01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Stockholm Internazionale to win75%
- Over 1.5 goals82%
Swedish Ettan9°6,2 mm22 km/h
Läs på svenska
Stockholm InternazionalePossession & high press1–1
GefleCounter-attacks & crossesThe model's lean: 1 · Stockholm Internazionale (75%)
Stockholm Internazionale vs Gefle · Swedish Ettan
1 · Stockholm Internazionale 75%X 15%10% Gefle · 2
75%
15%
Prediction summary
Final score 1–1. Before kick-off the model's prediction was as follows. BetBuilders AI model prediction for Stockholm Internazionale vs Gefle (Swedish Ettan, Saturday, 17 October 2026): Stockholm Internazionale win 75%, draw 15%, Gefle win 10%. Expected goals (xG): Stockholm Internazionale 2.44, Gefle 0.64. Most likely score: 2-0 (14%). Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 43%. Double chance: Stockholm Internazionale or draw 90%, Gefle or draw 25%. Prediction updated Friday, 9 October 2026.
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Analysis: Stockholm Internazionale – Gefle
Oscar Nilsson · · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work
Stockholm Internazionale's current four-match winning streak highlights their dominance in the league, and the odds seem to reflect that, with a 75% probability of them securing a victory against Gefle. Given their impressive form and the fact that they have scored in 15 consecutive matches, it's hard to argue against them being the favorites in this matchup. The model leans towards a comfortable home victory, with 2-0 appearing as the most likely scoreline at 14%.
The visitors, Gefle, have a fighting chance, but at just 10%, their path to victory looks treacherous. Their counter-attacking setup might struggle against the hosts' high press, especially considering Stockholm Internazionale's solid defensive record, allowing just 0.8 xGA per match. Gefle's average of 1.1 xG per game might not be enough to break through, especially on a rainy evening that could further stifle their attack.
For those eyeing the over/under markets, the model forecasts a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals in this clash. While the weather often tends to suppress scoring, Stockholm Internazionale's home record and attacking prowess suggest that they could still push this game over the line. Their xG of 2.44 supports the idea that multiple goals could be forthcoming from the hosts, even as the rain potentially dampens the pace.
In terms of betting value, the combination of Gefle's low winning probability and Stockholm Internazionale's strong home performance, winning 63% of their matches, suggests that backing the home side might still offer the best risk-reward balance. However, for those seeking a higher return, considering Stockholm Internazionale to win 2-0 at around 14% may offer enticing odds.
The sharpest angle, however, might just be the over 2.5 goals at odds around even money with Bet365. Despite the rain, the model's 60% forecast leans favorably towards a scoring affair, driven by Stockholm Internazionale's relentless attack.
Stockholm InternazionaleForm DWWWW
League ranking xG #2xGA #2xT #2xP/match #1Points #1
Key players
- David FällmanCBxG 0.04 · xT 0.07
- Luka DobrijevicCBxG 0.06 · xT 0.58
- David ZlotnikCAMxG 0.26 · xT 0.09
GefleForm LWLLD
League ranking xG #29xGA #16xT #27xP/match #16Points #23
Key players
- Eric LarssonRWxG 0.12 · xT 0.32
- Malïk MokédéRWxG 0.12 · xT 0.12
- Rasmus NehrmanCMxG 0.04 · xT 0.08
Final score
1 – 1
The model missed the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Stockholm Internazionale 75% · Draw 15% · Gefle 10%
How the bookmaker bet builders went
The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.
Matchresultat - FC Stockholm InternazionaleBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 3,91fair 4,95-21 %
MissMatchresultat - Gefle IFBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 27,20fair 73,26-63 %
MissMatch prediction: Stockholm Internazionale – Gefle
Predicted score matrix
Gefle →
Stockholm Internazionale →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–04.8%
0–12.7%
0–20.9%
0–30.2%
0–4+0.0%
1
1–011.0%
1–17.4%
1–22.3%
1–30.5%
1–4+0.1%
2
2–013.7%
2–18.7%
2–22.8%
2–30.6%
2–4+0.1%
3
3–011.2%
3–17.1%
3–22.3%
3–30.5%
3–4+0.1%
4+
4+–012.2%
4+–17.8%
4+–22.5%
4+–30.5%
4+–4+0.1%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.2-014%
- 2.3-011%
- 3.1-011%
- 4.2-19%
- 5.1-17%
Expected goals
2,44–0,64
Both teams to score
43%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,10
114%
222%
322%
417%
5+20%
Under 2,540%
@2.35
Over 2,560%
@1.52
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Stockholm Internazionale to win75%
- Over 2.5 goals60%
- Cameron Streete to score42%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score43%
- Over 2.5 goals60%
- Cameron Streete to score42%
- Mamadou Kouyate to be booked20%
Odds & value
| Bookmaker | 1 · Stockholm Internazionale | X | 2 · Gefle |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 1.29 | 5.15 | 7.40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.28 | 4.95 | 7.40 |
| Nordicbet | 1.29 | 5.15 | 7.40 |
Odds updated 17 Oct, 15:38
Odds movement
1-4 %
75 %65 %
1.34 → 1.29
X+12 %
23 %13 %
4.60 → 5.15
2+6 %
16 %6 %
7.00 → 7.40
Betsafe · 11 recorded price levels · 13/10/2026 → 17/10/2026 · fixed scale 10 percentage points
Statistics
Key facts
- Stockholm Internazionale come into this round on 4 straight wins.
- Stockholm Internazionale have scored in 15 consecutive league matches.
- Stockholm Internazionale win 63% of their home matches all-time (30 played).
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Stockholm Internazionale
Gefle
Stockholm Internazionale (63–21)
Gefle (32–46)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Gefle
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Gefle
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Stockholm Internazionale | Gefle |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 60 | 31 |
| xPoints | 46.7 | 35.6 |
| xG per match | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| xGA per match | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.14 | 0.23 |
| Playing style | Stockholm Internazionale | Gefle |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| Field tilt | 0.65 | 0.43 |
| xT per match | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| xTA per match | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 32 | 30 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.52 | 0.5 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| Entries into the box per match | 17 | 11 |
| Entries into the box against | 9 | 13 |
| Pass completion % | 0.83 | 0.79 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.78 | 0.74 |
| Passes per match | 441 | 329 |
| Passes against per match | 352 | 435 |
| Switches of play per match | 17.9 | 16.4 |
| Long balls per match | 36 | 28 |
| Set pieces | Stockholm Internazionale | Gefle |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| Corners per match | 5.6 | 4.2 |
| Corners against per match | 3 | 5 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.5 | 0.42 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.52 | 0.57 |
| Other | Stockholm Internazionale | Gefle |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.65 | 0.6 |
| The goalkeepers | Stockholm Internazionale | Max Croon (Gefle) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | – | 83 |
| Save % | – | 64% |
| xG prevented | – | 42% |
| Claims | – | 135 (94%) |
Teams & more matches this round
- Lunds BK – Trelleborgs FF16 October 2026 19:00 CEST
- IFK Stocksund – Enköpings SK16 October 2026 19:30 CEST
- Ängelholm – Laholm17 October 2026 13:00 CEST
- Tvååker – Rosengård17 October 2026 13:00 CEST
- Arlanda – Järfälla17 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- FBK Karlstad – Karlberg17 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Jönköpings Södra – AFC Malmö17 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Skövde AIK – Eskilsminne17 October 2026 16:00 CEST
- Åtvidaberg – Hässleholms IF17 October 2026 16:00 CEST
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Stockholm Internazionale vs Gefle according to our model?
The model gives Stockholm Internazionale a 75% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Stockholm Internazionale 75%, draw 15%, Gefle 10%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 2-0 at 14% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 60% and under at 40%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 43% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Stockholm Internazionale vs Gefle?
The model expects 2.44 goals (xG) for Stockholm Internazionale and 0.64 for Gefle, 3.08 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Stockholm Internazionale or draw (1X) 90%, Gefle or draw (X2) 25% and no draw (12) 85%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.