07.5%
1–111.5%
1–28.0%
1–33.9%
1–4+1.9%
2
2–06.1%
2–18.7%
2–26.3%
2–33.0%
2–4+1.5%
3
3–03.2%
3–14.5%
3–23.3%
3–31.6%
3–4+0.8%
4+
4+–01.7%
4+–12.5%
4+–21.8%
4+–30.9%
4+–4+0.4%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-112%
- 2.2-19%
- 3.1-28%
- 4.1-07%
- 5.0-17%
Expected goals
1,56–1,44
Both teams to score
61%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,00
114%
223%
322%
417%
5+18%
Under 2,542%
@2.20
Over 2,558%
@1.60
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Laholm or draw (X2)60%
- Over 2.5 goals58%
- Måns Andersson to score23%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score61%
- Over 2.5 goals58%
- Vilgot Carlsson to score28%
- Benjamin Tannus to be booked21%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 2 · Laholm40% probability@2.70LeoVegasEV+7%reference odds
- 2 · Laholm40% probability@2.62BetsafeEV+4%reference odds
- 2 · Laholm40% probability@2.62NordicbetEV+4%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Ängelholm | X | 2 · Laholm |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 2.35 | 3.40 | EV+ 4% 2.62 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25 | 3.40 | EV+ 7% 2.70 |
| Nordicbet | 2.35 | 3.40 | EV+ 4% 2.62 |
Odds updated 17 Oct, 12:37
Odds movement
1+9 %
43 %38 %
2.15 → 2.35
X-1 %
28 %23 %
3.45 → 3.40
2-6 %
36 %31 %
2.80 → 2.62
Nordicbet · 4 recorded price levels · 12/10/2026 → 17/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
1 matchesÄngelholm 0Draw 1Laholm 0
Goals: 1–1 (⌀ 2)
Head-to-head based on Ettan data since 2023.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Ängelholm
Laholm
Ängelholm (33–47)
Laholm (33–44)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Ängelholm
Laholm
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Ängelholm
Laholm
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Ängelholm | Laholm |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 24 | 26 |
| xPoints | 34.9 | 33.5 |
| xG per match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| xGA per match | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.24 | 0.38 |
| Playing style | Ängelholm | Laholm |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| Field tilt | 0.47 | 0.43 |
| xT per match | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| xTA per match | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 30 | 25 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.49 | 0.47 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| Entries into the box per match | 11 | 12 |
| Entries into the box against | 15 | 13 |
| Pass completion % | 0.75 | 0.78 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.7 | 0.71 |
| Passes per match | 315 | 356 |
| Passes against per match | 396 | 388 |
| Switches of play per match | 17.8 | 16.4 |
| Long balls per match | 30 | 31 |
| Set pieces | Ängelholm | Laholm |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.17 | 0.09 |
| Corners per match | 4.5 | 4.2 |
| Corners against per match | 4.6 | 4.8 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.04 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.24 | 0.38 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.59 | 0.54 |
| Other | Ängelholm | Laholm |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.5 | 0.54 |
| The goalkeepers | Robin Streifert (Ängelholm) | Max Johnsson (Laholm) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 79 | 70 |
| Save % | 65% | 61% |
| xG prevented | 37% | 39% |
| Claims | 182 (97%) | 191 (93%) |
Teams & more matches this round
- Lunds BK – Trelleborgs FF16 October 2026 19:00 CEST
- IFK Stocksund – Enköpings SK16 October 2026 19:30 CEST
- Tvååker – Rosengård17 October 2026 13:00 CEST
- Arlanda – Järfälla17 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- FBK Karlstad – Karlberg17 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Jönköpings Södra – AFC Malmö17 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Skövde AIK – Eskilsminne17 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Åtvidaberg – Hässleholms IF17 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Stockholm Internazionale – Gefle17 October 2026 16:00 CEST
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Ängelholm vs Laholm according to our model?
The model gives Laholm a 40% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Ängelholm 36%, draw 24%, Laholm 40%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 58% and under at 42%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 61% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Ängelholm vs Laholm?
The model expects 1.56 goals (xG) for Ängelholm and 1.44 for Laholm, 3.00 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Ängelholm or draw (1X) 60%, Laholm or draw (X2) 64% and no draw (12) 76%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.