01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Enköpings SK to win50%
- Over 1.5 goals85%
Swedish Ettan12°3,5 mm21 km/h
Läs på svenska
IFK StocksundPossession control1–3
Enköpings SKPossession controlThe model's lean: 2 · Enköpings SK (50%)Best value by the model: 1 · IFK Stocksund @ 3.85 (+25 %)
IFK Stocksund vs Enköpings SK · Swedish Ettan
1 · IFK Stocksund 32%X 18%50% Enköpings SK · 2
32%
18%
50%
Prediction summary
Final score 1–3. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for IFK Stocksund vs Enköpings SK (Swedish Ettan, Friday, 16 October 2026): IFK Stocksund win 32%, draw 18%, Enköpings SK win 50%. Expected goals (xG): IFK Stocksund 1.64, Enköpings SK 1.72. Most likely score: 1-1 (10%). Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 67%. Double chance: IFK Stocksund or draw 50%, Enköpings SK or draw 68%. Prediction updated Friday, 9 October 2026.
Bet on this match
NordicbetVälkommen in i matchen! Skapa ett konto, gör en insättning och hämta ett gratisspel värt 100 kr plus 50 freespins på Pirots 4.Claim the bonus at Nordicbet
BetsafeHämta ett 100 kr gratisspel + 50 freespins på Pirots 4 när du gör din första insättning hos Betsafe!Claim the bonus at Betsafe
18+ · Gamble responsibly · stodlinjen.se · Affiliate links
Analysis: IFK Stocksund – Enköpings SK
Marcus Johansson · · Analysis from the match model · How the predictions work
Enköpings SK takes center stage in this matchup, riding high with a dominant head-to-head record, having defeated Stocksund in all three encounters since 2023. While this small sample size shouldn't overshadow current form and expected goals, it does lend weight to the visitors' confidence. With possession-based tactics defining both teams, the midfield battle will be pivotal, and Enköpings SK’s superior points tally this season signals their edge.
Stocksund, the home side, have struggled with a hefty goals-against average of 1.9 per match, contrasting sharply with Enköpings' 1.5. Despite this, Stocksund's attack generates a slightly higher expected goals per match of 1.4, compared to Enköpings' 1.2. Yet, these figures seem to reinforce an underdog role, especially given their actual performance with only 15 points compared to Enköpings’ 45. The hosts' efforts to control possession may falter against the visitors’ more effective execution.
Expected goals suggest a closely contested affair, with Enköpings SK holding a narrow advantage at 1.72 to 1.64. The betting model reflects this tightness yet leans towards an Enköpings win at 50%. However, the forecasted rain could dampen scoring opportunities, a factor integrated into the model’s over 2.5 goals probability of 65% and both teams scoring at 67%.
Intriguingly, the betting value lies with Stocksund, particularly at odds of 5.1 with Betsafe and Nordicbet, and 4.95 with LeoVegas. Despite their struggles, the odds offer a significant edge, given the model’s 32% probability for a Stocksund victory. While Enköpings SK appears the likely winners, savvy punters might find the value in backing the underdog at these inflated odds. A 1-2 scoreline seems plausible, but Stocksund's odds present an enticing gamble in the balance of risk and reward.
IFK StocksundForm LLLDL
League ranking xG #12xGA #31xT #8xP/match #30Points #31
Key players
- Sebastian LagerCMxG 0.02 · xT 0.10
- Endreas TesfaiCMxG 0.03 · xT 0.08
- Alexander JohanssonCMxG 0.15 · xT 0.57
Enköpings SKForm WDLWW
League ranking xG #21xGA #22xT #32xP/match #27Points #8
Key players
- Mattias ÖzgünCBxG 0.01 · xT 0.14
- Alexander HughesLWxG 0.04 · xT 0.47
- Filiph EdedalCBxG 0.02 · xT 0.11
Final score
1 – 3
The model called the outcome
Predicted probabilities: IFK Stocksund 32% · Draw 18% · Enköpings SK 50%
How the bookmaker bet builders went
The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.
Matchresultat - IFK StocksundBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 8,00fair 6,98+15 %
MissMatch prediction: IFK Stocksund – Enköpings SK
Predicted score matrix
Enköpings SK →
IFK Stocksund →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–03.7%
0–15.7%
0–25.1%
0–32.9%
0–4+1.9%
1
1–05.4%
1–110.1%
1–28.4%
1–34.8%
1–4+3.1%
2
2–04.7%
2–18.0%
2–26.9%
2–34.0%
2–4+2.5%
3
3–02.5%
3–14.4%
3–23.8%
3–32.2%
3–4+1.4%
4+
4+–01.5%
4+–12.6%
4+–22.2%
4+–31.3%
4+–4+0.8%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-110%
- 2.1-28%
- 3.2-18%
- 4.2-27%
- 5.0-16%
Expected goals
1,64–1,72
Both teams to score
67%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,40
111%
220%
322%
418%
5+25%
Under 2,535%
@2.95EV+2%
Over 2,565%
@1.34
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Enköpings SK to win50%
- Over 2.5 goals65%
- Isak Bråholm to score21%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score67%
- Over 2.5 goals65%
- Langston Jasper Wennerlind to score26%
- Hugo Norrlin to be booked19%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 1 · IFK Stocksund32% probability@3.85BetsafeEV+25%reference odds
- 1 · IFK Stocksund32% probability@3.85NordicbetEV+25%reference odds
- 1 · IFK Stocksund32% probability@3.80LeoVegasEV+23%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · IFK Stocksund | X | 2 · Enköpings SK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | EV+ 25% 3.85 | 4.25 | 1.65 |
| LeoVegas | EV+ 23% 3.80 | 4.20 | 1.65 |
| Nordicbet | EV+ 25% 3.85 | 4.25 | 1.65 |
Odds updated 16 Oct, 18:37
Odds movement
Market signal
The market has moved clearly towards an Enköpings SK win since 11 October — the odds have shortened from 2.10 to 1.65 (−21%).
1+42 %
50 %0 %
2.72 → 3.85
X+10 %
45 %-5 %
3.85 → 4.25
2-21 %
79 %29 %
2.10 → 1.65
Nordicbet · 27 recorded price levels · 11/10/2026 → 16/10/2026 · fixed scale 50 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
3 matchesIFK Stocksund 0Draw 0Enköpings SK 3
Goals: 5–11 (⌀ 5,3)
Head-to-head based on Ettan data since 2023.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
IFK Stocksund
Enköpings SK
IFK Stocksund (45–64)
Enköpings SK (39–40)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
IFK Stocksund
Enköpings SK
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
IFK Stocksund
Enköpings SK
The teams in numbers
| Performance | IFK Stocksund | Enköpings SK |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 15 | 45 |
| xPoints | 27.7 | 30.9 |
| xG per match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| xGA per match | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| Playing style | IFK Stocksund | Enköpings SK |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| Field tilt | 0.49 | 0.49 |
| xT per match | 1.5 | 0.99 |
| xTA per match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 25 | 25 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.54 | 0.51 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| Entries into the box per match | 13 | 11 |
| Entries into the box against | 15 | 16 |
| Pass completion % | 0.81 | 0.84 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.77 | 0.79 |
| Passes per match | 377 | 438 |
| Passes against per match | 342 | 341 |
| Switches of play per match | 12.6 | 16.3 |
| Long balls per match | 28 | 35 |
| Set pieces | IFK Stocksund | Enköpings SK |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.21 | 0.11 |
| Corners per match | 3.9 | 4 |
| Corners against per match | 5 | 5.1 |
| xG per corner | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.51 | 0.35 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.53 | 0.59 |
| Other | IFK Stocksund | Enköpings SK |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.58 | 0.63 |
| The goalkeepers | Jakob Rhawi (IFK Stocksund) | Victor Astor (Enköpings SK) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 72 | 64 |
| Save % | 61% | 71% |
| xG prevented | 37% | 38% |
| Claims | 101 (86%) | 98 (94%) |
Teams & more matches this round
- Lunds BK – Trelleborgs FF16 October 2026 19:00 CEST
- Ängelholm – Laholm17 October 2026 13:00 CEST
- Tvååker – Rosengård17 October 2026 13:00 CEST
- Arlanda – Järfälla17 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- FBK Karlstad – Karlberg17 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Jönköpings Södra – AFC Malmö17 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Skövde AIK – Eskilsminne17 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Åtvidaberg – Hässleholms IF17 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Stockholm Internazionale – Gefle17 October 2026 16:00 CEST
Frequently asked questions
Who wins IFK Stocksund vs Enköpings SK according to our model?
The model gives Enköpings SK a 50% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: IFK Stocksund 32%, draw 18%, Enköpings SK 50%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 10% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 65% and under at 35%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 67% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in IFK Stocksund vs Enköpings SK?
The model expects 1.64 goals (xG) for IFK Stocksund and 1.72 for Enköpings SK, 3.37 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
IFK Stocksund or draw (1X) 50%, Enköpings SK or draw (X2) 68% and no draw (12) 82%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
More matches in the league
100 % upp till 600 kr på sport vid första insättningen
Min. insättning 100 kr. Omsättning 6× inom 60 dagar, odds från 1,80
Hämta bonus
Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos ComeOn — se aktuella villkor på ComeOns sida.
Se ComeOns villkor
Hämta bonus
Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos Hajper — se aktuella villkor på Hajpers sida.
Se Hajpers villkor
Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.