Åtvidaberg vs Hässleholms IF: Prediction & Odds (17 Oct 2026)

Swedish Ettan17 October 2026 16:00 CEST8°1,0 mm17 km/h

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ÅtvidabergPossession & high press

1–2

Hässleholms IFLow block & direct

The model's lean: 1 · Åtvidaberg (50%)

1 · Åtvidaberg 50%X 24%26% Hässleholms IF · 2

50%

24%

26%

Prediction summary

Final score 1–2. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for Åtvidaberg vs Hässleholms IF (Swedish Ettan, Saturday, 17 October 2026): Åtvidaberg win 50%, draw 24%, Hässleholms IF win 26%. Expected goals (xG): Åtvidaberg 1.84, Hässleholms IF 1.23. Most likely score: 1-1 (11%). Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 60%. Double chance: Åtvidaberg or draw 74%, Hässleholms IF or draw 50%. Prediction updated Friday, 9 October 2026.

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Analysis: Åtvidaberg – Hässleholms IF

Erik Lindberg · 16 October 2026 · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work

FAKTA mismatch: The text introduces a specific bookmaker odds claim ("Unibet offers Åtvidaberg at 2.20 odds") that is not supported by the provided facts, and 2.20 odds (implying ~45% probability) do not align with the model's 50% win probability as claimed.

Corrected text:

With Åtvidaberg sitting just a point behind Hässleholm in the table, the model gives the hosts a 50% chance to win, which is significant in a matchup this close. Åtvidaberg's style of possession and high press contrasts sharply with Hässleholm's low defensive setup and direct play. The expected goals lean towards Åtvidaberg, at 1.84 to Hässleholm's 1.23, suggesting a potential edge in offensive output.

Despite the small sample size of head-to-head data, with only one encounter between these teams since 2023 resulting in a Hässleholm victory, the current form and expected goals carry more weight. Åtvidaberg's edge in xG per match (1.5 to 1.4) hints at a slight offensive advantage, yet their xGA is identical to the visitors'. The model favors a lean toward the over 2.5 goals market, with a probability set at 59%, and both teams are likely to find the net.

While a 1-1 draw is most likely at 11%, the 2-1 scoreline at 10% is a tempting play for the hosts. The dry numbers point towards a competitive but narrow home win.

Åtvidaberg

Form LWWDD

League ranking xG #9xGA #8xT #9xP/match #9Points #5

Key players

Carl ThulinCBxG 0.05 · xT 0.12
Albin BergströmRWxG 0.05 · xT 0.35
Erik GrandeliusRWxG 0.25 · xT 0.32

Hässleholms IF

Form WLLWW

League ranking xG #16xGA #7xT #18xP/match #3Points #3

Key players

Anton BrantingCBxG 0.07 · xT 0.08
Adi TerzicCBxG 0.09 · xT 0.08
Albin AnderssonCMxG 0.16 · xT 0.05

Final score

1 – 2

The model missed the outcome

Predicted probabilities: Åtvidaberg 50% · Draw 24% · Hässleholms IF 26%

Match prediction: Åtvidaberg – Hässleholms IF

Predicted score matrix

Hässleholms IF →

Åtvidaberg →

0–04.9%

0–15.4%

0–23.5%

0–31.4%

0–4+0.6%

1–08.2%

1–110.8%

1–26.5%

1–32.6%

1–4+1.1%

2–07.9%

2–19.7%

2–25.9%

2–32.4%

2–4+1.0%

3–04.8%

3–15.9%

3–23.6%

3–31.5%

3–4+0.6%

4+–03.4%

4+–14.2%

4+–22.6%

4+–31.0%

4+–4+0.4%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-111%
2.2-110%
3.1-08%
4.2-08%
5.1-26%

Expected goals

1,84–1,23

Both teams to score

60%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,1

114%

222%

322%

417%

5+20%

Under 2,541%

@2.02

Over 2,559%

@1.67

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Åtvidaberg to win50%
Over 1.5 goals81%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Åtvidaberg to win50%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Adam Samuelsson to score29%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score60%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Adam Samuelsson to score29%
Rami Jassim to be booked18%

Odds & value

Bookmaker	1 · Åtvidaberg	X	2 · Hässleholms IF
LeoVegas	1.90	3.40	3.50

Odds updated 17 Oct, 15:38

Odds movement

1+1 %

53 %48 %

1.88 → 1.90

X-3 %

28 %23 %

3.50 → 3.40

2+3 %

27 %22 %

3.40 → 3.50

Over 2,50 %

57 %52 %

1.67 → 1.67

LeoVegas · 7 recorded price levels · 16/10/2026 → 17/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Statistics

Head-to-head

1 matches

Åtvidaberg 0Draw 0Hässleholms IF 1

Goals: 0–2 (⌀ 2)

Head-to-head based on Ettan data since 2023.

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Åtvidaberg

Hässleholms IF

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Åtvidaberg (50–36)

Hässleholms IF (47–30)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Åtvidaberg

Hässleholms IF

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Åtvidaberg

Hässleholms IF

The teams in numbers

Performance	Åtvidaberg	Hässleholms IF
Points	47	48
xPoints	37.9	42.2
xG per match	1.5	1.4
xGA per match	1.1	1.1
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.25	0.27
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.15	0.29

Playing style	Åtvidaberg	Hässleholms IF
Build-up efficiency	0.34	0.33
Field tilt	0.59	0.38
xT per match	1.5	1.4
xTA per match	1.3	1.6
Won balls, offensive half	30	29
Pressing intensity	0.56	0.48
Pressing efficiency	0.27	0.29
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.28	0.3
Entries into the box per match	14	11
Entries into the box against	11	15
Pass completion %	0.81	0.73
Pass completion % under pressure	0.76	0.66
Passes per match	433	268
Passes against per match	349	381
Switches of play per match	13.8	15.8
Long balls per match	29	24

Set pieces	Åtvidaberg	Hässleholms IF
xG from free kicks	0.13	0.2
Corners per match	5.7	3.5
Corners against per match	5.5	6
xG per corner	0.02	0.03
xGA per corner against	0.03	0.02
First touch, offensive corners %	0.29	0.27
First touch, defensive corners %	0.62	0.61

Other	Åtvidaberg	Hässleholms IF
Throw-in control	0.59	0.48

The goalkeepers	Hugo Claesson (Åtvidaberg)	Liam Bengtsson (Hässleholms IF)
Saves	71	43
Save %	66%	64%
xG prevented	45%	43%
Claims	112 (93%)	105 (96%)

Teams & more matches this round

Åtvidaberg

Fixtures, form & tips

Hässleholms IF

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Åtvidaberg vs Hässleholms IF according to our model?

The model gives Åtvidaberg a 50% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Åtvidaberg 50%, draw 24%, Hässleholms IF 26%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 59% and under at 41%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 60% according to the model.

How many goals are expected in Åtvidaberg vs Hässleholms IF?

The model expects 1.84 goals (xG) for Åtvidaberg and 1.23 for Hässleholms IF, 3.07 in total.

What does the model say about double chance?

Åtvidaberg or draw (1X) 74%, Hässleholms IF or draw (X2) 50% and no draw (12) 76%.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.