01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Assyriska FF or draw (1X)72%
- Over 1.5 goals85%
Swedish Ettan9°0,6 mm16 km/h
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Assyriska FFCounter-attacks & crossesvs
FBK KarlstadCounter-attacks & crossesThe model's lean: 1 · Assyriska FF (38%)Soft draw
Assyriska FF vs FBK Karlstad · Swedish Ettan
1 · Assyriska FF 38%X 26%36% FBK Karlstad · 2
38%
26%
36%
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Analysis: Assyriska FF – FBK Karlstad
Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work
A clash of counter-attacking forces sets the stage as Assyriska FF hosts FBK Karlstad, with both teams favoring quick transitions and crosses. The model leans slightly towards the home side, but this is more a reflection of an evenly poised contest than a clear advantage. Assyriska's ability to score in 12 consecutive league matches adds a layer of intrigue to a game that already promises a close contest based on the numbers. Both teams are expected to find the net, with a 64% probability of seeing over 2.5 goals.
The teams' form charts tell a story of resilience and slight edges. Karlstad arrives with a stronger recent form, unbeaten in their last six league games. Yet, Assyriska's knack for hitting the back of the net consistently cannot be overlooked. The home side has managed to score at least once in every match for quite some time, which suggests that even against a solid opponent, they won't be easily contained. However, Karlstad's marginal superiority in expected goals (xG) and expected goals against (xGA) per match (1.5 vs. 1.3 and 1.2 vs. 1.3, respectively) suggests a slight edge in quality.
Head-to-head encounters since 2023 are limited to three games, with Assyriska holding a narrow 2-1 advantage. While this is a small sample size and less impactful than the current form and expected goals analysis, it does hint at Assyriska's capability to edge out results against these opponents. Yet, Karlstad's position in the table, higher by ten points, cannot be dismissed easily.
For those seeking value, FBK Karlstad's odds at 3.10 with Bet365 stand out as they present a slight edge when considering their unbeaten streak and overall season performance. While the most likely scoreline remains 1-1, the value leans towards an away win, suggesting a potential upset in a finely balanced encounter.
Assyriska FFForm WLLWL
League ranking xG #19xGA #14xT #13xP/match #11Points #17
Key players
- Sebastian WändinRWBxG 0.04 · xT 0.14
- Viktor WiderbergFxG 0.22 · xT 0.11
- Elias Ländin SjöblomLWxG 0.03 · xT 0.37
FBK KarlstadForm WWDDW
League ranking xG #10xGA #10xT #9xP/match #2Points #8
Key players
- Granit HanaFxG 0.46 · xT 0.11
- Edgar Sarkis NavassardianFxG 0.37 · xT -0.04
- Ludvig SteenRWxG 0.23 · xT 0.30
Match prediction: Assyriska FF – FBK Karlstad
Predicted score matrix
FBK Karlstad →
Assyriska FF →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–04.0%
0–14.8%
0–23.6%
0–31.7%
0–4+0.8%
1
1–06.7%
1–110.1%
1–26.8%
1–33.2%
1–4+1.5%
2
2–06.7%
2–19.3%
2–26.5%
2–33.0%
2–4+1.4%
3
3–04.3%
3–16.0%
3–24.2%
3–31.9%
3–4+0.9%
4+
4+–03.2%
4+–14.4%
4+–23.1%
4+–31.4%
4+–4+0.7%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-110%
- 2.2-19%
- 3.1-27%
- 4.1-07%
- 5.2-07%
Expected goals
1,91–1,39
Both teams to score
64%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,30
112%
220%
322%
418%
5+24%
Under 2,536%
–
Over 2,564%
–
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Assyriska FF or draw (1X)72%
- Over 2.5 goals64%
- Felix Felder Aaltonen to score30%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score64%
- Over 2.5 goals64%
- Felix Felder Aaltonen to score30%
- Victor Åsberg to be booked20%
Odds & value
No odds available yet.
Statistics
Head-to-head
3 matchesAssyriska FF 2Draw 0FBK Karlstad 1
Goals: 9–6 (⌀ 5)
Head-to-head based on Ettan data since 2023.
Key facts
- Assyriska FF have scored in 12 consecutive league matches.
- FBK Karlstad are unbeaten in their last 6 league matches.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Assyriska FF
FBK Karlstad
Assyriska FF (43–42)
FBK Karlstad (39–33)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Assyriska FF
FBK Karlstad
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Assyriska FF
FBK Karlstad
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Assyriska FF | FBK Karlstad |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 32 | 42 |
| xPoints | 34.8 | 40.1 |
| xG per match | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| xGA per match | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.2 | 0.23 |
| Playing style | Assyriska FF | FBK Karlstad |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| Field tilt | 0.43 | 0.43 |
| xT per match | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| xTA per match | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 26 | 35 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.47 | 0.48 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| Entries into the box per match | 13 | 15 |
| Entries into the box against | 13 | 12 |
| Pass completion % | 0.78 | 0.72 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.72 | 0.65 |
| Passes per match | 306 | 278 |
| Passes against per match | 394 | 428 |
| Switches of play per match | 16.7 | 19.2 |
| Long balls per match | 33 | 33 |
| Set pieces | Assyriska FF | FBK Karlstad |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Corners per match | 4.8 | 5.2 |
| Corners against per match | 4.6 | 4.3 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.05 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.44 | 0.4 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.71 | 0.62 |
| Other | Assyriska FF | FBK Karlstad |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.55 | 0.49 |
| The goalkeepers | Kingdom Osayi (Assyriska FF) | Vincent Johansson (FBK Karlstad) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 64 | 65 |
| Save % | 66% | 69% |
| xG prevented | 38% | 57% |
| Claims | 110 (91%) | 93 (90%) |
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Frequently asked questions
Who wins Assyriska FF vs FBK Karlstad according to our model?
The model gives Assyriska FF a 38% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Assyriska FF 38%, draw 26%, FBK Karlstad 36%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 10% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 64% and under at 36%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 64% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.